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Am I crazy or Bama -1 at TAMU free money?

Posted on 10/4/23 at 6:50 pm
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
1792 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 6:50 pm
I think there's no chance Aggies with Max Johnson beat Bama since Milroe has gotten better.

I just can't see it. Max Johnson is a choke artist. Dude doesn't have 1/5th the nads to beat Bama. Bama's D has been great besides UT. I just think this is free money and am gonna put $500 easily on it.

A&M has beat UL Monroe, New Mexico, and 2 of the 4 worst teams in the SEC.

The only okay team is Miami which they lost by 15.
This post was edited on 10/4/23 at 7:04 pm
Posted by Milf n Cookies
Texas
Member since Nov 2021
730 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 6:54 pm to
It was free money when the line opened at aTm +7.5. It seems bettors have brought the odds makers to their senses since then.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
11165 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 6:55 pm to
-A&M has a top 5 roster in the country (recruiting)
-Ultra elite skill players on offense
-Ultra elite DL
-Massive home field advantage
-Playing a questionable Bama offense that is run heavy
-Almost won last year on the road

There is a very valid reason A&M is considered capable of beating Bama, I’ve had this game circled since last year.
Posted by Vidic
Member since Jan 2010
9127 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 6:56 pm to
Go ahead and take that free money. Vegas loves people like you
Posted by FootsFanatic
Member since Aug 2021
1052 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

free money when the line opened at aTm +7.5. It seems bettors have brought the odds makers to their senses since then


I bet professionally and the line NEVER opened at 7.5. It opened around 2.5 pts and has held fairly steady.

Vegas has both teams dead even essentially.

All the stats show the A&M is the superior team on both sides of the ball. You would be a total idiot to believe this is an easy bet. It is NOT! Bama could get destroyed. A&M could fall on their face and play like Miami game.

Please bet $500 of your own money so I can laugh at you at 6pm on Sat.
This post was edited on 10/4/23 at 7:02 pm
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46604 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:01 pm to
quote:

It was free money when the line opened at aTm +7.5


This didn’t happen and I have no idea why it continues to be repeated.

-7.5 was a consensus futures line from the summer. It opened at -3.5. -4 at a few books.
Posted by Tridentds
Sugar Land
Member since Aug 2011
20368 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:02 pm to
You really should bet the house. Free money. Borrow some money so you can make an even bigger big. More free money!
Posted by ForgetTheRest
Member since Oct 2015
2239 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:03 pm to
quote:

. I just think this is free money and am gonna put $500 easily on it.


it is! Bet your house and more. you will then have two houses.

This post was edited on 10/4/23 at 7:07 pm
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
1792 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:05 pm to
A&M has beat UL Monroe, New Mexico, and 2 of the 4 worst teams in the SEC.

The only okay team is Miami which they lost by 15.

Max Johnson is QB. Milroe is better today by a lot.

I don't think A&M has a snowballs chance in hell.

Bama will never, ever in a million years get "destroyed" by A&M lol.
This post was edited on 10/4/23 at 7:09 pm
Posted by FootsFanatic
Member since Aug 2021
1052 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

A&M has a top 5 roster in the country (recruiting)
-Ultra elite skill players on offense
-Ultra elite DL
-Massive home field advantage
-Playing a questionable Bama offense that is run heavy
-Almost won last year on the road

There is a very valid reason A&M is considered capable of beating Bama, I’ve had this game circled since last year


Exactly. I find Bama fans some of the most reasonable with ability to view a game without the fanatic glasses.

Ags are the superior team on PAPER. But Bama is Bama. They have been here before. That is their biggest upside. Either team can easily win.

Wish Bama best of luck. Hopefully both teams come out of the game with no major injuries. Gonna be a total beat down if Bama brings their A game and Ags bring their A game. 5 and 4 stars EVERYWHERE.
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
1792 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:06 pm to
On paper? You mean beat New Mexico, ULM, and 2 of 4 worst SEC teams and lost to Miami by 15?

That performance ^ doesn't stand a chance to beat a Bama team that has seemingly gotten better.
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50337 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:06 pm to
Zero chance. Bet the double wide on Bama.
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
1792 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:07 pm to
I am. The subtlety of your comment implying bet because you will lose and I will laugh doesn't change the fact that Bama as of recent is just going to easily take care of A&M. I'm talking handoffs all 4th quarter to burn clock kind of easy.
This post was edited on 10/4/23 at 7:09 pm
Posted by Land_Surfer
Member since Sep 2016
31 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:08 pm to
Zach Calzada beat Bama last time they visited Kyle Field. This game will defy logic.
Posted by Milf n Cookies
Texas
Member since Nov 2021
730 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

I bet professionally and the line NEVER opened at 7.5. It opened around 2.5 pts and has held fairly steady.


I wish I had the screenshot. Late Sunday evening before most most venues had posted a spread, there were two Vegas venues that had an initial line of 7.5. All this info according to vegasinsider.com
Posted by koreandawg
South Korea
Member since Sep 2015
8999 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:10 pm to
quote:

Milroe has gotten better.


Posted by Landmass
Member since Jun 2013
18096 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:11 pm to
I think TAMmy wins this one.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46604 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:13 pm to
quote:

there were two Vegas venues that had an initial line of 7.5. All this info according to vegasinsider.com


Nah. Summer futures consensus. There was never an opening of -7.5.
Posted by UltimaParadox
Huntsville
Member since Nov 2008
40848 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:15 pm to
I'm honestly surprised A&M isn't favored with their massive advantage at the LOS. I think the Alabama name only thing keeping the line where it is
Posted by Milf n Cookies
Texas
Member since Nov 2021
730 posts
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:16 pm to
quote:

-7.5 was a consensus futures line from the summer. It opened at -3.5. -4 at a few books.


Now that I think about it, this may be correct. I didn't dwell on the numbers for long so it is possible I was looking at a spread that was no longer applicable. If so, I stand corrected and thankyou for pointing that out.
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