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We still have a lot of shake up about to occur
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:44 am
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:44 am
IU vs OSU knocks one of them down to being an away team in the CFP and/or out completely if they make their conf game and also loss that game.
Bama vs. Texas in the SEC does the exact same thing to these teams.
Bama vs. Texas in the SEC does the exact same thing to these teams.
12
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:47 am to Dawg4Life47
quote:
Bama vs. Texas in the SEC does the exact same thing to these teams.
Nope
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:48 am to Dawg4Life47
I like that UGA completed their SEC run and gets a bit of a break while others toil. Bama is also sitting pretty and not at all worried about Oklahoma and Auburn. I expect to see the Tide later in the playoffs.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:50 am to Dawg4Life47
I still feel like the committee will get it wrong and give the B1G 4 spots. They will ignore SOS and likely reward records.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:50 am to Dawg4Life47
The CFP committee is starting to lay the narrative that the SEC isn't good this year, because of the relative parity. Simultaneously, they're going to spin the B10 as being really deep.
SEC gets 3 teams, tops. And I don't know if the SECCG loser is one of them.
I'm not saying I like or agree with this - just that it's likely going to happen.
SEC gets 3 teams, tops. And I don't know if the SECCG loser is one of them.
I'm not saying I like or agree with this - just that it's likely going to happen.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:50 am to Dawg4Life47
OSU is a lock for the playoffs unless they lose to both IU and UM... I dont see how they lose both of those games. No way the committee is putting a 2 loss OSU behind all of the 2 loss SEC teams. They have OSU at 2 with a top 4 win and a 1 point loss to #1 currently, losing to #5 (who would then be ranked 1 or 2) wouldnt move the needle much
I think IU is probably in unless they lose by 20+ points. If IU or OSU lose to Oregon in their CCG I dont see either one dropping out of the playoff brackets (IU would have 1 loss to #1 and OSU would have 2 losses to #1 in that instance)
If Army can knock off ND that would free up a playoff spot. If PSU loses to Minnesota (who is coming off a bye and has won 4 of their last 5) that would also free up another spot
I think IU is probably in unless they lose by 20+ points. If IU or OSU lose to Oregon in their CCG I dont see either one dropping out of the playoff brackets (IU would have 1 loss to #1 and OSU would have 2 losses to #1 in that instance)
If Army can knock off ND that would free up a playoff spot. If PSU loses to Minnesota (who is coming off a bye and has won 4 of their last 5) that would also free up another spot
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:50 am to RollDawgRoll
If Texas loses in the SECG, they will drop to an away team in the playoffs.
If Bama loses in the SECG, they will have 3 losses and possibly out or at min an away team.
Exact same setup. So, yep
If Bama loses in the SECG, they will have 3 losses and possibly out or at min an away team.
Exact same setup. So, yep
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:51 am to RoyalAir
I agree with your post and tbh I don’t think the SEC CG loser should be punished.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:53 am to GeauxBurrow312
quote:
OSU is a lock for the playoffs unless they lose to both IU and UM
Both of those things are possible.
Also, if they lose to IU, then that is 2 losses and they are an away team no doubt in the playoffs. The timing of the losses at the end are crucial.
One more point, that would mean the 2 best teams OSU played they lose too, they do not have any quality wins
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:54 am to Dawg4Life47
PSU (who OSU beat on road) is the most overrated team in the country. But the committee for whatever reason loves them... They have them at #4. Im not so sure OSU is even an away game if they lose to IU (unless its a blowout)
This post was edited on 11/19/24 at 9:55 am
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:56 am to Dawg4Life47
quote:
Texas loses in the SECG, they will drop to an away team in the playoffs.
If Texas loses to Bama in the SECCG, I don't think they get in. Seriously. I think it's Bama, UGa, Ole Miss. And that's it. There is a metric ton of anti-SEC bias not only in the committee, but in the national press at large. We don't see a lot of it because of where we all live/pay attention. But it's there. Indiana is getting in, even if they lose to Ohio State.
