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re: #6 Auburn (9-2) vs #1 Alabama (11-0) (-4.5) (O/U 47.5) - Prediction Model
Posted on 11/22/17 at 8:21 am to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 11/22/17 at 8:21 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Maybe the 1 point includes the Miracle play???????
I mean If we win by 1 so be it, but my soul can't take it lol
0
Posted on 11/22/17 at 8:59 am to CrimsonBoz
quote:
If this comes down to a single point I may not make it through the game and if I see a single miracle play early I will flip my shite.
I'm watching this game with my grandmother, well and the rest of the family.
I guess the silver lining of her dementia is that she may not remember the profanity laden tirade that will surely erupt from lips should the Fambly pull off another miracle.
Posted on 11/22/17 at 4:07 pm to FairhopeTider
Not much of a drinker...only on occasion. I think Saturday qualifies.
I will be hanging with Sam Adams for a bit.
I will be hanging with Sam Adams for a bit.
Posted on 11/22/17 at 10:31 pm to XenScott
Hey golfntiger32 - you realize about half of those posts you quotes were sarcastic, right?
Who the fvck would seriously claim Alabama is good at kicking field goals and Auburn isn't?
Who the fvck would seriously claim Alabama is good at kicking field goals and Auburn isn't?
Posted on 11/23/17 at 3:28 am to SummerOfGeorge
What model do you use? Or is this just your thoughts?
How did you arrive at the scores? Just an average what their respective scores this season?
How did you arrive at the scores? Just an average what their respective scores this season?
This post was edited on 11/23/17 at 3:36 am
Posted on 11/23/17 at 5:53 am to XenScott
Prepare thyself Xen and have the booze ready. For whatever reason this game never goes completely smooth.
Posted on 11/23/17 at 8:54 am to Ted2010
quote:
What model do you use? Or is this just your thoughts?
How did you arrive at the scores? Just an average what their respective scores this season?
Compare Rush/Pass YPA to opponents averages for the year to get an average of how each team performs against opponents averages. Do that for Rush/Pass and both on defense. Compare offense and defense, average, calculate each teams yards per point and yards per point against. Figure out average number of plays and breakout run/pass.
Then it all pops out.
It's nothing proprietary, really, though I just kind of came up with it. It generally pops out a very similar score to Vegas/S&P. However, it gives a pretty good idea of areas where one team might do something we don't expect (State rushing the ball for decent YPA for one).
This post was edited on 11/23/17 at 8:54 am
Posted on 11/23/17 at 9:48 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Who the fvck would seriously claim Alabama is good at kicking field goals and Auburn isn't?
Maybe that'll be the miracle...us hitting all of our FGs straight down the middle.
Posted on 11/23/17 at 4:10 pm to SummerOfGeorge
I might as well go ahead and start planning my funeral, because I won’t survive a game that is that close.
Posted on 11/25/17 at 8:51 am to SummerOfGeorge
@George ... Have you run it against common opponents only (the West + Mercer) to see what the result is?
This post was edited on 11/25/17 at 9:00 am
Posted on 11/25/17 at 10:06 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:Not so fun fact: UA is 1 for 6 in 1-pt games vs. The Barn.
#1 ALABAMA 26
#6 AUBURN 25
Fun fact: Auburn's most consistent tradition is being #2 in the state, and that is not changing today.
This post was edited on 11/25/17 at 10:10 am
Posted on 11/25/17 at 11:31 am to Che Boludo
Ugh this is why I think the boogs win. Two evenly matched teams but it is at the barn so.....
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