mortgageman82
| Favorite team: | Texas |
| Location: | Austin. TX |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 347 |
| Registered on: | 7/24/2021 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
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re: Men's NCAA basketball tournament schedule and bracket
Posted by mortgageman82 on 3/19/26 at 10:34 pm to Gator Fever
Dear God, hide the children. This is violent and ugly.
re: Very embarrassing showing by UT
Posted by mortgageman82 on 3/17/26 at 11:06 pm to BootyFett69
OP acts as if we beat our chest about our men’s basketball program.
Yeah, we don’t think we’ll win another game either. We don’t even really like the make up of this team.
Weird rant.
Yeah, we don’t think we’ll win another game either. We don’t even really like the make up of this team.
Weird rant.
Mark Stoops hired as special assistant to Sark @ Texas
Posted by mortgageman82 on 3/2/26 at 5:09 pm
Too lazy to post a link. Personally, my initial thoughts are positive on this hire.
Definitely an off-season full of interesting additions to the team and staff.
Definitely an off-season full of interesting additions to the team and staff.
re: Daily SEC Baseball - Friday
Posted by mortgageman82 on 2/28/26 at 6:33 am to BigBro
I think he is talking about their best two pitchers. Their normal Friday guy is elite - like top 10 draft pick - out for two months. Their Saturday guy is now out for the year after some type of surgery. It was also mentioned that they were down two relievers. They are experiencing the pitching staff woes that we had to deal with the past few years.
But this does look like a very good team for Texas. Riojas with the best competition he’s seen yet and was dealing out there. Pitching looks to be very strong.
Robbins crushed that HR in the 3rd. 466 ft no doubter off the train in the outfield, what a moonshot.
But this does look like a very good team for Texas. Riojas with the best competition he’s seen yet and was dealing out there. Pitching looks to be very strong.
Robbins crushed that HR in the 3rd. 466 ft no doubter off the train in the outfield, what a moonshot.
re: NCAA Bubble Team Predictions
Posted by mortgageman82 on 2/19/26 at 8:04 am to captdalton
A lot of outcomes keep happening to support 10 or 11 teams at the moment.
Missouri really need that win against Vandy and got it.
Georgia really needed a conference win and got a key road win.
A&M needed to stop their skid and avoid a fairly bad home loss, and they did.
Texas needed to continue their upward trend and not drop what would be a bad home loss, and they did.
Auburn did take a bad loss, really the only one going against that narrative this week. I do not think 11 will get in - we are going to assume LSU, Ole Miss, MSU, OU and USC are out outside of a Cinderella SEC tournament win.
Auburn is the overall and conference record outlier. Missouri is the NET/SOS outlier. I think those are the two with the most to prove and in the most precarious positions. Of course that is not to say that any of Texas, Georgia, Kentucky, A&M etc are in and can lose out. Obviously they need to navigate their remaining schedules and hold serve to what they should win, etc.
Missouri really need that win against Vandy and got it.
Georgia really needed a conference win and got a key road win.
A&M needed to stop their skid and avoid a fairly bad home loss, and they did.
Texas needed to continue their upward trend and not drop what would be a bad home loss, and they did.
Auburn did take a bad loss, really the only one going against that narrative this week. I do not think 11 will get in - we are going to assume LSU, Ole Miss, MSU, OU and USC are out outside of a Cinderella SEC tournament win.
Auburn is the overall and conference record outlier. Missouri is the NET/SOS outlier. I think those are the two with the most to prove and in the most precarious positions. Of course that is not to say that any of Texas, Georgia, Kentucky, A&M etc are in and can lose out. Obviously they need to navigate their remaining schedules and hold serve to what they should win, etc.
re: Jordan Shipley hospitalized
Posted by mortgageman82 on 1/6/26 at 10:05 pm to JacieNY
I laughed.
Jordan Shipley hospitalized
Posted by mortgageman82 on 1/6/26 at 9:35 pm
One of the best to play at Texas in the McCoy era. Sounds like some kind of ranch accident. Perhaps a controlled burn incident - reports coming in also mention a skid steer being used. 20% of his body has third degree burns. He is in critical, but stable condition. He is intubated until tomorrow. The initial findings came back more positive than they had anticipated. Still, a long road ahead for him. Prayers needed for the Shipley family. And a great family it is.
Hook ‘em.