The committee is very B10-centric.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:57 am to Dawg4Life47
quote:
One more point, that would mean the 2 best teams OSU played they lose too, they do not have any quality wins
@ Penn State is definitely a quality win.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:00 am to Dawg4Life47
How do so many Big Ten teams have such terrible schedules? I mean, Texas drew an easy schedule but they are the only ones that did in the SEC.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:00 am to momentoftruth87
As a fellow SEC fan, I understand strength of schedule. IU has won all of the games they have played so they deserve a playoff spot. IUs opponents were nothing compared to SEC opponents. Let's not forget what happened to FSU last year either. The playoffs have always been a beauty pageant and the logic of choosing teams is fuzzy at best.
IU vs OSU will be interesting. If IU gets blown out by OSU, there will be a lot of questions but IU will only have one loss albeit to a quality opponent.
IU vs OSU will be interesting. If IU gets blown out by OSU, there will be a lot of questions but IU will only have one loss albeit to a quality opponent.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:01 am to RoyalAir
I dont think the media will push for IU regardless of game outcome. They are even trying to hype up Sanders as the COTY over Cignetti... Sanders doesnt even crack my top 3. Cignetti is the clear COTY (first 10 win season in IU history), and what Lashlee, Dillingham and Sitake have done with their programs is far more impressive than what Sanders has done
If IU loses by more than 14 the media will start trying to push them out, if they lose by 20 or more they are definitely gone
If IU loses by more than 14 the media will start trying to push them out, if they lose by 20 or more they are definitely gone
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:04 am to Landmass
B1G this year has very little separation outside of the top.
They have a clear top 4
Clear bottom 2 (Purdue, Northwestern)
And then everyone from 5 to 16 in their conference is about equal to each other. Bunch of mid programs. Not SEC quality, but I would still take them over ACC or Big 12.
They have a clear top 4
Clear bottom 2 (Purdue, Northwestern)
And then everyone from 5 to 16 in their conference is about equal to each other. Bunch of mid programs. Not SEC quality, but I would still take them over ACC or Big 12.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:07 am to bpatters69
quote:
IUs opponents were nothing compared to SEC opponents.
Kind of shows you how easy the B10 is. IU’s coach brought a bunch of JMU athletes and a MAC QB to IU and is undefeated in the B10.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:20 am to Dawg4Life47
If Texas goes 11-2 because they lost the SEC title game I don’t think they will hit the road, they would host.
Here’s an example:
We understand how the top 4 would work - B1G, Bama/SEC, ACC, Big 12
Hosts: B1G loser
Texas
Notre Dame
Penn State?
Road playoff teams:
Indiana
G5 rep
Other 2 loss SEC (Georgia)
Other 2 loss SEC (OM/Tenn)
This is how I think it would happen.
Since Bama would have 3 losses then that’s a little bit different (and yes I recognize they have a better SOS etc - again, we just now the way these things work sometimes)
Here’s an example:
We understand how the top 4 would work - B1G, Bama/SEC, ACC, Big 12
Hosts: B1G loser
Texas
Notre Dame
Penn State?
Road playoff teams:
Indiana
G5 rep
Other 2 loss SEC (Georgia)
Other 2 loss SEC (OM/Tenn)
This is how I think it would happen.
Since Bama would have 3 losses then that’s a little bit different (and yes I recognize they have a better SOS etc - again, we just now the way these things work sometimes)
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:21 am to TexasOnTop
IU's schedule:
Florida Int. (3-7)
Western Illinois (3-8)
UCLA (4-6)
Charlotte (3-7)
Maryland (4-6)
Northwestern (4-6)
Nebraska (5-5)
Washington (6-5)
Michigan State (4-6)
Michigan (5-5)
Ohio State (9-1)
Purdue (1-9)
Florida Int. (3-7)
Western Illinois (3-8)
UCLA (4-6)
Charlotte (3-7)
Maryland (4-6)
Northwestern (4-6)
Nebraska (5-5)
Washington (6-5)
Michigan State (4-6)
Michigan (5-5)
Ohio State (9-1)
Purdue (1-9)
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:26 am to Dawg4Life47
The SECCG loser, even if they have 3 losses afterwards will not be left out over a 2 loss team that didn’t play in it.
Bet whatever you’re willing to lose against that
Bet whatever you’re willing to lose against that
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