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Here’s the TRUTH about LSU football in my opinion
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:04 am
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:04 am
I don’t believe that football is the same that it used to be.
Now you don’t just have to pay for facilities and coaches to win you also have a 35 million dollar payroll for players. Teams simply cannot afford the crazy buyout numbers in this economy with NIL a reality. Woodward screwed you. He screwed us too but we can afford it a bit easier.
It comes down to choosing if you pay for buyouts or pay for players. Most teams cannot afford both.
You need billionaire alumni to win now. Billionaires. Because if you need to raise 40 million a year to pay players only billionaires can afford it annually.
And here’s the thing about billionaires. They don’t pay for investments that don’t win.
So I don’t know where LSU gets the cash to fix this, but I think you’re going to need the buyout numbers to come down a bit for a few years before you get enough cash to fix it.
Or you make the buyout and just have way less for NIL. I just don’t see 85 million coming into LSU in a single year to do both.
With NIL a reality the turnaround time for teams isn’t what it used to be. It’s a different ballgame now.
If I were LSU I’d fire Kelley. Pay the buyout. Put the money into players and hire an up and coming coach like the Aggies did. You’ve got to pay the players. You can grow a coach. Spend your money on talent.
I’d also watch baseball instead for a few years.
Flame away. But there’s truth to what I say.
Now you don’t just have to pay for facilities and coaches to win you also have a 35 million dollar payroll for players. Teams simply cannot afford the crazy buyout numbers in this economy with NIL a reality. Woodward screwed you. He screwed us too but we can afford it a bit easier.
It comes down to choosing if you pay for buyouts or pay for players. Most teams cannot afford both.
You need billionaire alumni to win now. Billionaires. Because if you need to raise 40 million a year to pay players only billionaires can afford it annually.
And here’s the thing about billionaires. They don’t pay for investments that don’t win.
So I don’t know where LSU gets the cash to fix this, but I think you’re going to need the buyout numbers to come down a bit for a few years before you get enough cash to fix it.
Or you make the buyout and just have way less for NIL. I just don’t see 85 million coming into LSU in a single year to do both.
With NIL a reality the turnaround time for teams isn’t what it used to be. It’s a different ballgame now.
If I were LSU I’d fire Kelley. Pay the buyout. Put the money into players and hire an up and coming coach like the Aggies did. You’ve got to pay the players. You can grow a coach. Spend your money on talent.
I’d also watch baseball instead for a few years.
Flame away. But there’s truth to what I say.
17
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:09 am to BigSneezy
Agreed, it’ll be interesting to see how these contracts look in this round of coaching hires but I think the era of big buy outs are over, or at least they should be. The ADs have to grow spines here and tell Sexton and them NO on the big buy outs clauses.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:15 am to BigSneezy
Oh and one more thing. Fire your AD. He signed that crazy arse contract. We cleaned house from the AD down. You should do the same.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:15 am to ukraine_rebel
quote:
it’ll be interesting to see how these contracts look in this round of coaching hires but I think the era of big buy outs are over, or at least they should be. The ADs have to grow spines here and tell Sexton and them NO on the big buy outs clauses.
Don’t worry.
We will overpay and provide a golden parachute to whoever we hire.
GM may be what programs need to focus on going forward. A good GM will allocate money properly for players and coaches.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:17 am to makersmark1
quote:
GM may be what programs need to focus on going forward. A good GM will allocate money properly for players and coaches.
I agree. I was just posting to fire the AD. Totally on point.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:19 am to ukraine_rebel
quote:
it’ll be interesting to see how these contracts look in this round of coaching hires but I think the era of big buy outs are over, or at least they should be.
Ole Miss about to give Kiffin one of those contracts....
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:20 am to John Casey
quote:
Ole Miss about to give Kiffin one of those contracts....
They would be better served to hire an up and coming coach and pay players instead of coaches.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:33 am to BigSneezy
This is a solid post and point. However I will take the other side for a couple of reasons. First, you assume the boosters are rational economic actors, and which I don’t think is true. People are absolutely livid about the product on the field for what Kelly is being paid, and they will do economically irrational things in response.
Second, I would bet Woodward raised promises for Kelly’s $100M before their deal was done. That money is still there, so now you’re just faced with raising enough for a new coach; see point one for why that could be likely.
If humans behaved in economically rational ways, you’d be spot on. But this performance by Kelly over the past 4 years has the entire state absolutely furious. Kelly will not finish his contract here and is probably gone by the end of next year.
