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Alabama regular season over/under win total – 9.5

Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:23 pm
Posted by Violent Hip Swivel
Member since Aug 2023
2519 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:23 pm
Bet the over, and Alabama has to go at least 10-2.

A bunch of Bama fans on here would probably have way better perspective than I do, but personally I wouldn't touch this bet one way or the other.

On one hand, history is not on the side of the over. How often has a 1st-year SEC coach won 10 regular season games? Saban lost to Louisiana Monroe in his first season. Kirby lost to Vanderbilt. What's the record in year 1 for the last 5 or 6 Bama coaches? Also Bama is losing Dallas Turner and 3 All-American DBs on defense, and who's going to play quarterback and who's going to catch the ball.

On the other hand, no coach in SEC history has taken over a program with a more solid foundation and as many swinging dick top recruits. Also, Washington had a losing record the year before Deboer got there and he went 11-2 in his first season. Alabama won the SEC last year and played in the CFP.

In conclusion, who the frick knows at this point.
Posted by Darindawg
Member since May 2022
1957 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:29 pm to
Yeah, unfortunately for Bama fans, I think this is going to be a loooong year. If Saban can lose to La Monroe and Kirby can lose to Vandy, what is ol KB gonna do against that schedule? It probably wouldn't be so bad if so many talented players hadn't of transferred away. They won't admit it, at least on this cesspool of a forum anyway, but losing Caleb Downs, was huuuuuuuuuge. They're gonna struggle. I'd say they'll lose 3 games. Which is a bad season for the Tide.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 2:43 pm
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24908 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

They won't admit it, at least on this cesspool of a forum anyway, but losing Proctor, their star OT was huuuuuuuuuge. They're gonna struggle.


About that…
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30214 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

They won't admit it, at least on this cesspool of a forum anyway, but losing Proctor, their star OT was huuuuuuuuuge.
Umm???
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 2:36 pm
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30214 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

In conclusion, who the frick knows at this point.
What the hell, I'll throw a dollar on the over.
Posted by Lucado
Member since Nov 2023
2521 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

How often has a 1st-year SEC coach won 10 regular season games?


Miles did at LSU after inheriting Saban’s roster. DeBoer will do well in the short term. The question is whether he can sustain it.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 2:42 pm
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
23105 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

who the frick knows

Yeah, I mean as much as I'd love to wax poetic about what could happen week-to-week, I really don't know much about what type of offensive or defensive schemes to expect, who the starters will be, what the coaching tendencies are, etc.

We sort of have a good idea on some of the above, but really even that is mostly speculation at this point in terms of how it all comes together at the current program.

So yeah, liking everything in theory, but just kind of along for the ride until we actually get some games behind us, because there's really nothing to do a deep-dive on or comparison to yet.
Posted by Darindawg
Member since May 2022
1957 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:42 pm to
Sorry, I meant Caleb Downs.
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72183 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

They won't admit it, at least on this cesspool of a forum anyway, but losing Proctor, their star OT was huuuuuuuuuge.


Who wants to tell him?
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
8057 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:43 pm to
Alabama was a train wreck when Saban arrived. Alabama was in great shape when Deboer arrived. A better comparison would be to see how the last coach to follow Saban did.

The last coach to take over tor Nick Saban before now was Les Miles. Before getting to Baton Rouge, Miles had never won more than 9 games in a season. He went 11-2 his first year at LSU.

Alabama will arguably have as much talent as any team in the country. They will most likely finish the regular season 11-1 or 10-2. I’d take the over.
Posted by Darindawg
Member since May 2022
1957 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:43 pm to
Yeah, I meant Caleb Downs. Proctor has returned, hasn't he? That was the last thing I heard on him,
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
190 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:44 pm to
You can get better odds they lose 3 or more than 2 or less. DeBust has only been the coach a few months and you can see what Vegas thinks
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72183 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

Yeah, I meant Caleb Downs. Proctor has returned, hasn't he? That was the last thing I heard on him,


Difficult to take your argument seriously if you can’t get the player or position correct.
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
23105 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

meant Caleb Downs

Downs was probably the biggest loss statistically, but they also replaced him with Michigan transfer Keon Sabb, who rated out as a Top-20 safety in the nation last season.
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2710 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

If Saban can lose to La Monroe and Kirby can lose to Vandy, what is ol KB gonna do against that schedule


Neither inherited a program or roster even close to as talented as 2024 Bama.

This is a moronic take. Richt hadn’t accomplished anything meaningful in a decade and hadn’t had an offensive linemen or D tackle taken in the first round in years.

Bama’s roster with Saban in 2007 is laughable compared to what they are now.
Posted by theballguy
Colorado Springs, CO
Member since Oct 2011
1978 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

If Saban can lose to La Monroe and Kirby can lose to Vandy, what is ol KB gonna do against that schedule?


Saban inherited a bad Mike Shula led program.

Kirby inherited a still-Clempsoning Georgia team. Still took him a few years to get them out of that mode.

DeBoer took his last team to the NC game in his most recent year. And he's inheriting an elite Saban-led program.

You lack perspective
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73492 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:50 pm to
They got a kicker, so bet the trailer on 12-0.
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72183 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:52 pm to
You shouldn’t let that chap your arse so much.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73492 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:52 pm to
It's hilarious. I love it.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 2:53 pm
Posted by 14caratgoldjones
Uniontown, Al
Member since Aug 2009
1317 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:53 pm to
I’d say under.

The schedule is pretty tough with a lot of difficult away games. First year coach.

I’m all on the DeBoer train but I have to give him time to get settled and implement his system. If we’re 8-4 in year 3-4, I’m worried.

I’m thinking more like 8-4 for 2024. I’ll be disappointed but not jumping from the rooftop.

@ Wisconsin ( who knows. They’ll be fired up)
Georgia @ home. ( UGA)
SC @ home
@ Tn (better than last year)
@Mizzou ( they’ll be good)
@ LSU ( they’ll be good)
@ Oklahoma ( who knows)

AU Iron Bowl @ home to finish.
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