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Posted on 7/6/16 at 1:20 pm to elposter
quote:
MSU:
FPI Rank: 31
Favored in 8/12 (not favored LSU, Tex A&M, Bama, Ole Miss)
Chance of winning out: 0.0%
Chance of winning SEC: 0.3%
SOS Rank: 32
If State goes 8-4, 4-4 next year, it will be Mullen's best coaching job.
Posted on 7/6/16 at 1:24 pm to tigerfan in bamaland
quote:
MSU: FPI Rank: 31 Favored in 8/12 (not favored LSU, Tex A&M, Bama, Ole Miss) Chance of winning out: 0.0% Chance of winning SEC: 0.3% SOS Rank: 32
FPI has more confidence in us than most prognosticators.
Posted on 7/6/16 at 1:25 pm to elposter
I'm guessing their model doesn't correctly account for Alabama's proficiency with replacing starters...probably why they were underrated last year and likely are this year as well.
As far as the Bammer poster talking about Vegas lines, LSU did open as 3 point favorites over Bammer at the SouthPoint book in Nevada...obviously that may change once we actually get to see the teams play.
As far as the Bammer poster talking about Vegas lines, LSU did open as 3 point favorites over Bammer at the SouthPoint book in Nevada...obviously that may change once we actually get to see the teams play.
Posted on 7/6/16 at 1:27 pm to Al Bundy Bulldog
quote:
FPI has more confidence in us than most prognosticators.
They have y'all projected for 6.8 wins- I'd say that's about in line with consensus expectations.
Posted on 7/6/16 at 1:35 pm to elposter
quote:
Alabama (65.7%)
They must of been watching different games than me, last 4.5 years
Posted on 7/6/16 at 1:35 pm to DallasTiger45
quote:Everybody underrates Alabama's ability to "plug 'n play" every year. That's why there are so damn many threads predicting multiple Bama losses every pre-season.
I'm guessing their model doesn't correctly account for Alabama's proficiency with replacing starters...probably why they were underrated last year and likely are this year as well.
Posted on 7/6/16 at 1:40 pm to TheCheshireHog
quote:
Booking hotel in Atlanta as we speak.
I booked mine on 1/2/16.
Posted on 7/6/16 at 1:53 pm to elposter
quote:
Vegas betting lines are designed with bettors/public perception in mind
I see this posted in some form almost every time any odds are put out there. It's simply not very accurate.
Vegas comes up with a number by running tens (if not hundreds) of thousands of simulations. If it gets hammered one way or another they will adjust it to limit their exposure to a specific outcome.
They are not sitting there thinking "hmmm...I've got this game capped at Bama +1, but everybody is going to bet that side so let's open at Bama -3"
Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:05 pm to lsufball19
Incorrect. Vegas did release lines and LSU is favored over Bama -3
Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:06 pm to elposter
quote:
ex A&M:
FPI Rank: 14
Favored in 7/12 (not favored Auburn, UT, Bama, Ole Miss, LSU)
Chance of winning out: 0.1%
Chance of winning SEC: 2.1%
SOS Rank: 12
A&M shouldn't be favored in any SEC home game based on Sumlin's record. HOWEVER, A&M has never lost in Jordan-Hare...
Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:12 pm to JuiceTerry
Hey, at least they came back to eat their crow. But it looks like it is a pretty decent system.
Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:28 pm to elposter
Everyone laugh at Florida's SOS
Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:34 pm to elposter
quote:
Auburn:
quote:
Chance of winning SEC: 1.2%
Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:42 pm to elposter
I think there are a few games every year that you can throw out things like FPI.
Bama-LSU
UGA-UF
AU-Bama
LSU-Ole Miss
These games are always hard to predict one way or the other.
Bama-LSU
UGA-UF
AU-Bama
LSU-Ole Miss
These games are always hard to predict one way or the other.
Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:45 pm to elposter
Lol, neither lsu or tennessee is beating bama
Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:49 pm to TouchdownTony
quote:
If you made vegas set a line today bama would be favored in every game.
LSU is currently a 3-point favorite over Alabama in Vegas.
This post was edited on 7/6/16 at 2:50 pm
Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:50 pm to narddogg81
quote:
Lol, neither lsu or tennessee is beating bama
I have it on good authority LSU is shutting down its football program due to funding, but we all know it's because we can't beat Bama. I mean, y'all are just that good that no other team can ever compete again. Even if one can manage to best you, it's only because you ran out of time, or you beat yourselves. Everyone knows this.
In fact, I think every year there should be the Playoff champion, then a separate national title awarded to Bama just because you're awesome.
Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:53 pm to ibldprplgld
lol
Posted on 7/6/16 at 3:35 pm to TouchdownTony
quote:
today bama would be favored in every game
quote:
July lines mean absolutely nothing
That is all
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