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Dan Mullen offenses vs. Kirby Smart defenses by the numbers

Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:23 pm
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
42554 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:23 pm
2008 - UF vs. Bama - 358 total yards, 31 points; no turnovers
2009 - State vs. Bama - 213 total yards, 3 points; 3 turnovers
2010 - State vs. Bama - 299 total yards, 10 points; 2 turnovers
2011 - State vs. Bama - 131 total yards, 7 points; no turnovers
2012 - State vs. Bama - 256 total yards, 7 points; no turnovers
2013 - State vs. Bama - 197 total yards, 7 points; 1 turnover
2014 - State vs. Bama - 428 total yards, 20 points; 3 turnovers
2015 - State vs. Bama - 393 total yards, 6 points; 2 turnovers
2017 - State vs. UGA - 280 total yards, 3 points; 2 turnovers
2018 - UF vs. UGA - 275 total yards, 17 points; 3 turnovers


Averages (10 games):
283 total ypg
11.1 ppg
1.6 TO per game


Obviously this looks incredibly favorable for Kirby, but how much of this can we chalk up to the talent differential between State and Alabama over the years? When State had Dak they put up much better numbers as far as yards go, but still didn't put up a ton of points against the Bama defense. Even over the last two years, Mullen's offenses didn't do great against UGA averaging 10 points.

How much do we expect this to change over the upcoming years and what percent of it is going to rely on Mullen finding an elite QB at UF?



Posted by momentoftruth87
Member since Oct 2013
71469 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:24 pm to
quote:

Obviously this looks incredibly favorable for Kirby, but how much of this can we chalk up to the talent differential between State and Alabama over the years? 


What a weird thread on a Tuesday night
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
42554 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

What a weird thread on a Tuesday night


Sorry for not talking about grocery stores or trolling people. My bad.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Member since Oct 2013
71469 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:32 pm to
Perhaps you should have
Posted by bayoubengal4life
North of tha lake
Member since Oct 2006
1081 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:38 pm to
You seem nervous about Mullen. You should be.
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
42554 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

You seem nervous about Mullen


I don't know if nervous is the right term, but he has a pretty well thought of offensive mind. I know that the more talent he brings in (which he will at UF) the better his offenses are going to be.

Posted by cuddlefuddle
Member since Sep 2012
584 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:40 pm to
I’m just here to downvote.
Posted by I Bleed Garnet
Cullman, AL
Member since Jul 2011
54846 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:41 pm to
There’s basketball games going on
Posted by thatguy45
Your alter's mom's basement
Member since Sep 2017
18890 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:42 pm to
quote:

grocery stores

say, you ever been to a kroger
Posted by TTsTowel
RIP Bow9den/Coastie
Member since Feb 2010
91648 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 8:49 pm to
Kirby Smart seems to own Dan Mullen like Jeremy Pruitt seems to own Gus Malzahn.
Posted by JackTraven
Maryland
Member since Aug 2016
5583 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 9:34 pm to
They apparently don’t like each other.
Posted by BreezyDawg
Trembling Earth
Member since Dec 2016
3320 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 9:57 pm to
quote:

what percent of it is going to rely on Mullen finding an elite QB at UF?


There’s no denying Mullen is a great coach and that UF will for sure get better under him, but this is going to be the key for them. Mullen is a monster when he has a perfect QB for their system. He did wonders with Franks this past season, but I don’t think Franks can be the one to lead them to the promise land. They seem to really like Jalon Jones though and he seems to fit their system perfectly, so maybe he will be the one. Either way this series got a lot tighter with the Mullen hire and brings a lot of excitement to the WCLOP. I went to the game in 2017 and all the gator fans kept saying before the game “ I hope we can keep it close with y’all”. I promise you that mentality is over.
Posted by StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Member since Sep 2013
21146 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 10:03 pm to
Thank God Mississippi State, Alabama and Georgia are all on the same level in: Prestige, revenue, spending, education, location and fan support!

Also how nice to pick a year where he didn't even have his own Quarterback and a team that previously went 4 - 7.

I mean, them playing on even ground is definitely what makes this work.
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
42554 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 10:26 pm to
I love how everyone took this as me thinking things were going to stay the exact same despite me asking how fellow posters think things will change over the upcoming years?

Agree that Mullen did great work with Franks last year, but there's only so much you can do with him. I think Jones looked good in the little bit I saw of him last year and if he can improve his footwork (which I think Mullen is great with) than UF should be challenging going forward.
Posted by LSUdude247
Member since Oct 2014
7020 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 10:39 pm to
This comparison will never work. Mullen was at State, and Kirby was at Bama for most of it.

One gets constant 5 stars on defense and the other is a mid tier SEC team that HE made relevant.

This post was edited on 2/19/19 at 10:42 pm
Posted by Marines4Auburn
Auburn Alum in South Florida
Member since Sep 2009
14926 posts
Posted on 2/19/19 at 10:41 pm to
Some people are incapable of actual conversations around football on the rant.

To your original question the numbers next year will still favor Kirby until Mullens 3rd or 4th year.

The takent descrepancy between MSU, UGA and Bama is too far off to get any correlation for now. It will take Mullen a while to get the depth and quality of players that Kirby has at UGA. In fact Mullen may never get there.
Posted by BLG
Georgia
Member since Mar 2018
7145 posts
Posted on 2/20/19 at 5:07 am to
skeered
Posted by Bossbailey34
South carolina
Member since Aug 2018
1700 posts
Posted on 2/20/19 at 6:44 am to
A intelligent Auburn fan, wow have an upvote
Posted by cyarrr
Prairieville
Member since Jun 2017
3363 posts
Posted on 2/20/19 at 6:58 am to
quote:

2008 - UF vs. Bama - 358 total yards, 31 points; no turnovers
2009 - State vs. Bama - 213 total yards, 3 points; 3 turnovers
2010 - State vs. Bama - 299 total yards, 10 points; 2 turnovers
2011 - State vs. Bama - 131 total yards, 7 points; no turnovers
2012 - State vs. Bama - 256 total yards, 7 points; no turnovers
2013 - State vs. Bama - 197 total yards, 7 points; 1 turnover
2014 - State vs. Bama - 428 total yards, 20 points; 3 turnovers
2015 - State vs. Bama - 393 total yards, 6 points; 2 turnovers
2017 - State vs. UGA - 280 total yards, 3 points; 2 turnovers
2018 - UF vs. UGA - 275 total yards, 17 points; 3 turnovers


In addition to talent discrepancy, are these defensive results due to Smart's coaching ability while at Alabama or should it be attributed to Saban. I'm not saying Kirby isn't a good coach, but what defensive coordinator hasn't had similar results while coaching under Saban.
This post was edited on 2/20/19 at 7:32 am
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
11937 posts
Posted on 2/20/19 at 7:14 am to
There is actually no reason to think he is a great coach. Zero SECCG appearances. One 3 loss season does not make a great coach. Hell, didn't Muschamp do that at Florida and South Carolina?
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