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Line Drops to -4 Mississippi State from -7.5 today at Kentucky

Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:06 pm
Posted by The Winner
Member since Nov 2016
7909 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:06 pm
Looks like Levis will be good to go according to Vegas. Should be a good game here.

This has been one of those games in recent years where neither team can win at each other's stadium. It's been since 2014 that Mississippi State has won at Lexington and it has been since 2008 that Kentucky has won in Starkville.(yes we play every year)

Been to this game in 2016 and 2018 and I know Kentucky takes this game seriously and will be ready for this one no differently. I definitely think we will get Kentucky's best. But I also think Leach will want to win at the stadium he was OC for in the SEC as well. He was embarrassed last time he came.
Posted by TheTruthPolice
Mandeville
Member since Aug 2010
939 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:10 pm to
Y'all beat the fu*k out of them with Levis last year. They can't out athlete you like Bama and LSU can. They won't be able to stop your offense. They are built to stop running teams.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63958 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:11 pm to
Word out of Jackson is Leach got a blood clot in his a-hole. Vegas adjusting.
Posted by Shamoan
Member since Feb 2019
9194 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:12 pm to
last time in Lexington, there was a pretty stiff rain that went on most of the game...didnt help the air raid. lots of turnovers the last few meetings.
Posted by BulldogDX
Member since Mar 2011
905 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:15 pm to
If Levis had turf toe, he will be even less mobile than usual and he's gonna get the full Max Johnson treatment.

If he's taking it extra easy to protect his draft stock, I'd recommend waiting one more week.
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
68500 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

They won't be able to stop your offense. They are built to stop running teams.
They will hold on to the ball for the vast majority of the game. That’s how they kept us from scoring more than we did
Posted by TideSaint
Hill Country
Member since Sep 2008
75855 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:36 pm to
This game screams like a typical Leach game where his team should win, but it is on the road so they will fall flat on their faces.
Posted by Quicksilver
Poker Room
Member since Jan 2013
10745 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:40 pm to
I think it's a good matchup for State. Got them at -7 and like them even more at -4
Posted by themetalreb
Mississippi
Member since Sep 2018
4006 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:42 pm to
MSU better win big vs Kentucky, even with Levis, because I’ve been told beating Kentucky is not a solid win because they’re a bad team….so clearly State by 21.
Posted by UKWildcats
Lexington, KY
Member since Mar 2015
17166 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:44 pm to
Yeah, I'm done trying to predict what happens in this game. It does seem like regardless of who SHOULD win, the home team wins. I don't know if that holds this year. Usually I'm ready to shite talk with the best of them but Rogers has looked damn good. Watched y'all v Arkansas.

I will say in support of my Cayts...we lay a stinker every single year. It's just Stoops' M.O. Can't explain but it never fails. Then we have a bounce back game. This would be a prime opportunity for one. Our defense really half assed it the second half v Carolina, and they're our strength. I'm hoping their manhood has been challenged and they come out ready to light up Rogers like we did 2 yrs ago when y'all were in town.

No matter what, this series has always been hard to predict. No telling what the hell will happen Saturday.
Posted by LouisvilleKat
Member since Oct 2016
18217 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

They will hold on to the ball for the vast majority of the game. That’s how they kept us from scoring more than we did
We didn't take any more time than we usually do. We only had one grind it out drive there in the 4th quarter that was intentionally eating clock before the Levis Run fumble.

Ole Miss punted 4 times, threw an INT and turned it over on downs in the redzone. Thats why you didn't score more.
Posted by themetalreb
Mississippi
Member since Sep 2018
4006 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Thats why you didn’t score more.


Well, when you’re right you’re right…
Posted by TideSaint
Hill Country
Member since Sep 2008
75855 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

I think it's a good matchup for State. Got them at -7 and like them even more at -4


LSU was a great match up for State and we know how that turned out.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53460 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

This game screams like a typical Leach game where his team should win, but it is on the road so they will fall flat on their faces.


A myth
Posted by Captain Falcon
Member since Apr 2020
657 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 3:03 pm to
I mean no disrespect to Kentucky, but I do think State’s last three losses in Lexington had more to do with their own incompetence.

2016 - State had an awful defense, and played prevent with a 1 point lead and let UK get into field goal range to win as time expired.

2018 - Joe Moorhead. Nuff said. State totally unraveled with penalties in that game and had a really stupid offensive gameplan in the rain.

2020 - Kentucky won by 22 while only having like 160 yards of total offense. This was the low point of Leach Year 1 and an offense that had no idea how to deal with “rush 3 drop 8” at that point.

I personally think the key matchups in this year’s game pretty clearly favor State and it will take another implosion for them to lose… the issue is an implosion is entirely possible.
Posted by Quicksilver
Poker Room
Member since Jan 2013
10745 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

LSU was a great match up for State and we know how that turned out.


A scrambling QB is actually not a good match-up for State. One of their weaknesses is a lack of athleticism at LB. LSU also has a decent pass rush whereas pass protection isn't MSU's strong suit either.
Posted by MNW
Starkville, MS
Member since Mar 2015
1830 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

They will hold on to the ball for the vast majority of the game. That’s how they kept us from scoring more than we did


State and UK are 2nd and 3rd, respectively, in time of possession. As usual, turnovers will be everything in this game.

I feel better about Under 49 points than I do State -4
Posted by Captain Falcon
Member since Apr 2020
657 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

A scrambling QB is actually not a good match-up for State. One of their weaknesses is a lack of athleticism at LB. LSU also has a decent pass rush whereas pass protection isn't MSU's strong suit either.


Yep. I thought Arkansas missed some opportunities by not running Hornsby more. He had 114 yards on only 8 carries. Even against Arizona, their QB had some wide open running lanes and flat out refused to run the ball.

I expect it to be a problem again at some point, there are several teams left on State’s schedule with QB’s that can run at least a little bit.
This post was edited on 10/12/22 at 3:27 pm
Posted by omrebelfan20
27-24 Corndog Blvd
Member since Sep 2012
4845 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

They are built to stop running teams.


Laughs in lane kiffin
Posted by Golfer1
Naples, FL
Member since Jan 2021
4657 posts
Posted on 10/12/22 at 3:29 pm to
I will be hammering State.

Even with Levi’s Kentucky isn’t good.

State is a much better team
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