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re: BAMA now favored by 2.5 points

Posted on 1/9/12 at 12:45 pm to
Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
62687 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 12:45 pm to
I just hope its called fairly...
Posted by Hugo Stiglitz
Member since Oct 2010
72937 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 12:46 pm to
The media suckfest of bama has gotten to the general public (again) and has caused more money to be put on Bama. Very few experts are picking LSU (again) thus proving they are still blinded by the crimson whatever it is.
Posted by ApexTiger
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
53814 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

It's bc they are looking at STATS!!!!!!!


What does this one mean to you?

144-96
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:00 pm to
Books are gonna clean up.
Posted by GeauxSaban
VA
Member since Oct 2011
124 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

The media suckfest of bama has gotten to the general public (again) and has caused more money to be put on Bama. Very few experts are picking LSU (again) thus proving they are still blinded by the crimson whatever it is.


One of the casino guys was on the radio earlier and he said the general public is betting on LSU and the high rollers ($100,000 and up) that gamble for a living are betting on bama

The Superbook at the Las Vegas Hotel and Casino had twice as many LSU bets as Alabama, but the bigger bets were mostly on the Tide, director Jay Kornegay reported Sunday afternoon.
This post was edited on 1/9/12 at 1:41 pm
Posted by Alabamya
Da Ham
Member since Jan 2009
9179 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

You guys don't seem to understand how it works: The line moves when more money is bet on one side. They change the line to encourage bettors on the other side. In this case betting on Alabama is so heavy they're increasing the line to discourage bets on Alabama and encourage bets on LSU - but the line keeps going up because more of the betting public believes Alabama will win.


Wrong. Only 37% of the money is going on Bama. Public is playing LSU. Big money is playing Bama.
Posted by jcole4lsu
The Kwisatz Haderach
Member since Nov 2007
30922 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Alabama is now a solid 2 to 2.5 point favorite accross the board at every legal casino in the US and every offshore sports book.


bama is a one point favorite on 5dimes, which is the most used sportsbook on the MSB.

i put 250 on lsu ml +115
risk 250 to win 287.50
Posted by FreddieMac
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
21181 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:45 pm to
I would never bet on either of these teams against each other and give up any points. That is crazy, either of these teams could beat the other by 1, 2, 3 or 14.

This would make sense in how much the media is pushing the revenge factor and beat a team twice in one year factor.

LSU is basically at home with an undefeated 13-0 team that beat this team in their house. At worse this is even money
This post was edited on 1/9/12 at 1:47 pm
Posted by jcole4lsu
The Kwisatz Haderach
Member since Nov 2007
30922 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:46 pm to
quote:


Wrong. Only 37% of the money is going on Bama. Public is playing LSU. Big money is playing Bama.


if bama is the favorite, and the line keeps increasing to make bama even more of a favorite, it signals the majority of the money bet has been in favor of bama.

perhaps you meant total bets placed and not "money"
Posted by LSUBCILUVTHEM
The BIGBR
Member since Oct 2005
821 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:47 pm to
Dang - thats right. I forgot about Bama and thier Pay offs (J/K, well not really)!

This post was edited on 1/9/12 at 1:47 pm
Posted by ketchupmoney
New Orleans
Member since Apr 2011
379 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

Wrong. Only 37% of the money is going on Bama. Public is playing LSU. Big money is playing Bama.
No, your'e wrong. If more money was being wagered on LSU the line would fall. The line is rising with more $ bet on Alabama. It's about dollars not bettors.
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

One of the casino guys was on the radio earlier and he said the general public is betting on LSU and the high rollers ($100,000 and up) that gamble for a living are betting on bama

The Superbook at the Las Vegas Hotel and Casino had twice as many LSU bets as Alabama, but the bigger bets were mostly on the Tide, director Jay Kornegay reported Sunday afternoon.


Meaningless. I would put my knowledge up against ANY vegas high roller on these two teams and would bet I know more about them than 90% of the so called "high rollers".
Posted by SabanIsAGod
Jackson
Member since Oct 2009
3880 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

No, your'e wrong. If more money was being wagered on LSU the line would fall. The line is rising with more $ bet on Alabama. It's about dollars not bettors.



No he is right, you are just misunderstanding him. Higher volume of bets is on LSU, more money is being bet on Alabama.
Posted by jcole4lsu
The Kwisatz Haderach
Member since Nov 2007
30922 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:51 pm to
quote:


No he is right, you are just misunderstanding him. Higher volume of bets is on LSU, more money is being bet on Alabama.



thats not what he said at all. go re-read his post he clearly said only 30 something % of the "money" is bet on bama.
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
62417 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:54 pm to
Whenever the line moves 3 or more points, always go with Vegas. Vegas set the line at 1.5 for LSU. It's not at 2.5 for Bama. Vegas is hardly ever wrong by that much. Tigers Win!!!
Posted by Alabamya
Da Ham
Member since Jan 2009
9179 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

if bama is the favorite, and the line keeps increasing to make bama even more of a favorite, it signals the majority of the money bet has been in favor of bama.

perhaps you meant total bets placed and not "money"


No...it is a reverse line.More money going on Bama but your average Joe Blow is putting his 250 on LSU. Lhe line is moving to get more Joe blows to play LSU.
Posted by crimsonsaint
Member since Nov 2009
37278 posts
Posted on 1/9/12 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

Unreal.


Oh it's very real.
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