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NCAA Tournament 1-seed Projections
Posted on 5/7/25 at 11:25 am
Posted on 5/7/25 at 11:25 am
Taking On3, Baseball America, and D1 and averaging them up, here are where the teams rank
Rank Team (Average Rank / On3, BA, D1)
1. Texas (1.0 / 1,1,1)
2. Georgia (3.0 / 2, 2, 5)
3. Florida St. (3.0 / 3, 3, 3)
4. Arkansas (3.3 / 4, 4, 2)
5. Auburn (5.3 / 5, 5, 6)
6. LSU (6.3 / 9, 6, 4)
7. North Carolina (7.0 / 6, 8, 7)
8. Vanderbilt (7.7 / 8, 7, 8)
9. Clemson (8.7 / 7, 9, 10)
10. Tennessee (11.0 / 14, 10, 9)
11. Coastal Carolina (11.0 / 10, 12, 11)
12. West Virginia (12.3 / 11, 14, 12)
13. UCLA (12.7 / 12, 11, 15)
14. Oregon St (13.5 / 13, NR, 14)
15. Oregon (14.0 / NR, 15, 13)
16. Dallas Baptist (15.0 / 15, NR, NR)
——
Others included
UC Irvine (16.0 / 16, NR, NR)
TCU (16.0 / NR, 16, NR)
Arizona (16.0 / NR, NR, 16)
Elsewhere…
Alabama, Ole Miss, and Oklahoma were all unanimous 2-seeds.
Florida was split between 2-seeds and a 3-seed.
Texas A&M and Mississippi State were unanimous 3-seeds.
Kentucky was a 3-seed in two and missed the Tournament in the other.
Rank Team (Average Rank / On3, BA, D1)
1. Texas (1.0 / 1,1,1)
2. Georgia (3.0 / 2, 2, 5)
3. Florida St. (3.0 / 3, 3, 3)
4. Arkansas (3.3 / 4, 4, 2)
5. Auburn (5.3 / 5, 5, 6)
6. LSU (6.3 / 9, 6, 4)
7. North Carolina (7.0 / 6, 8, 7)
8. Vanderbilt (7.7 / 8, 7, 8)
9. Clemson (8.7 / 7, 9, 10)
10. Tennessee (11.0 / 14, 10, 9)
11. Coastal Carolina (11.0 / 10, 12, 11)
12. West Virginia (12.3 / 11, 14, 12)
13. UCLA (12.7 / 12, 11, 15)
14. Oregon St (13.5 / 13, NR, 14)
15. Oregon (14.0 / NR, 15, 13)
16. Dallas Baptist (15.0 / 15, NR, NR)
——
Others included
UC Irvine (16.0 / 16, NR, NR)
TCU (16.0 / NR, 16, NR)
Arizona (16.0 / NR, NR, 16)
Elsewhere…
Alabama, Ole Miss, and Oklahoma were all unanimous 2-seeds.
Florida was split between 2-seeds and a 3-seed.
Texas A&M and Mississippi State were unanimous 3-seeds.
Kentucky was a 3-seed in two and missed the Tournament in the other.
This post was edited on 5/7/25 at 2:43 pm
7
Posted on 5/7/25 at 12:37 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
Rank Team (Average Rank / On3, BA, D1)
Appreciate you doing this. Quick Q, what week are the On3 rankings from?
Their current top 10 is:
1 Fl St
2 Ark
3 N Car
4 Tex
5 Ore
6 Ore St
7 Geor
8 Aub
9 Clem
10 LSU
On# D1 Baseball Rankings
This post was edited on 5/7/25 at 12:39 pm
Posted on 5/7/25 at 12:39 pm to AUTiger789
On3 uses the D1 Baseball poll, they don't have their own polls, so you are counting D1 twice.
From the link just posted..
"In one of the wildest weeks we’ve seen in a pretty chaotic season, each of the three top ranked teams lost their weekend series. That will lead to a massive shakeup in D1Baseball’s top 25. Here’s how we are predicting the rankings to look."
Which is weird, because D1 Top 25 does not look like On3 Top 25
But the dates are different, May 4 vs May 5, so maybe there is a small difference there.. idk
Ahh.... I just noticed the language above.. "this is how we are predicting the rankings to look like.."