Hook ‘em.
re: Curious situation in the FCS Title Game…
Posted by mortgageman82 on 1/6/26 at 9:32 pm to Crimson1st
Even further consider if 15 yards would have been rewarded to Montana State on their possession (or half the distance I think being it’s coming from the 25. Anyway, point is like you said about the 2 points not really being significant, it would actually be a terrible idea to commit a penalty rather than let them score 2 in that situation. You’d actually rather them score 2 points than start with the ball at the 12 or 10 yard line - the latter being a much bigger deal. Thats what I was wondering in the moment. Though it would be hard to blame an action like that as it’s instinct almost. I hope that made sense. Crazy game all around.
re: Elimination week- Texas at UGA and OU at Bama
Posted by mortgageman82 on 11/9/25 at 2:01 pm to dallastiger55
I understand the premise of the OP, and you have to treat it as such - but 9-3 Texas is likely in splitting the two tough remaining games and ensuring they take care of business against Arkansas.
It’s all there in the analytics. If Big 12 only sends one team, that is where this opens up. If Notre Dame loses well then a second spot opens up as well.
Ohio State, Indiana, Oregon
ACC
GO5
Big 12 - they’d have to get a two loss non champ invited for a second, doubtful
ND
Alabama, Georgia, OM, A&M
That is 11. Make a good argument for a 12th team that isn’t a 9-3 Texas - it won’t be a good argument. Only if OU ran the table at 10-2 perhaps. Maybe Michigan running the table and beating Ohio State. There just aren’t many plausible scenarios. 10-2 Vandy won’t get in over 9-3 Texas. So downvote all you want. It is what it is. Tech losing the Big 12 game MIGHT get them in for a second big to prevent such scenario as well. If ND loses and Big 12 only sends one then you have two spots to fill that aren’t listed with the aforementioned teams that seem to be fairly locked in to the playoff.
That being said they are huge games.
Georgia doesn’t want the pressure of needing to beat GT to make the playoff either.
It’s all there in the analytics. If Big 12 only sends one team, that is where this opens up. If Notre Dame loses well then a second spot opens up as well.
Ohio State, Indiana, Oregon
ACC
GO5
Big 12 - they’d have to get a two loss non champ invited for a second, doubtful
ND
Alabama, Georgia, OM, A&M
That is 11. Make a good argument for a 12th team that isn’t a 9-3 Texas - it won’t be a good argument. Only if OU ran the table at 10-2 perhaps. Maybe Michigan running the table and beating Ohio State. There just aren’t many plausible scenarios. 10-2 Vandy won’t get in over 9-3 Texas. So downvote all you want. It is what it is. Tech losing the Big 12 game MIGHT get them in for a second big to prevent such scenario as well. If ND loses and Big 12 only sends one then you have two spots to fill that aren’t listed with the aforementioned teams that seem to be fairly locked in to the playoff.
That being said they are huge games.
Georgia doesn’t want the pressure of needing to beat GT to make the playoff either.
Gameday for weekend of 15th
Posted by mortgageman82 on 11/4/25 at 7:39 am
So…who gets it?
Athens and Tuscaloosa have both hosted already this year.
Georgia has been on more recently and also was on a second time earlier when Tennessee hosted. Oklahoma hosted and Texas was at Ohio State when they did - each have an appearance.
Since Georgia has been on it twice I am going to say they give the nod to OU@Alabama. Of course if Alabama loses to LSU perhaps that moves the pendulum - same could be said for a Georgia loss at MSU. It will have been 3 weeks since they did an SEC game and Texas@Georgia and Oklahoma@Alabama are almost identical games in terms of the brands, eyeballs, W/L records, SEC stakes and CFP stakes. I don’t see another game, SEC or not, that worthies Gameday attention.
Athens and Tuscaloosa have both hosted already this year.
Georgia has been on more recently and also was on a second time earlier when Tennessee hosted. Oklahoma hosted and Texas was at Ohio State when they did - each have an appearance.
Since Georgia has been on it twice I am going to say they give the nod to OU@Alabama. Of course if Alabama loses to LSU perhaps that moves the pendulum - same could be said for a Georgia loss at MSU. It will have been 3 weeks since they did an SEC game and Texas@Georgia and Oklahoma@Alabama are almost identical games in terms of the brands, eyeballs, W/L records, SEC stakes and CFP stakes. I don’t see another game, SEC or not, that worthies Gameday attention.
re: AP Poll / 9 SEC in top 25
Posted by mortgageman82 on 11/2/25 at 1:25 pm to EV
I hate to break it to you but there is a very real chance Texas gets in with 3 losses. This is not bias, it’s not gloating, it is just facts. Take a dive into the analytics and it starts to make sense.
I’m not saying it’s deserved or anything.
This is why the ESPN has Texas at over 50% to make the CFP, because you can imagine our chances to win the remaining 3 games are not nearly that high of a clip.
Some key pieces fell yesterday with ACC losses and even OU beating Tennessee was a much better outcome if you are Texas versus a Tennessee win.
I’m not saying it’s deserved or anything.
This is why the ESPN has Texas at over 50% to make the CFP, because you can imagine our chances to win the remaining 3 games are not nearly that high of a clip.
