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2025 StatSim: Texas A&M at LSU
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:13 am
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:13 am
Gonna be a close game on the road... but my model mirrors the betting line this week.
25
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:23 am to SpreadsheetAg
As a Tiger fan, F**k you and the Aggies
With that said, I hope y'all hang 50 on us
With that said, I hope y'all hang 50 on us
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:26 am to SpreadsheetAg
You should win...
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:28 am to louisianimal69
quote:
As a Tiger fan, F**k you and the Aggies With that said, I hope y'all hang 50 on us
Trust me, from 30 years of watching Aggie Football, I get this 100%
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:29 am to SpreadsheetAg
I mean, you can just look at these two teams play and in 10 seconds realize that aggie should win. That's a lot of detail to support the eye test.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:32 am to SpreadsheetAg
Throw in a potentially soggy field to the equation.
Good stuff, Spreadsheet. Always an interesting matchup.
Good stuff, Spreadsheet. Always an interesting matchup.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:32 am to SpreadsheetAg
Where or how does HFA calculate into your formula? since Vegas takes it into account just making sure that’s taken into account here cuz if A&M is a 3 pt favorite on a neutral field per your formula HFA would be enough to swing that point differential
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:38 am to SpreadsheetAg
quote:
Texas A&M at LSU
Got a feeling LSU pulls this one out.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:40 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
There is an advantage given for home field in the formula...
If I change it to "Neutral" then it comes in at 26-19 Aggies; if I change it to Home for A&M, it comes out to around 29-18 Aggies
So LSU is in effect getting about 6-7 points aggregate for being at home vs A&M being at home.
If I change it to "Neutral" then it comes in at 26-19 Aggies; if I change it to Home for A&M, it comes out to around 29-18 Aggies
So LSU is in effect getting about 6-7 points aggregate for being at home vs A&M being at home.
This post was edited on 10/21/25 at 8:42 am
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:42 am to TideSaint
quote:
Got a feeling LSU pulls this one out.
I wish I could agree. But now we've learned our defense sucks against offenses that don't suck and there is no hope that our Oline or Nuss will get better.
I kinda feel like the wheels are about to come off in a big way at LSU.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:44 am to SpreadsheetAg
I'm not touching this game.
A&M should win by 7, but this is the type of bullshite Tiger Stadium game that LSU wins once a year during "down" seasons that it has absolutely no business winning. (See 2022 Alabama, 2024 Ole Miss, etc.)
A&M should win by 7, but this is the type of bullshite Tiger Stadium game that LSU wins once a year during "down" seasons that it has absolutely no business winning. (See 2022 Alabama, 2024 Ole Miss, etc.)
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:46 am to CatholicLSUDude
quote:I cannot stand losing to Texas A&M. Having said that, if it all starts to come apart then we will send Brian Kelly on his way. I am good with that.
I kinda feel like the wheels are about to come off in a big way at LSU.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:51 am to louisianimal69
quote:
With that said, I hope y'all hang 50 on us
Well that's just fricking stupid.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:53 am to Tarpon08
LSU in a blow out.
Rodo
Rodo
Posted on 10/21/25 at 9:02 am to SpreadsheetAg
quote:
Gonna be a close game on the road..
Aggy is about as worse a match up we can have.
I dont think so.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 9:02 am to SpreadsheetAg
I'm concerned about LSU's back-up left tackle that had horrible grades last week. He was having a hard time with Vandy and gets Cassius Howell on Saturday.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 9:02 am to TideSaint
quote:
Got a feeling LSU pulls this one out.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 9:03 am to Tantal
quote:
I'm concerned about LSU's back-up left tackle that had horrible grades last week. He was having a hard time with Vandy and gets Cassius Howell on Saturday.
exactly.
I nasty D line with a mobile QB is about as bad a match up as we can have.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 9:03 am to SpreadsheetAg
Is there anything you see that caused last week to deviate so much?
Posted on 10/21/25 at 9:06 am to Wolfhound45
quote:
I cannot stand losing to Texas A&M
I mean, what kind of terrible fan would you be if you could stand losing to anybody?
I can’t stand losing to anybody
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