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SEC Blue Chip Ratios
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:20 am
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:20 am
Before season starts, I like to calculate Blue Chip Ratios for teams, as it is a good indication of the talent level per team.
Talent level isnt the only factor in a teams success, as coaching, gameplans, key matchups, good QB, leadership, etc factors in (ex. Kentucky had a low BCR last year and did very well.)
BCR is the amount of 4/5 star players divided by total active scholorships (in most cases - 85)
Note - No team has won a champion with less than a 52% BCR (Clemson 2017)
SEC EAST
1. Georgia - 71%
2. Florida - 45%
3. Tennessee - 42%
4. S. Carolina - 32%
5. Kentucky - 18%
6. Missouri - 10%
7. Vandy - 6%
SEC WEST
1. Alabama - 81%
2. LSU - 60%
3. Auburn - 54%
4. Texas A&M - 49%
5. Miss State - 25%
6. Arkansas - 22%
7. Ole Miss - 21%
Talent level isnt the only factor in a teams success, as coaching, gameplans, key matchups, good QB, leadership, etc factors in (ex. Kentucky had a low BCR last year and did very well.)
BCR is the amount of 4/5 star players divided by total active scholorships (in most cases - 85)
Note - No team has won a champion with less than a 52% BCR (Clemson 2017)
SEC EAST
1. Georgia - 71%
2. Florida - 45%
3. Tennessee - 42%
4. S. Carolina - 32%
5. Kentucky - 18%
6. Missouri - 10%
7. Vandy - 6%
SEC WEST
1. Alabama - 81%
2. LSU - 60%
3. Auburn - 54%
4. Texas A&M - 49%
5. Miss State - 25%
6. Arkansas - 22%
7. Ole Miss - 21%
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Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:21 am to SECUSC4
quote:
3. Tennessee - 42%
quote:
7. Vandy - 6%
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:22 am to SECUSC4
A few teams got some splainin’ to do.
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:30 am to SECUSC4
Wow...really shows how impressive Mizzou has been in spite of their lack of recruiting success. Must be the #poopswastikas
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:30 am to SECUSC4
This is a good article that goes over Bud Elliot’s version of the Blue Chip Ratio. I believe Elliot is the guy who really made the idea popular.
Elliot’s ratio removes transfers and walk ons from the numerator and denominator since these guys rarely affect teams in the same manner recruited guys do. Obviously, this is starting to change, especially with QB’s, but it’s still a valid adjustment.
With these adjustments, the following increases:
- Florida to 53% (above that coveted 50% threshold)
- LSU to 64%
- Georgia to 79%
- Auburn to 58%
Alabama actually decreases to 80%. Or maybe it was more of a rounding difference. I don’t know.
Either way, it’s an interesting metric to say the least.
Blue Chip Ratio 2019
Elliot’s ratio removes transfers and walk ons from the numerator and denominator since these guys rarely affect teams in the same manner recruited guys do. Obviously, this is starting to change, especially with QB’s, but it’s still a valid adjustment.
With these adjustments, the following increases:
- Florida to 53% (above that coveted 50% threshold)
- LSU to 64%
- Georgia to 79%
- Auburn to 58%
Alabama actually decreases to 80%. Or maybe it was more of a rounding difference. I don’t know.
Either way, it’s an interesting metric to say the least.
Blue Chip Ratio 2019
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:38 am to SECUSC4
I would imagine the many special teams guys we keep on scholarship hurt us a bit here 
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:53 am to SECUSC4
Is florida even calculable? seems as if they've lost too many players. Does not compute with irrational numbers. Don't come at me with any of that scientological BS auditing math either.
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:56 am to SECUSC4
You should do just starting rosters. That would be a better gauge.
Posted on 8/23/19 at 10:36 am to SECUSC4
OP is stealing info and claiming it as his own.
Posted on 8/23/19 at 11:18 am to SECUSC4
So, what you’re saying is, is that GA does less with more?
This post was edited on 8/23/19 at 11:19 am
Posted on 8/23/19 at 11:33 am to SECUSC4
It always seems like Tennessee doesn’t win 42% of their sec games.
Posted on 8/23/19 at 4:22 pm to SECUSC4
If Muschamp doesn’t do better then 4th then he should be on the hot seat with that talent gap between him and the bottom 3 in the east .
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