Some key pieces fell yesterday with ACC losses and even OU beating Tennessee was a much better outcome if you are Texas versus a Tennessee win.
re: Playoffs (long post)
Posted by mortgageman82 on 10/31/25 at 12:51 pm to SchizoAg
I think you could possibly be right about A&M. I’m not saying it would be right but I think Aggies would be a little nervous in that scenarios. The road win at ND I think is key to help maybe offset something like that.
I do believe a lot of it will work itself out by the time the committee makes these decisions.
I do believe a lot of it will work itself out by the time the committee makes these decisions.
re: Playoffs (long post)
Posted by mortgageman82 on 10/30/25 at 6:42 pm to Safety Blitz
Has close to zero to do with me making a general playoff post about analytics, something I enjoy even outside of my team’s involvement.
Sorry I didn’t mention the tigahs.
Are you aware they suck and got their asses handed to them by Aggy in their own stadium?
Sorry I didn’t mention the tigahs.
Are you aware they suck and got their asses handed to them by Aggy in their own stadium?
Playoffs (long post)
Posted by mortgageman82 on 10/30/25 at 4:51 pm
I feel they are taking pretty good shape already…
List (not seeding)
1. GO5 rep
2. ND if they win out (like it or not I think this is a fairly safe bet, 100% out with a third loss and opens up another playoff spot.). Also could be in jeopardy if we finish with multiple 2 loss SEC teams.
3-5 Big Ten - seems hard to believe the representatives aren’t anything less or more than OSU, IU and Oregon.
6. Big 12 champ - I know there are some ways they could get two but I think when it washes out in the end it’ll be one - but obviously this along with the ACC has more variable to it.
7,8. ACC - as it stands I think the ACC has a better percentage chance of getting two than just one - I think assuming three bids between the two lesser leagues is the best way to guess as I don’t think both will have only one.
9-12 SEC - the SEC is looking pretty clear. A&M and Ole Miss seem like they are near locks at this point - hard to imagine how either would take a third loss that wasn’t in an SEC championship game with their current records and schedule ahead. Bama and Georgia obviously are best positioned for the other two. Texas, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, Oklahoma and possibly even Missouri (long shot with QB issues and schedule) would still control their destinies for a playoff spot should they win out (Vandy could potentially lose one). Most of this will take care of itself but if my math is correct the possibility of 6 SEC teams with two overall losses or less still remains. Hard to imagine a 2 loss SEC team being excluded - so that would come at the expense of a Big 12 or ACC second team and/or ND.
I think any chance of a 3 loss team being included is diminishing quite a bit with each week as I look through the landscape and remaining schedules (aside from the inclusion of a possible 2 loss SEC team that loses in the SEC champ game.)
SEC bids - 3 is the floor but extremely unlikely.
4 - most possible number IMO
5 - less possible but very realistic
6 - statistically possible if Big 10 gets theee and ND is excluded - very long shot but could be justified with SEC scenario of 6 1-2 loss teams.
List (not seeding)
1. GO5 rep
2. ND if they win out (like it or not I think this is a fairly safe bet, 100% out with a third loss and opens up another playoff spot.). Also could be in jeopardy if we finish with multiple 2 loss SEC teams.
3-5 Big Ten - seems hard to believe the representatives aren’t anything less or more than OSU, IU and Oregon.
6. Big 12 champ - I know there are some ways they could get two but I think when it washes out in the end it’ll be one - but obviously this along with the ACC has more variable to it.
7,8. ACC - as it stands I think the ACC has a better percentage chance of getting two than just one - I think assuming three bids between the two lesser leagues is the best way to guess as I don’t think both will have only one.
9-12 SEC - the SEC is looking pretty clear. A&M and Ole Miss seem like they are near locks at this point - hard to imagine how either would take a third loss that wasn’t in an SEC championship game with their current records and schedule ahead. Bama and Georgia obviously are best positioned for the other two. Texas, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, Oklahoma and possibly even Missouri (long shot with QB issues and schedule) would still control their destinies for a playoff spot should they win out (Vandy could potentially lose one). Most of this will take care of itself but if my math is correct the possibility of 6 SEC teams with two overall losses or less still remains. Hard to imagine a 2 loss SEC team being excluded - so that would come at the expense of a Big 12 or ACC second team and/or ND.
I think any chance of a 3 loss team being included is diminishing quite a bit with each week as I look through the landscape and remaining schedules (aside from the inclusion of a possible 2 loss SEC team that loses in the SEC champ game.)
SEC bids - 3 is the floor but extremely unlikely.
4 - most possible number IMO
5 - less possible but very realistic
6 - statistically possible if Big 10 gets theee and ND is excluded - very long shot but could be justified with SEC scenario of 6 1-2 loss teams.
re: Is Texas the only school that got all 3 perms that they wanted?