Second, I would bet Woodward raised promises for Kelly’s $100M before their deal was done. That money is still there, so now you’re just faced with raising enough for a new coach; see point one for why that could be likely.
If humans behaved in economically rational ways, you’d be spot on. But this performance by Kelly over the past 4 years has the entire state absolutely furious. Kelly will not finish his contract here and is probably gone by the end of next year.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:35 am to BigSneezy
It’s LSU, we always watch baseball
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:45 am to Tzanghi
quote:
This is a solid post and point. However I will take the other side for a couple of reasons. First, you assume the boosters are rational economic actors, and which I don’t think is true. People are absolutely livid about the product on the field for what Kelly is being paid, and they will do economically irrational things in response. Second, I would bet Woodward raised promises for Kelly’s $100M before their deal was done. That money is still there, so now you’re just faced with raising enough for a new coach; see point one for why that could be likely. If humans behaved in economically rational ways, you’d be spot on. But this performance by Kelly over the past 4 years has the entire state absolutely furious. Kelly will not finish his contract here and is probably gone by the end of next year.
All good points. You’re right. But this is a lot like financial investing. You can’t make emotional decisions. If you do, the outcome is probably random. Maybe you win or maybe you lose.
Structuring a program based on paying players is the way to go.
Indiana is in the playoffs. Vandy also in the playoffs possibly. It’s no longer a requirement to have a 100 million athletics payroll. Spend money on things that build players and their salaries. Not on head coaching contracts. That does very little for your team in an NIL era.
I personally hope you resign another crazy buyout. It will only limit your NIL money. I’m all for that.
But that’s a horrible decision.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:46 am to BigSneezy
Agreed. Woodward guaranteed this imbecile $100m
We are screwed for the foreseeable future
We are screwed for the foreseeable future
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:47 am to BigSneezy
quote:
And here’s the thing about billionaires. They don’t pay for investments that don’t win.
Isn’t A&M the all time leader in spending without winning?
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:48 am to Chimlim
No man. 10 million a year. So go out and hire a hungry coach for 2 million a year. Pay the note on the 10 million every year and put all the money you can towards paying players.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:48 am to Chimlim
LSU and their board have the money. Don’t worry about that.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:49 am to BigSneezy
Sounds like a very roundabout way of saying NIL has ruined college football.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:52 am to BigSneezy
quote:
Flame away. But there’s truth to what I say
No flaming here. I agree with 100% of what you said. LSU is in a generational predicament right now and it’s infuriating.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:52 am to BigSneezy
hire an up and coming coach like the Aggies did.
I wouldn’t really consider Elko an up and coming coach. He was the Head Coach at Duke before being hired to A&M. I get what you’re saying but you’re making Elko out to be some hidden gym that A&M found.
I wouldn’t really consider Elko an up and coming coach. He was the Head Coach at Duke before being hired to A&M. I get what you’re saying but you’re making Elko out to be some hidden gym that A&M found.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:58 am to BearCrocs
quote:
I wouldn’t really consider Elko an up and coming coach. He was the Head Coach at Duke before being hired to A&M. I get what you’re saying but you’re making Elko out to be some hidden gym that A&M found.
He was a find for sure. And he had experience and some success but he wasn’t a national championship contender coach when we hired him. We just believed he could grow a program.
That’s what I mean. Find a serviceable coach that is able to build a program. Don’t look for a splash hire, it’s fools gold.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 8:01 am to skrayper
We
Have
A
Winner
Have
A
Winner
Posted on 10/26/25 at 8:02 am to BigSneezy
Find a serviceable coach that is able to build a program
BK is the winningest active CFN coach of all time and built his programs along his stops.
The problem is that was all before NIL and like other programs, LSU hasn’t figured it out.
If Elko doesn’t win the NC this year what will Aggie be saying about Elko? That he can’t win the big game(s)?
Every program has its own storyline.
I’d pump the brakes a little bit about A&M suddenly on the cusp of going on some dynasty run.
BK is the winningest active CFN coach of all time and built his programs along his stops.
The problem is that was all before NIL and like other programs, LSU hasn’t figured it out.
If Elko doesn’t win the NC this year what will Aggie be saying about Elko? That he can’t win the big game(s)?
Every program has its own storyline.
I’d pump the brakes a little bit about A&M suddenly on the cusp of going on some dynasty run.
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