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BHMKyle
Georgia Fan
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
4111 posts

COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
Here's how I know the USA is doing a very good job of catching up in testing.... our fatality rate is the only major country that has seen its fatality rate lower during the past week:

+4.14%: Netherlands (from 1.70% up to 5.84%)
+3.93%: Spain (from 3.44% up to 7.37%)
+3.59%: France (from 2.23% up to 5.82%)
+2.58%: Belgium (from 0.95% up to 3.53%)
+2.48%: Italy (from 7.71% up to 10.19%)
+1.91%: Iran (from 5.69% up to 7.60%)
+1.40%: United Kingdom (from 3.56% up to 4.96%)
+1.39%: Portugal (from 0.30% up to 1.69%)
+0.81%: Switzerland (from 0.81% up to 1.62%)
+0.51%: South Korea (from 0.91% up to 1.42%)
+0.41%: Austria (0.29% up to 0.70%)
+0.37%: Germany (from 0.23% up to 0.60%)
---------------------------------------------------
-0.44%: USA (From 1.87% down to 1.43%)


These 14 countries account for over 378,000 cases. Yet only one of these has seen their fatality rate decrease during the past 10 days.

So yes, the USA now has the most reported cases.... but this actually shows how fast the USA has caught up in testing. Our testing has kept up with the spread of the disease so that the overall fatality rate has dropped.

For all of these other countries to show a rising fatality rate despite adding more and more new cases each day, it shows they aren't testing nearly at the rate to keep up with the spread of the disease.

The Administration caught a lot of flack early on about not having enough tests, but I believe what's been accomplished in the last 10 days is actually quite remarkable, and its supported by actual stats.


rockiee
Houston Astros Fan
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
22524 posts

re: COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
Great find

What is the total number of people tested in the U.S. and what percentage of them have been negative?


MIZ_COU
Missouri Fan
I'm right here
Member since Oct 2013
13447 posts

re: COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
I'm on my roof picking off zombies


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50
TT9
Alabama Fan
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
80760 posts

re: COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
quote:

What is the total number of people tested in the U.S. and what percentage of them have been negative?
sadly this


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20
NoMansLand
Lamar Fan
Member since Jun 2017
778 posts

re: COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
Kyle,

I’d like to have your enthusiasm with now having the most cases in the World and a decreasing death rate but....many of those cases will need hospital beds eventually and some of those will need respirators. I think by this time next week (assuming growth rate becomes less “exponential”), mortality rate will actually increase. Places like Italy and Spain are likely running out of resources thus more folks are dying even with strict isolation.

Even if actual case growth declines, less resources mean more deaths. I believe that’s a lot of the theory in flattening the curve I’d like to be wrong but doubt I am.

This post was edited on 3/26 at 7:29 pm


Arksulli
Arkansas Fan
Fayetteville
Member since Aug 2014
18797 posts

re: COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
quote:

Even if actual case growth declines, less resources mean more deaths. I believe that’s a lot of the theory in flattening the curve I’d like to be wrong but doubt I am.




That is the plan. The C-Virus is officially out in the wild. There isn't a whole hell of a lot we can do to stop it at this point. But by slowing down the rate of infection we keep our hospitals from being overwhelmed. At least we hope we can.

What we are also desperately hoping to avoid is the dreaded medical personnel crash which has happened in some countries. With protective gear becoming increasingly rare the chances of doctors and nurses getting the virus increases dramatically. If medical personnel begin to get sidelined than the mortality rate will begin to climb again.


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USA
Member since 2001
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RockyMtnTigerWDE
Auburn Fan
Co-Captain PosiBarners
Member since Oct 2010
81496 posts

re: COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
quote:

now having the most cases in the World


Not if China were being honest.



StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Florida Fan
Mexico City, Mexico.
Member since Sep 2013
19770 posts

re: COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
quote:

now having the most cases in the World



Not if China were being honest.


Or South Korea. Both countries are trying to keep the numbers low to keep their people in order. India doesn't test very much, either, and the Mexican President as of a day or two ago was saying: "Go out and hug people, if you can eat out, eat out. Don't worry about it."

We're barely testing here at all.


BFANLC
Alabama Fan
The Beach
Member since Oct 2007
2864 posts

re: COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
Way behind on testing...more attention is given to the bigger states while less populated states, Alabama for example, dont have enough tests.

Also someone please explain to me how people who dont show symptoms are being tested for it. Actors, politicians, sports figures, etc. I've seen post after post on social media where people are coming out saying they werent symptomatic but were tested. And yet there are thousands that are symptomatic that cant get testing.


dcbl
USA Fan
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
22147 posts

re: COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
quote:

quote:
now having the most cases in the World



Not if China were being honest.


Or South Korea.


Japan says "hold my beer" -- speculation is they are underreporting in an effort to save the Olympics

must be an Asian thing...


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11
hogfly
Arkansas Fan
Fayetteville, AR
Member since May 2014
3736 posts

re: COVID 19 Fatality Rate Change in the Past 10 Days
quote:

Also someone please explain to me how people who dont show symptoms are being tested for it. Actors, politicians, sports figures, etc. I've seen post after post on social media where people are coming out saying they werent symptomatic but were tested. And yet there are thousands that are symptomatic that cant get testing.


Not too hard to figure that one out: it's called money.

If you're rich and/or influential, you have access to a different health care system than the poors.



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