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After Week 13 SoS rankings.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:20 pm
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:20 pm
Using the FEI ELS metric. Pretty much the only SoS I consider valid since it's not based on averages.
Strength of schedule ratings represent the number of losses a team two standard deviations above average would expect to have against the schedule of opponents (ELS),
Only for games played thus far, doesn't count future games. Listed in order by overall rank, expected losses to the right.
1. Florida 2.71
3. Oklahoma 2.48
4. Kentucky 2.47
5. Georgia 2.36
8. Miss St 1.96
11. Arkansas 1.89
12. LSU 1.86
12. Vandy 1.86
14. USC 1.71
16. Alabama 1.66
24. Texas A&M 1.39
25. Ole Miss 1.37
28. Tennessee 1.28
31. Missouri 1.22
37. Auburn 1.09
40. Texas 1.04
Non SEC Top10:
15. Ohio St 1.69
27. Penn St 1.30
35. Oregon 1.16
39. Indiana 1.06
73. Notre Dame .63
81. Miami .60
86 SMU .53
My thoughts:
Florida being #1 has been expected all year, so not a big surprise. Lucky FSU is so bad, and it's still brutal. Oklahoma could pass them next week.
Brian Kelly is really missing that Notre Dame schedule, the LSU schedule is almost 3 times more difficult. Florida's schedule is 4.3 times more difficult than ND.
Indiana now has a SoS as good as Texas, and they both got blown out by the 1 good team they played.
Speaking of Texas, Texas and Auburn finally get a schedule strength with an expected loss over 1. Congrats.
It's ridiculous that the people who vote in these polls and committee don't pay more attention to SoS. Stop rewarding teams for playing weak schedules.
2024 FEI Ratings
Strength of schedule ratings represent the number of losses a team two standard deviations above average would expect to have against the schedule of opponents (ELS),
Only for games played thus far, doesn't count future games. Listed in order by overall rank, expected losses to the right.
1. Florida 2.71
3. Oklahoma 2.48
4. Kentucky 2.47
5. Georgia 2.36
8. Miss St 1.96
11. Arkansas 1.89
12. LSU 1.86
12. Vandy 1.86
14. USC 1.71
16. Alabama 1.66
24. Texas A&M 1.39
25. Ole Miss 1.37
28. Tennessee 1.28
31. Missouri 1.22
37. Auburn 1.09
40. Texas 1.04
Non SEC Top10:
15. Ohio St 1.69
27. Penn St 1.30
35. Oregon 1.16
39. Indiana 1.06
73. Notre Dame .63
81. Miami .60
86 SMU .53
My thoughts:
Florida being #1 has been expected all year, so not a big surprise. Lucky FSU is so bad, and it's still brutal. Oklahoma could pass them next week.
Brian Kelly is really missing that Notre Dame schedule, the LSU schedule is almost 3 times more difficult. Florida's schedule is 4.3 times more difficult than ND.
Indiana now has a SoS as good as Texas, and they both got blown out by the 1 good team they played.
Speaking of Texas, Texas and Auburn finally get a schedule strength with an expected loss over 1. Congrats.
It's ridiculous that the people who vote in these polls and committee don't pay more attention to SoS. Stop rewarding teams for playing weak schedules.
2024 FEI Ratings
This post was edited on 11/25/24 at 4:28 pm
10
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:23 pm to 3down10
quote:
Brian Kelly is really missing that Notre Dame schedule, the LSU schedule is almost 3 times more difficult. Florida's schedule is 4.3 times more difficult than ND.
Just wondering, what is Washington's schedule? I bet DeBoer misses that regular season schedule he had last year.
This post was edited on 11/25/24 at 4:25 pm
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:26 pm to SEC Doctor
quote:
Just wondering, what is Washington's schedule? I bet DeBoer misses that regular season schedule he had last year.