From the link just posted..
"In one of the wildest weeks we’ve seen in a pretty chaotic season, each of the three top ranked teams lost their weekend series. That will lead to a massive shakeup in D1Baseball’s top 25. Here’s how we are predicting the rankings to look."
Which is weird, because D1 Top 25 does not look like On3 Top 25
But the dates are different, May 4 vs May 5, so maybe there is a small difference there.. idk
Ahh.... I just noticed the language above.. "this is how we are predicting the rankings to look like.."
This post was edited on 5/7/25 at 12:44 pm
Posted on 5/7/25 at 12:43 pm to BigBro
quote:
On3 uses the D1 Baseball poll, they don't have their own polls
Good info. I'll take the schooling too. I seldom read the article, just the ranking. My bad.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 1:35 pm to AUTiger789
Believe State is a unanimous 3 seed on both sites as well.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:00 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
Taking On3, Baseball America, and D1 and averaging them up, here are where the teams rank
Rankings seem off from what is on updated ranking in news section of board.
What am I missing here?
On 3 was a prediction.
Texas is #2 on Baseball America.
LSU is #3 on D1
Arkansas is 3 on Baseball America and 7 on D1
Several others are incorrect...
From google AI-
The current projections for the top 8 seeds in the NCAA Division I Baseball Tournament, based on various sources including D1 Baseball and Baseball America, are as follows:
Texas (1),
Arkansas (2),
Florida State (3),
LSU (4),
North Carolina (5),
Vanderbilt (6),
Georgia (7),
Clemson (8).
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:01 pm to AUTiger789
If this is the top 16, they love to match the 2 and 3 seed SEC teams to play another SEC team in the Supers.
Alabama will go to Chapel Hill
Oklahoma will go to Dallas Baptist
Ole Miss will go to Coastal Carolina
Florida will go to Clemson
Texas A&M will go to Oregon
State will go to UCLA
Kentucky will go to West Virginia
Alabama will go to Chapel Hill
Oklahoma will go to Dallas Baptist
Ole Miss will go to Coastal Carolina
Florida will go to Clemson
Texas A&M will go to Oregon
State will go to UCLA
Kentucky will go to West Virginia
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:39 pm to HClassof84
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:42 pm to Captain Falcon
quote:
Believe State is a unanimous 3 seed on both sites as well.
You are correct. Sorry I left y’all off.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:44 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
They are current. Published May 6
'precciate it
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:44 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
4. Arkansas
quote:
13. UCLA
Would be really fun.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:50 pm to cyarrr
quote:
What am I missing here?
A lot.
quote:
On 3 was a prediction.
No. They are their projections. LINK
quote:
Texas is #2 on Baseball America.
Nope. Projected overall #1 seed. LINK
quote:
LSU is #3 on D1
Nope. Projected 4th national seed. LINK
quote:
Arkansas is 3 on Baseball America and 7 on D1
Nope. They are projected 4th national seed by Baseball America and 2nd by D1. See previous links.
quote:
Several others are incorrect...
Nope. All of your info is incorrect.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 4:56 pm to AUTiger789
for shits & giggles - here's the P4 Non-Conference ranks by Win % -
.8372 - SEC (it jumps to .8567 without Missouri's 13-11 mark)
.7682 - ACC
.6921 - B12
.6204 - B10
others -
.5971 - Southland
.5820 - SoCon
.5720 - CUSA
.5361 - Sun Belt
.5417 - American
no other conference had a non-conf win % above .540 -
.8372 - SEC (it jumps to .8567 without Missouri's 13-11 mark)
.7682 - ACC
.6921 - B12
.6204 - B10
others -
.5971 - Southland
.5820 - SoCon
.5720 - CUSA
.5361 - Sun Belt
.5417 - American
no other conference had a non-conf win % above .540 -
Posted on 5/7/25 at 6:02 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
Nope. All of your info is incorrect
Thanks for clearing it up, was confused because you referenced rankings and polls when discussing the projections. It would have been helpful to provide links in your initial post as you did when responding to my post.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 6:06 pm to anc
quote:
If this is the top 16, they love to match the 2 and 3 seed SEC teams to play another SEC team in the Supers.
When you have 13-14 teams in the field with as many as 5-6 national seeds, it’s impossible to avoid
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