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Blue-Chip Ratio 2021: The 16 teams who can win a national title
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:36 pm
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:36 pm
Texas A&M is a big riser
As predicted last year, the Aggies rose quite a bit in the most recent edition, going from 50 percent to 61 percent. This is thanks to continued good recruiting and also to the 2017 class rotating off the slate.
Who could be next?
Washington, as it is only a percentage point away.
Outside of that, the only other schools who are even on the radar are the Tennessee Volunteers, Florida State Seminoles and the North Carolina Tar Heels.
Tennessee sits at 48 percent, but with a new coach and uncertainty about its NCAA future, it might be tough to sign enough blue chips to get over the hump.
Florida State has great recruiting momentum as of this writing, but is almost certainly two classes away even if things go well with the 2022 cycle.
North Carolina at 35 percent is probably two classes away, as the 2019 class serves as a bit of an anchor on its number.
The drop-off from the schools close to the rest of the programs is steep
There just aren’t any teams threatening to crash the party.
The days of discussing whether teams like South Carolina, Ole Miss, Michigan State, or TCU can make a jump into the upper tier of talent have been shelved. Those teams were winning a lot and scoring some wins against the college football goliaths in the early and mid-2010s, which left us to wonder if they could turn wins into a few more elite recruits.
LINK
Here is how 2020 looked.
Here is how each team faired.
Alabama: 13-0, #1
Georgia: 8-2, #7
Ohio State: 7-1 #2
Texas: 7-3, #19
Lsu: 5-5, NR
Clemson: 10-2, #3
Florida: 8-4, #13
Michigan: 2-4, NR
Auburn: 6-5, NR
Penn St: 4-5, NR
Notre Dame: 10-2, #5
Washington: 3-1, NR
Southern Cal: 5-1, #21
Texas A&M: 9-1, #4
Biggest overachiever = A&M followed by Notre Dame
Biggest underachiever = UM followed by Lsu & Penn St
This post was edited on 6/14/21 at 1:05 pm
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:39 pm to Farmer1906
That is the result of the Fisher recruiting classes, now that all of the older players are gone. It will go up again next year
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:39 pm to Farmer1906
Auburn has about one more cycle left.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:40 pm to Farmer1906
Honestly surprised Clemson is that far behind UGA/Bama/Ohst. I would have figured they were right up there with us.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:40 pm to Farmer1906
Cincinnati would beat 3/4ths of the teams on that list by 17 or more. And so would we.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:41 pm to Farmer1906
ND, Wash, Miami, USC and A&M don't belong in that graphic.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:41 pm to ColoradoAg
quote:
That is the result of the Fisher recruiting classes, now that all of the older players are gone. It will go up again next year
The 2018 class will drop off (#17) and the 2022 class will be added. That should shoot us up to 65-69%.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:42 pm to SadUCFKnight
quote:
Cincinnati would beat 3/4ths of the teams on that list by 17 or more. And so would we.
They couldn't beat a halfway interested and partially opted out UGA team in the damn Peach Bowl.
Can't wait for the 12 team playoff to expose the G5.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:43 pm to SadUCFKnight
quote:
Cincinnati would beat 3/4ths of the teams on that list by 17 or more. And so would we.
Didn’t we just beat them with half our team opting out?
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:43 pm to DirtyDawg
Cincinnati lost their all-world DC to ND this offseason. It will cause them some issues
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:44 pm to lsusteve1
quote:
ND, Wash, Miami, USC and A&M don't belong in that graphic.
Are you saying they're lying about the blue chip ratio?
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:44 pm to SadUCFKnight
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Cincinnati would beat 3/4ths of the teams
They had a damn good team last year. Nearly beat UGA in the bowl game.
quote:
And so would we.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:48 pm to DirtyDawg
This year? There is a lot more talent in College Station than in Austin. Texas has no business anywhere near the top 10.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:49 pm to Farmer1906
quote:
Are you saying they're lying about the blue chip ratio?
Ratio or not, they aren't sniffing any NC's anytime soon.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:56 pm to deaux
This will be the first time in a LONG time that LSU/A&M will be close in talent level. With A&M's coaching, feel pretty damned good about the Fall
Posted on 6/14/21 at 12:58 pm to deaux
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I wonder where UNC is.
I'd make a snide comment about Lsu's 2020 bowl opponent but yall didn't make a bowl last year.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 1:00 pm to Farmer1906
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quote:
I wonder where UNC is.
I'd make a snide comment about Lsu's 2020 bowl opponent but yall didn't make a bowl last year.
You’ll have to take my word for it but I completely forgot y’all played UNC last year. Not a troll in any way.
I’m actually genuinely curious as I like what Mack Brown has got going on in Chapel Hill and they should be a dark horse CFP candidate this year.
Posted on 6/14/21 at 1:02 pm to deaux
Alright. I take it back then.
The answer is in the article I posted.
The answer is in the article I posted.
quote:
North Carolina at 35 percent is probably two classes away, as the 2019 class serves as a bit of an anchor on its number.
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