mortgageman82

This is starting to clear up with the ND win. I think Wake Forest is the biggest wild card in this right now and I’ll expand on that later.

1. ND
2. Go6
3. Big 12 - I actually think just 1, but it could be 2. I think Tech would need to win the league over an undefeated Utah to get 2. I think Tech has been unconvincing enough that even a second loss to Utah in Big 12 title game would knock them out - though they still have some decent games left to play as well. I think BYU is moving out of the picture.
ACC - I am going to go with 2 to kind of hedge the 1 from the Big 12 - so guessing 3 from the two leagues together in that sense. I think if Wake Forest looks good down the stretch and only has a second loss to Miami in the championship game they could get in.

I think we have 7 left for the Big Ten and SEC. There is a very real chance the Big Ten only gets two in - UCLA and Indiana. But nobody is a lock yet. USC and Iowa still have a shot - 2 loss Iowa would be interesting, Indiana beating USC would knock them out but USC running the table with wins against Indiana and UCLA would def get them in. I’m going 2.5 from the Big Ten which leaves 4.5 for the SEC. I’d lean towards 5 because I think there is a better chance the Big 10 only gets 2 (would they actually give them only 2??) and then a chance the other two leagues only get one each. Greater chance of 5, I don’t see less than 4 unless a lot of unfavorable stuff happens.

Georgia looks very safe.
Alabama not too far behind them but they are on two losses so more precarious.

Texas leads the next grouping with Tennessee right behind them.

Pecking order beyond that:

Kentucky

LSU/Ole Miss/USCe/Mizzou

Sorry if I missed a team.

Excluding a Big Ten title game loss the only league with a chance to land 3 loss teams is the SEC. And I believe there is a much greater chance that happens than it doesn’t happen. Texas is best positioned to drop one of the last 3 and still get in with Tennessee much the same. LSU could beat both claim head to heads in both and have an argument.

Not going to dive into the other teams.
Kentucky obviously can’t take a third loss at all.

It’s unfortunate the way there are weaker parts of the bracket taking shape. Texas and Georgia would have to meet in the opening game if they both advance, while potentially being the best two teams in the field.

That could be a massive game if it takes shape.

Good job Vols. frick Tech.

For starters it has always been a less than ideal fanbase. For all the shite we’ll take about simply being Texas, you normally won’t run into any issues at Texas games. Obviously, A&M is very friendly and hospitable. Lubbock is a lot different. There isn’t much of a culture for Tech, they just…are what they are.

We can’t harp on any programs playing by the same set of rules we were all dealt with NIL, etc. but I think it does create a different dynamic when the program (Tech softball in this instance) had absolutely no significance whatsoever prior to pouring money into it. Everyone else has used the NIL to supplement already pretty steady programs where they have built programs more normally - Tech basically just went from nothing to trying to buy every player overnight. Even then, I’m not sure people would care so much - but they then have the audacity to act in a ridiculous manner.

Some might gasp and not agree with me but I’d rather OU win a softball title than Tech if it’s a program other than us. OU can already claim being an elite program, and the program and Gasso should be respected - even if a rival. Tech winning would just be insufferable on many levels.

The bugs are crazy. Is that always an issue in Gainesville this time of year?

Why would Canady not be pitching right out of the gate in game 1? Seems like a weird strategy that could backfire if nothing is wrong with her?

Which begs the question. Did Texas and South Carolina both have ridiculously bad shooting games back to back against UCLA because something UCLA is doing?

Just shocking how neither have been able to shoot the ball or score.

I never thought I would defend Staley so much, and I know we aren’t privy to the details. But very bad look for Geno. Yeah, you hate to lose. We get it. Total childish move at the end.

Coming into the game I thought UConn would be a better match up for Texas, and I think that is correct. UConn was getting a pass by name and record having not played any of the elite level teams yet this year. This game wasn’t an anomaly, it was a true barometer.

Hook ‘em…LFG and get part 4 for the championship.

Dear God, hide the children. This is violent and ugly.

Too lazy to post a link. Personally, my initial thoughts are positive on this hire.

Definitely an off-season full of interesting additions to the team and staff.

A lot of outcomes keep happening to support 10 or 11 teams at the moment.

Missouri really need that win against Vandy and got it.
Georgia really needed a conference win and got a key road win.
A&M needed to stop their skid and avoid a fairly bad home loss, and they did.
Texas needed to continue their upward trend and not drop what would be a bad home loss, and they did.

Auburn did take a bad loss, really the only one going against that narrative this week. I do not think 11 will get in - we are going to assume LSU, Ole Miss, MSU, OU and USC are out outside of a Cinderella SEC tournament win.

Auburn is the overall and conference record outlier. Missouri is the NET/SOS outlier. I think those are the two with the most to prove and in the most precarious positions. Of course that is not to say that any of Texas, Georgia, Kentucky, A&M etc are in and can lose out. Obviously they need to navigate their remaining schedules and hold serve to what they should win, etc.

One of the best to play at Texas in the McCoy era. Sounds like some kind of ranch accident. Perhaps a controlled burn incident - reports coming in also mention a skid steer being used. 20% of his body has third degree burns. He is in critical, but stable condition. He is intubated until tomorrow. The initial findings came back more positive than they had anticipated. Still, a long road ahead for him. Prayers needed for the Shipley family. And a great family it is.

Hook ‘em.