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11/23 Opening Lines

Posted on 11/18/24 at 4:28 pm
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84090 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 4:28 pm
OM -10 @ FLORIDA
UGA -42 UMASS
TENN -41 UTEP
TEX -20.5 KENTUCKY
ARK -22 LATECH
MIZZOU -7.5@ MISS ST
ALABAMA -14 @OKLAHOMA
A&M -2.5 @AUBURN
LSU -8 VANDY
Posted by Auburntiger
BTR area
Member since Mar 2005
14143 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

A&M -2.5 @AUBURN


Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84090 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 4:43 pm to
Bet the trailer upgrade to a McMansion
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
16559 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 4:49 pm to
Computers think A&M isn’t as good as their record and that Auburn is better than their record.
Posted by Brisketeer
Texas
Member since Aug 2013
1552 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

ALABAMA -14 @OKLAHOMA


Did Alabama have a huge number of injuries against Mercer?
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
17307 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

OM -10 @ FLORIDA
UGA -42 UMASS
TENN -41 UTEP
TEX -20.5 KENTUCKY
ARK -22 LATECH
MIZZOU -7.5@ MISS ST
ALABAMA -14 @OKLAHOMA
A&M -2.5 @AUBURN
LSU -8 VANDY

Sagarin Rankings.. which is apparently something Vegas likes to use

Auburn 76.83 + 3 HFA - A&M 82.95 = A&M by 3.12 (2.5)
Kentucky 74.57 + 3 HFA - Texas 92.33 = Texas by 20.76 (20.5)
Florida 79.91 + 3 HFA - Ole Miss 91.96 = Ole Miss by 9.06 (10)
State 67.41 + 3 HFA - Missouri 80.13 = Mizzou by 9.73 (7.5)
Oklahoma 79.23 + 3 HFA - Alabama 92.37 = Bama by 10.14 (14)
Vandy 73.43 + 3 HFA - LSU 81.94 = LSU by 5.5 (8)

3 Team Parlay = Vandy +8, OU +14, Missouri -7.5

I wouldn't bet it.. but that is what the numbers say.
Posted by ChestRockwell
In the heart of horse country
Member since Jul 2021
5788 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 4:52 pm to
Moo St will cover that. Mizzou is a total fraud.
Posted by TrNabs
Austin
Member since Oct 2019
1202 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 4:57 pm to
OM -10 @ FLORIDA (Florida wins outright)
UGA -42 UMASS (Georgia easily covers)
TENN -41 UTEP (Tennessee easily covers)
TEX -20.5 KENTUCKY (Texas by 14, doesn't cover)
ARK -22 LATECH (Arkansas doesn't cover)
MIZZOU -7.5@ MISS ST (Mizzou doesn't cover)
ALABAMA -14 @OKLAHOMA (Alabama by 30 points, this line is ridiculous)
A&M -2.5 @AUBURN (Auburn wins outright)
LSU -8 VANDY (Vandy SHOCKS THE WORLD)
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84090 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 4:57 pm to
Yep, Auburn has had very favorable lines all year.

Texas A&M are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.



Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
30991 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:09 pm to
How is aTm only -2.5 over Auburn?

Sounds like free money?

Lines like this are crazy scary - seems like Auburn will be a good bet…
Posted by Louisiana2020
Member since Oct 2024
67 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:11 pm to

Also Ole Miss 10.5 favorite is crazy over Florida
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84090 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:15 pm to
Computers have A&M winning 31-29 with Auburn covering.

Trends

Texas A&M are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 5 games.
Texas A&M are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 5 games on the road.
Texas A&M are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Auburn.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas A&M's last 9 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games.
Auburn are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
Auburn are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games at home.
Auburn are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Texas A&M.
Auburn are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Auburn are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in November.

Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
20285 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

Vandy +8, OU +14, Missouri -7.5

I'd replace OU with Aggie -2.5 and that's a good shot at a nice Saturday wager
Posted by Omahawgs15
Member since Mar 2023
5568 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:24 pm to
I’ll take La tech to cover
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
17307 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:28 pm to
quote:

Auburn are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in November.
Texas A&M are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.

ummm..

Posted by Bobulinski
Member since Oct 2020
597 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:31 pm to
I kind of give OU a shot here plus the pts. They are coming off a bye. Final home game of the year. A win here they can somewhat save their season. Also they need 1 win to get 6-wins bowl eligible unless the bowl spots aren't filled. They still have night game at LSU.

If they don't win here they'll go 0-3 at home vs SEC in the first year. Plus the loss to Texas in Dallas were they were designated home team. I think they are going to play desperate and hungry. Maybe I'm wrong.
Posted by GatorsGators
Member since Oct 2012
13784 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:41 pm to
the computers loooove Ole Miss but the line seems high to me, too. I think a Lagway-led offense can score enough points to at least keep up.
Posted by Tigerfan0318
Missouri
Member since Oct 2018
2139 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:43 pm to
quote:

Moo St will cover that. Mizzou is a total fraud


So is your mom, but at least she is affordable.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84090 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:46 pm to
quote:

the computers loooove Ole Miss but the line seems high to me


Ole Miss was only -7.5 favorite against @Arkansas and ended up winning 63-31.
Posted by Quicksilver
Poker Room
Member since Jan 2013
11639 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:49 pm to
quote:

OM -10 @ FLORIDA


Not sure what to do with this line. Seems like a perfect letdown game for Ole Miss but I do believe they are a much better team than Florida. -10 seems like a big number.
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