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re: Allstate Playoff Predicter Gives UT A 77% Chance Of Making Playoffs If It Wins Out

Posted on 11/7/22 at 6:59 pm to
Posted by FatDawg
Bedrock
Member since Jul 2018
423 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 6:59 pm to

quote:

Wow. I would have thought 50-60 percent chance. 77?

AWESOME

We need to keep playing hard and take care of business down the stretch.






The calculator doesn't pick the teams, 13 humans do. No one loss non-conference champ has ever been put in over a one loss Power 5 champion. There are rules the committee have to follow, they don't just pick "the four best teams".

UT may get in, but UT fans better brace for the real chance a 1 loss Pac 12, Big 12, or believe it or not, ACC champion jumps them.

Go ahead and laugh, but you are going to hear a lot of "experts" talk about how when we get to a 12 team playoff only conference champs will be in the tops four and how for the good of the sport we need more inclusion.

Let's also not forget that nobody, NOBODY, outside of our footprint wants two SEC teams in if there is any other realistic possibility.

Add in the fact that beating Bama don't look as good as it once did, and you better hope LSU doesn't lose again.

I don't think you are a real UT fan anyway.

Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32860 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:04 pm to
quote:

If LSU wins SEC a think the SEC gets three teams


No way, vols would be out
Posted by llfshoals
Member since Nov 2010
15390 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:17 pm to
It’s pretty simple

SECCG champ is in.
B1G champ is in

Those are the only 2 guarantees

In the irony of ironies, the stinking Vols have to root for Bama to win out. If we stumble down the stretch, it opens the door for USC/Oregon.

The stinking Vols need all of the following

Georgia to win the SECCG
TCU Loss. If TCU wins the big 12 even with a loss they might still be in.
Michigan/Overrated State to be a blowout.

They might also need for Oregon not to splatter opponents down the stretch.
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42621 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:21 pm to
quote:


Ohio St. got their arse kicked by Clemson 31-0 in the semi-final the year they got picked for the playoff without winning their division.


Thanks for the info. the point stands tho. The committee tends to pick who they think is the best not the conference champ. Conference schedules being what they are can lead to very odd outcomes.
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42621 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

Mainly because lsu has to play uga


No. LSU sealed it's own fate with 2 losses.
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32860 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

No. LSU sealed it's own fate with 2 losses.


2 loss teams can get in under the right circumstances. A big win over the #1 team would seal the deal.

AU 2017 was in with a win over UGA, just as LSU would be.
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32860 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

They might also need for Oregon not to splatter opponents down the stretch.


A 12-1 Pac 12 champ is also a guarantee.

That leaves one spot for 11-1 Vols, 11-1 Big 10 loser, and 12-1 Big 12 champ TCU. They probably go with the team with more wins and a conference title.
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
54676 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:43 pm to
quote:

A 12-1 Pac 12 champ is also a guarantee.


If their name is Southern Cal or possibly Oregon, after that, nobody moves the needle for the advertisers

quote:

That leaves one spot for 11-1 Vols, 11-1 Big 10 loser, and 12-1 Big 12 champ TCU.


I think TCU has to go undefeated as B12 is OU and Utx
B1G will pimp both and both have lots of eyeballs so 2 B1G seems probable
In the SEC, Alabama, Florida, and LSU move the needle. Gators are out and Tide is on life support. Georgia is defending so they will get love but Tennessee and Ole Miss are in the same long shot boat as neither appeals to a national audience.
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32860 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

If their name is Southern Cal or possibly Oregon, after that, nobody moves the needle for the advertisers



Cincy proved they dont GAS about ads. So did Washington and Mich State.

If UCLA beats USC and Oregon back to back, its a lock.

Posted by Roaad
White Privilege Broker
Member since Aug 2006
76476 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:01 pm to
quote:

Won’t matter when LSU wins out
Posted by 00 Tech Grad
My homestead, AL
Member since Nov 2009
10719 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:02 pm to
UT gonna flame out faster in football than they did in baseball
Posted by BigOrangeKen
Union City
Member since Oct 2015
1906 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:03 pm to
If TCU wins out they are in. They have to play Texas and Baylor so I don’t really see them losing.
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
54676 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

Cincy proved they dont GAS about ads. So did Washington and Mich State.


Cincy was a 2 fer

Big state and took away the heat of no G5's

Michigan State is in MI and lots of eyeballs (UM tunes in hoping for a MSU loss)

You may be right about UCLA but I will believe it when I see it, not before.
Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
5441 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:09 pm to
Both rivalry games so I wouldn’t be too shocked if TCU loses either one.

Also will likely have to face UT in the CCG even if they do beat them before then
This post was edited on 11/7/22 at 8:10 pm
Posted by TexTgrTed
Parker County, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
5817 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:13 pm to
It’s the Mulligan move perfected by $aban.

Win neither the conference nor the division, politic your a** off, get a playoff spot.

Congrats.
Posted by JCdawg
Member since Sep 2014
7807 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:14 pm to
quote:

Lunaincest


How does it feel to be an absolute fricking homosexual loser?
Posted by JCdawg
Member since Sep 2014
7807 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

Generalforincest


Why don’t you frick Lunaincest in the arse
This post was edited on 11/7/22 at 8:18 pm
Posted by TexTgrTed
Parker County, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
5817 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:21 pm to
LOL you go girl.
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