Posted by mortgageman82 on 9/23/25 at 4:01 pm to FAT SEXY
Perhaps, but in Texas’ case it is just so clear cut on who they should be (and shouldn’t be). Certainly no conspiracy.
re: SEC announces nine game conference schedule starting in 2026
Posted by mortgageman82 on 8/21/25 at 5:01 pm to AHM21
One thing I thought of as a result of this is Texas will not play a TBD team in SEC play until 2028. We don’t know who this team is but it would be one of the 7 they would’ve added next year where they essentially change their opponents with OU. If Texas gets the common 3 everybody would expect them to this only allows for 6 games against those 7. So in short Texas won’t play one of Bama, Auburn, LSU, Ole Miss, Tenn, South Carolina or Missouri for first time in league play until 2028.
I am not sure the exact same would be true for OU as my mind hurts to think about it, but it would depend who their 3 rivalry matchups are against and how that compares to which of those they have played already.
Not hugely significant but a detail nonetheless.
I am not sure the exact same would be true for OU as my mind hurts to think about it, but it would depend who their 3 rivalry matchups are against and how that compares to which of those they have played already.
Not hugely significant but a detail nonetheless.
re: Coaches Poll out
Posted by mortgageman82 on 8/4/25 at 12:12 pm to halfadolla50
I was at that game. Technically it wouldn’t count for the statistic as it was the second game of the season. Each team had the gimme win type game slated the week before.
A lot of people do seem to remember it as opening week, even though it was not.
A lot of people do seem to remember it as opening week, even though it was not.
re: Texas will struggle on offensive line
Posted by mortgageman82 on 7/25/25 at 5:10 pm to Soonerd78
OP with a horrible take on the OL and only seeing 4/5 starters gone. Many of these starters were not high caliber, the OL last year was not elite. Williams false started a million times and it wasn’t a good run blocking unit.
One of the non starters from last year is actually pre-season all SEC in Goosby. Campbell is seasoned. Baker and Neto are 5 star OL who should be strong in the running game. Banks was the only huge loss honestly - that and needing to replace a center I will give you is usually important. Is it the unit with the most questions - yes, probably this - but it’s not going to be our undoing.
Team list double digit guys to the draft two years in a row. We were fine last year and will be more than fine this time around. Better RB’s this year with a seasoned Wisner and Baxter returning and a mobile combined with Sark’s playcalling ability will help mitigate weaknesses.
One of the non starters from last year is actually pre-season all SEC in Goosby. Campbell is seasoned. Baker and Neto are 5 star OL who should be strong in the running game. Banks was the only huge loss honestly - that and needing to replace a center I will give you is usually important. Is it the unit with the most questions - yes, probably this - but it’s not going to be our undoing.
Team list double digit guys to the draft two years in a row. We were fine last year and will be more than fine this time around. Better RB’s this year with a seasoned Wisner and Baxter returning and a mobile combined with Sark’s playcalling ability will help mitigate weaknesses.
re: What will Arch Manning need to do to not be considered a failed investment at Texas?
Posted by mortgageman82 on 7/19/25 at 2:19 pm to Cell of Awareness
At least one natty and one Heisman.
To a lesser degree, at least one SEC championship.
Given he has two years, I would take this all day, every day if you offered it to me now. More than anything we need that fifth natty, it’s been 20 years now.
To match the hype add to it probably going #1 overall in the draft but that doesn’t have nearly as much to do with his legacy status at Texas.
To a lesser degree, at least one SEC championship.
Given he has two years, I would take this all day, every day if you offered it to me now. More than anything we need that fifth natty, it’s been 20 years now.
To match the hype add to it probably going #1 overall in the draft but that doesn’t have nearly as much to do with his legacy status at Texas.
re: NCAA Softball | Texas Longhorns National Champs!!
Posted by mortgageman82 on 6/6/25 at 9:32 pm to Go Go Gata
So happy for these girls. This really is a team who deserves this.
Well deserved title Horns.
HOOK EM!!!
Well deserved title Horns.
HOOK EM!!!
re: WCWS Final | Thursday - Texas Tech 4 Texas 3
Posted by mortgageman82 on 6/5/25 at 9:18 am to beebefootballfan
Is Glasgo as goofy and clueless as he sounded in that post game presser or was that really just the shock of the moment all over them facing the questions from the media?
His demeanor and answers throughout that entire presser were just bizarre. It felt like some new coach, not a seasoned one. It’s a tough coaching moment but I don’t think he did anything there to instill confidence for his team going forward.
His demeanor and answers throughout that entire presser were just bizarre. It felt like some new coach, not a seasoned one. It’s a tough coaching moment but I don’t think he did anything there to instill confidence for his team going forward.
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