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Allstate Playoff Predicter Gives UT A 77% Chance Of Making Playoffs If It Wins Out

Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:06 pm
Posted by LunaFreak
Member since Sep 2022
1593 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:06 pm
LINK

Wow. I would have thought 50-60 percent chance. 77?

AWESOME

We need to keep playing hard and take care of business down the stretch.
Posted by Darth Aranda
Naboo
Member since Dec 2016
2487 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:06 pm to
Won’t matter when LSU wins out
Posted by TripleBrass
Member since Sep 2012
746 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:07 pm to
Please do. Giving UGA another free win in the playoffs would be great. Basically a first round bye.
Posted by LunaFreak
Member since Sep 2022
1593 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

Please do.


Don't worry, we will.
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
21855 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:10 pm to
Undefeated TCU having the same chance as Alabama shows this is garbage
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42610 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

Won’t matter when LSU wins out


Posted by DownSouthJukin
Coaching Changes Board
Member since Jan 2014
27172 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:11 pm to
I trust the ALFA playoff predictor. It gives Ole Miss a 69% chance of making the playoffs if it wins out and some other stuff happens.
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42610 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

Undefeated TCU having the same chance as Alabama shows this is garbage


I would assume TCU's problem is their schedule and constant comebacks. The math doesn't like them.

ETA: Also, use the calculator for TCU. If they win out they have a 90 percent chance.
This post was edited on 11/7/22 at 4:16 pm
Posted by T
Member since Jan 2004
9889 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:16 pm to
It also says if LSU wins out, LSU’s chances of making the playoff are 55%.

And if UGA wins out, but loses the SEC Championship game their chances to make the playoff are 78%.

So if LSU beats UGA in the SEC championship game LSU, UGA & Tennessee all have a greater than 50% chance to make the CFP. In other words, the allstate playoff predictor is stupid.
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
67589 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

Undefeated TCU having the same chance as Alabama shows this is garbage


I think everyone thinks TCU will lose to Texas this weekend
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42610 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

I think everyone thinks TCU will lose to Texas this weekend


They didn't run the calculator. I ran it for TCU and if they manage to win out, they have a 90 percent chance but yeah I don't think anyone thinks TCU will go undefeated. They could surprise everyone though.
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42610 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

t also says if LSU wins out, LSU’s chances of making the playoff are 55%.

And if UGA wins out, but loses the SEC Championship game their chances to make the playoff are 78%.

So if LSU beats UGA in the SEC championship game LSU, UGA & Tennessee all have a greater than 50% chance to make the CFP. In other words, the allstate playoff predictor is stupid.




It's not stupid. LSU is a 2 loss team and the committee has picked against conference champs before. tOSU won a championship because the committee picked them instead of their conference champ.
Posted by General4Heisman
Nashville
Member since Oct 2022
2524 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:25 pm to
But but....all the SEC manginas told me i was stupid and delusional this morning for saying odds are in our favor of making the playoffs. Surely they know more than the experts right?

frick LSU and ThUGA fans. All bitch made hypocritical pussies.
This post was edited on 11/7/22 at 4:33 pm
Posted by OleVaught14
Member since Jun 2019
6865 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:27 pm to
538 is a better model when it comes to this stuff.

FYI: it's gives Tennessee a 51% chance of making it if they win out.

Ole Miss: 33%

Alabama: 7%

Posted by LunaFreak
Member since Sep 2022
1593 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

the allstate playoff predictor is stupid.

Math is hard, I know.

quote:

538 is a better model when it comes to this stuff.


They suck at politics. So I don't know if I would give their sports stuff any credence either.
Posted by STLJ
Member since Nov 2022
847 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:32 pm to
Tennessee has a more legit shot than LSU.
Posted by General4Heisman
Nashville
Member since Oct 2022
2524 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:33 pm to
Absolutely. No one wants to see a two loss team in the playoffs.
Posted by STLJ
Member since Nov 2022
847 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:36 pm to
Indeed. LSU is not not getting in with 2 losses. No one is.
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
17868 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:43 pm to
They need a playoff predictor that will actually let you predict out all of the games from the contenders at the same time.
Posted by Dawgirl
Member since Oct 2015
6132 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

told me i was stupid and delusional


Because you are stupid and delusional.
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