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Enough of the bullshite, time to talk basketball. The SEC is in trouble

Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:05 pm
Posted by WildcatMike
Lexington, KY
Member since Dec 2005
41528 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:05 pm
Not a very good OOC so far and it is showing big time in the NCAA Net rankings (the selection committees way of selecting teams for the tournament). We better get shite together, or only 3 teams get in and not seeded very high.

NCAA Net rankings
This post was edited on 11/26/18 at 1:13 pm
Posted by TbirdSpur2010
ALAMO CITY
Member since Dec 2010
134026 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

time to talk basketball


74-72? Seems basketballish enough
This post was edited on 11/26/18 at 1:09 pm
Posted by MeatPants
Member since Nov 2015
8853 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:07 pm to
Kentucky has not looked good either.

This could be an interesting year in the Southeastern Conference
Posted by Bham Bammer
Member since Nov 2014
14473 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:07 pm to
It's a little early for this garbage. Get back to us on January 1.
Posted by WildcatMike
Lexington, KY
Member since Dec 2005
41528 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:09 pm to
The conference is very meh. Better hope Tenner beats Zaga. Kentucky takes down Kansas and UNC to bolster the conference. Not looking good.
Posted by WildcatMike
Lexington, KY
Member since Dec 2005
41528 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:12 pm to
I don’t think you understand this new net rankings. They factor everything in the year. If the conference does not have solid wins, it won’t help for upcoming conference match ups. Teams can not lose at home, they will get penalized big...things need to pick up...have to have a strong showing in the SEC vs Big 12 match ups.
This post was edited on 11/26/18 at 1:13 pm
Posted by Ag Zwin
Member since Mar 2016
19913 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:13 pm to
Is that the sport we play while we are waiting on baseball season?

Girls play it too, right?
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:15 pm to
VOLS really got fricked over by these long term deals we signed years ago in the non con.

Georgia Tech, Louisville, Kansas, Gonzaga, Memphis, Wake Forest, West Virginia is a good non con schedule most years but this year it is 2 quality opponents and wait and see on Louisville and WV. Really going to hurt us most likely.

Posted by WildcatMike
Lexington, KY
Member since Dec 2005
41528 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

margin of victory. It also relies on game results, strength of schedule, game location, net offensive and defensive efficiency, and the quality of wins and losses.


This is how the rankings are being based. You can forget ever looking at the RPI...it’s dead.
This post was edited on 11/26/18 at 1:17 pm
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:17 pm to
It's way too early to look at this. Like RPI in previous years it is close to meaningless until the new year. Any metric that doesn't have last season's results mixed in for the first few months for smoothing purposes should be ignored.
Posted by autodd03
Clown world
Member since Dec 2013
2532 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:18 pm to
florida-lsu-miss st all have some bad losses where they should/could have won against another major conference.

aub-tenn-uk all whiffed on opportunities for a headline win.

the big12 challenge will be very important. Too bad auburn is not playing
Posted by NEMizzou
Columbia MO
Member since Nov 2013
1369 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

Too bad auburn is not playing


True, but it's a good thing Mizzou isn't playing...so far 0-2 with two beatdowns from the Big 12 for Mizzou.
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
79980 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:26 pm to
You're welcome in advance for the easy conference win(s)
Posted by WildcatMike
Lexington, KY
Member since Dec 2005
41528 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:28 pm to
If Auburn loses to either Dayton or NC State, then their seeding tanks for a solid NCAA seed in March.

SEC teams can not have loses vs OOC at home, or it will take a big hit in these rankings.
Posted by mizslu314
Dirty STL
Member since Sep 2013
15961 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

Kentucky takes down Kansas


I always hope this, just seems to never happen
Posted by TeddyWestside
Georgia
Member since Jul 2017
2872 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 1:29 pm to
It's way too early to take these rankings seriously. Does anyone really believe that Georgia Southern is better than Tennessee?
Posted by autodd03
Clown world
Member since Dec 2013
2532 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 2:03 pm to
Auburn plays @ NCst this season but it will still be a big one for seeding.

I think we end up with 5 in the tourney in the end.

Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 2:42 pm to
I was just about to start a basketball thread when I saw yours... so I'll post this here:

So far this is how the SEC looks:

1-9 record against the KenPom Top 25
2-17 record against the KenPom Top 50
12-23 record against the KenPom Top 100

At this pace, the SEC may only get 4 teams into the NCAA Tournament. It appears the league is going to take a major step backward after making some very big strides the last couple of years.

Here is how each school looks thus far against the KenPom To 100 (ranked in order of most wins)

3-1 Auburn
2-1 Tennessee
1-0 Vanderbilt
1-1 Arkansas
1-1 Mississippi St
1-1 Alabama
1-2 Ole Miss
1-2 LSU
1-2 Missouri
0-1 Kentucky
0-1 S. Carolina
0-3 Florida
0-3 Georgia
0-4 Texas A&M

Additionally though, there have been two bad losses:

*Vandy lost to #161 Kent State
*South Carolina lost to #179 Stony Brook

It's early, but Auburn and Tennessee are the only teams who are making a strong case for an NCAA Bid.... I assume Kentucky will too once they start playing some stiffer competition. Mississippi State and LSU have the talent, but they are going to need to win more big games or they have the NIT in their future.

Posted by Arksulli
Fayetteville
Member since Aug 2014
25174 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 2:48 pm to
The Arkansas loss against Texas (a game we should have won) has been offset to a degree by our win over Indiana but this looks like the sort of Arkansas team that could finish 5th in the conference and land the dreaded play UNC in North Carolina in the second round sort of squad.

Or we could miss the tourney and go to the NIT.

This looks like a down year for the SEC and after a couple of up years we might be due for that.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 11/26/18 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

It's way too early to look at this. Like RPI in previous years it is close to meaningless until the new year.


You are correct in that it won't make a ton of sense until the New Year (evidenced by Ohio State being ranked #1 in the initial NET rankings). But what the OP is trying to say is that by the time the new year rolls around, the cake is already in the oven when it comes to how many teams the SEC may get in.

You can't be 2-17 against the KenPom Top 50 and expect to get 6 or 7 teams into the Big Dance. How many SEC teams get into the NCAA Tournament will essentially be decided by the end of December.

The way things are looking, we will get a minimum of three teams with an absolute MAX of five teams unless our conference steps it up in the next 3-4 weeks.

For reference, last season the SEC got 8 teams into the NCAA Tournament with 2 others making the NIT. That was possible because the SEC had such a strong showing in OOC play.
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