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I was told most LSU fans weren't predicting a win against the Rebs
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:15 am
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:15 am
This thread proves otherwise.
All but one poster in that thread predict an LSU victory, and many of them predict a blowout.
What gives?
All but one poster in that thread predict an LSU victory, and many of them predict a blowout.
What gives?
This post was edited on 10/19/22 at 8:16 am
9
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:18 am to Tornado Alley
I think you need to read the thread again.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:20 am to Tornado Alley
The line suggests that a lot of money favors LSU. We don’t know if that is a majority of bettors. It is a lot of cash.
It is odd that a ranked team is a dog to an unranked team. Seems like the dumb money would take the Rebels. That suggests to me that the smart money thinks the Tigers have it.
It is odd that a ranked team is a dog to an unranked team. Seems like the dumb money would take the Rebels. That suggests to me that the smart money thinks the Tigers have it.
This post was edited on 10/19/22 at 8:22 am
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:22 am to Imber
Predictions for the Tigers
LSU 52, Ole Miss 3
LSU 45, Ole Miss 35
"No way Ole Miss gets 35!"
LSU 41, Ole Miss 38
"I do think LSU wins by two scores or more"
"I think we win by a score or two"
LSU 42, Ole Miss 21
LSU 42, Ole Miss 17
LSU 45, Ole Miss 21
"It's a close game that we win on a special teams TD"
LSU 37, Ole Miss 36
LSU 45, Ole Miss 30
LSU 38, Ole Miss 30
Predictions for the Rebs
Ole Miss 45, LSU 41
Ole Miss 35, LSU 24
LSU 52, Ole Miss 3
LSU 45, Ole Miss 35
"No way Ole Miss gets 35!"
LSU 41, Ole Miss 38
"I do think LSU wins by two scores or more"
"I think we win by a score or two"
LSU 42, Ole Miss 21
LSU 42, Ole Miss 17
LSU 45, Ole Miss 21
"It's a close game that we win on a special teams TD"
LSU 37, Ole Miss 36
LSU 45, Ole Miss 30
LSU 38, Ole Miss 30
Predictions for the Rebs
Ole Miss 45, LSU 41
Ole Miss 35, LSU 24
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:22 am to JudgeHolden
I've never understood what was sharp or public money or how people came to conclusions about that. I'd love an explanation if you can provide one.
I've heard Stanford Steve say sharp money comes in once the public bets a line too far in a given direction. But that's about all I know.
I've heard Stanford Steve say sharp money comes in once the public bets a line too far in a given direction. But that's about all I know.
This post was edited on 10/19/22 at 8:23 am
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:23 am to Imber
quote:
I think you need to read the thread again.
This..and the OP of that thread has like 77 downvotes as well
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:23 am to Tornado Alley
I don't think many rational fans expect an LSU blow out. It's going to be very difficult to slow down the Ole miss run game. Our DL is solid, but LB play has been erratic and DBs have had issues with poor tackling and blown assignments.
I expect a close game decided in the 4th off of a turnover or big play.
I expect a close game decided in the 4th off of a turnover or big play.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:24 am to The Godfather
Maybe y'all need to take a look at the thread again. Here are the outright predictions in that thread:
Predictions for the Tigers
LSU 52, Ole Miss 3
LSU 45, Ole Miss 35
"No way Ole Miss gets 35!"
LSU 41, Ole Miss 38
"I do think LSU wins by two scores or more"
"I think we win by a score or two"
LSU 42, Ole Miss 21
LSU 42, Ole Miss 17
LSU 45, Ole Miss 21
"It's a close game that we win on a special teams TD"
LSU 37, Ole Miss 36
LSU 45, Ole Miss 30
LSU 38, Ole Miss 30
Predictions for the Rebs
Ole Miss 45, LSU 41
Ole Miss 35, LSU 24
Predictions for the Tigers
LSU 52, Ole Miss 3
LSU 45, Ole Miss 35
"No way Ole Miss gets 35!"
LSU 41, Ole Miss 38
"I do think LSU wins by two scores or more"
"I think we win by a score or two"
LSU 42, Ole Miss 21
LSU 42, Ole Miss 17
LSU 45, Ole Miss 21
"It's a close game that we win on a special teams TD"
LSU 37, Ole Miss 36
LSU 45, Ole Miss 30
LSU 38, Ole Miss 30
Predictions for the Rebs
Ole Miss 45, LSU 41
Ole Miss 35, LSU 24
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:26 am to Tornado Alley
So you're issue is LSU fans picking LSU to win what is currently a toss up game?
Shocking!
Shocking!
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:27 am to Tornado Alley
You're not going to get a logical prediction on the Tiger Rant. You need to come here for that:
LSU by 20
LSU by 20
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:31 am to Tornado Alley
I will go with Vegas and the sharps here. I’m assuming most others are as well.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:39 am to Tarpon08
quote:
You're not going to get a logical prediction on the Tiger Rant. You need to come here for that: LSU by 20
We get some excited fans over there at the rant that just like to talk shite about OM. I’m sure you know that most overall think there is good chance we can lose this game.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:40 am to Tornado Alley
quote:You reference is a thread on Tiger Rant? Seriously?
This thread proves otherwise.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 10:40 am to Tornado Alley
To be fair, if you do that with almost any fanbase that has confidence, if the game is essentially a pick em then the fans will think their own team will win. Vegas is technically predicting an LSU win with LSU being -1.5 so it's not crazy that LSU fans would predict a win
Posted on 10/19/22 at 10:43 am to Tornado Alley
I predict you are a pussy
Posted on 10/19/22 at 10:45 am to Tornado Alley
Ole miss by 40
Posted on 10/19/22 at 12:42 pm to Tornado Alley
quote:
I've never understood what was sharp or public money or how people came to conclusions about that. I'd love an explanation if you can provide one.
Say the line is very close, like LSU -1.5. Now say 70% of the people who bet put money on Ole Miss. That has to mean that remaining 30% made pretty large bets, or the line would be in favor of Ole Miss.
When I see a small number of bets pushing a line one way, I tend to think it is large bettors who know what they are doing making those bets.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 1:14 pm to Tornado Alley
LSU isn’t consistent or good.
Wish it was at Ole Miss
Wish it was at Ole Miss
Posted on 10/19/22 at 1:19 pm to ABJ2000
quote:
LSU isn’t consistent or good.
And yet they are favored over Ole Miss, go figure.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 1:27 pm to cyarrr
quote:
LSU isn’t consistent or good.
LSU is favored by ESPN FPI. LSU is #11 in the FPI and Ole Miss is #8. The only reason LSU is not ranked is the Seminoles. LSU is only ranked 2 or 3 spots behind OM per any decent computer poll. This issue is not one of OM being overrated but of LSU being severely underated.
OM is an underdog per the computers based on the game being in Baton Rouge. On a nuetrual field, OM would have a slight edge and probably be a 3 point favorite.
FPI has LSU's win probability at 51.3% and has LSU targeted at LSU -2.
If you lose this game, you gave it away.
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