Washington is #26, 1.32 expected losses, 10 spots below Alabama this year.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:27 pm to 3down10
quote:
30 Kansas
34 missouri
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:31 pm to 3down10
quote:
39. Indiana 1.06
40. Texas 1.04
73. Notre Dame .63
That's interesting.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:36 pm to MikeyFL
Don't know why Texas is included, they'll be sitting 12-1 with a top 5 SOS on selection sunday
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:39 pm to Lolathon234
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:42 pm to 3down10
Yet if you could beat unranked teams like we do it wouldn't even be a problem now would it? How can anyone take a team serious that gets embarrassed by a team with literally no offense. Our strength of schedule is the least of your issues Bama Boy
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:43 pm to CNB
Florida, Vandy and Arky only have a losing record because they HAD to play Texas, a de facto scheduled loss. Can't play Ole Miss/LSU, Bama and Tennessee every week 
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:43 pm to CNB
crazy texas hasnt played 2 sec teams with wining record in conference
Posted on 11/25/24 at 4:59 pm to Jabontik
Why? Kirby's made a career out of it
2021
USCjr 3-5
@ Vandy 0-8
Arky 4-4
@ Barn 3-5
Kentucky 5-3
Florida 2-6
Misery 3-5
@ Tenner 4-4
2022
USCjr 4-4
@ Misery 3-5
Barn 2-6
Vandy 2-6
Florida 3-5
Tenner 6-2
@ State 4-4
@ Kentucky 3-5
2023
USCjr 3-5
@ Barn 3-5
Kentucky 3-5
@ Vandy 0-8
Florida 3-5
Misery 6-2
Old Piss 6-2
@ Tenner 4-4
2021
USCjr 3-5
@ Vandy 0-8
Arky 4-4
@ Barn 3-5
Kentucky 5-3
Florida 2-6
Misery 3-5
@ Tenner 4-4
2022
USCjr 4-4
@ Misery 3-5
Barn 2-6
Vandy 2-6
Florida 3-5
Tenner 6-2
@ State 4-4
@ Kentucky 3-5
2023
USCjr 3-5
@ Barn 3-5
Kentucky 3-5
@ Vandy 0-8
Florida 3-5
Misery 6-2
Old Piss 6-2
@ Tenner 4-4
Posted on 11/25/24 at 5:02 pm to 3down10
Florida's schedule was a beast and their recent run is amazing IMO.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 5:16 pm to Lolathon234
Being the good guy I am, I'll provide a fair retort for UTjr
Posted on 11/25/24 at 5:55 pm to CNB
quote:
a fair retort for UTjr
quote:
two shitty Alabama losses
Posted on 11/25/24 at 5:56 pm to CNB
I mean, it’s fair.
SEC posters on here are bashing every other conference but also want to bash the schedule of the team leading their own conference.
SEC posters on here are bashing every other conference but also want to bash the schedule of the team leading their own conference.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 6:00 pm to 3down10
Only shitty teams clutch on to SOS rankings.
You know how to make your SOS go up? Lose to your opponent.
Dumbasses.
You know how to make your SOS go up? Lose to your opponent.
Dumbasses.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 6:01 pm to 3down10
quote:
Using the FEI ELS metric. Pretty much the only SoS I consider valid since it's not based on averages.
It still suffers from the main flaw in all SOS rankings; not enough meaningful OOC games to draw meaningful comparisons. If they really want to make SOS more useful, do two things.
First, no more G5, FCS, or Independent games. Only P4, and the Big 12 is included on a trial basis to see if it's competitive.
Second, every team plays 8 conference games and 4 randomly rotating OOC games, including at least one from each conference. They might have to make every participating conference the same size to make the schedules work.
This post was edited on 11/25/24 at 6:20 pm
Posted on 11/25/24 at 6:03 pm to wdhalgren
Poor Texas fans crying
This post was edited on 11/25/24 at 6:05 pm
Posted on 11/25/24 at 6:05 pm to Jrv2damac
quote:
I mean, it’s fair.
SEC posters on here are bashing every other conference but also want to bash the schedule of the team leading their own conference.
What are the rosters for each Big 12 team like? Try to compare to the SEC team's roster. The key is to have more 4* and some 5* recruits than to have 3* and a few 4* recruits. That is why the Big 12 are far behind on the overall talents. Then the next is coaching.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 6:10 pm to TrueLefty
quote:
missouri
Please refer to my first post in here.
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