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Alabama regular season over/under win total – 9.5
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:23 pm
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:23 pm
Bet the over, and Alabama has to go at least 10-2.
A bunch of Bama fans on here would probably have way better perspective than I do, but personally I wouldn't touch this bet one way or the other.
On one hand, history is not on the side of the over. How often has a 1st-year SEC coach won 10 regular season games? Saban lost to Louisiana Monroe in his first season. Kirby lost to Vanderbilt. What's the record in year 1 for the last 5 or 6 Bama coaches? Also Bama is losing Dallas Turner and 3 All-American DBs on defense, and who's going to play quarterback and who's going to catch the ball.
On the other hand, no coach in SEC history has taken over a program with a more solid foundation and as many swinging dick top recruits. Also, Washington had a losing record the year before Deboer got there and he went 11-2 in his first season. Alabama won the SEC last year and played in the CFP.
In conclusion, who the frick knows at this point.
A bunch of Bama fans on here would probably have way better perspective than I do, but personally I wouldn't touch this bet one way or the other.
On one hand, history is not on the side of the over. How often has a 1st-year SEC coach won 10 regular season games? Saban lost to Louisiana Monroe in his first season. Kirby lost to Vanderbilt. What's the record in year 1 for the last 5 or 6 Bama coaches? Also Bama is losing Dallas Turner and 3 All-American DBs on defense, and who's going to play quarterback and who's going to catch the ball.
On the other hand, no coach in SEC history has taken over a program with a more solid foundation and as many swinging dick top recruits. Also, Washington had a losing record the year before Deboer got there and he went 11-2 in his first season. Alabama won the SEC last year and played in the CFP.
In conclusion, who the frick knows at this point.
15
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:29 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
Yeah, unfortunately for Bama fans, I think this is going to be a loooong year. If Saban can lose to La Monroe and Kirby can lose to Vandy, what is ol KB gonna do against that schedule? It probably wouldn't be so bad if so many talented players hadn't of transferred away. They won't admit it, at least on this cesspool of a forum anyway, but losing Caleb Downs, was huuuuuuuuuge. They're gonna struggle. I'd say they'll lose 3 games. Which is a bad season for the Tide.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 2:43 pm
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:35 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
quote:What the hell, I'll throw a dollar on the over.
In conclusion, who the frick knows at this point.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:39 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
quote:
How often has a 1st-year SEC coach won 10 regular season games?
Miles did at LSU after inheriting Saban’s roster. DeBoer will do well in the short term. The question is whether he can sustain it.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 2:42 pm
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:40 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
quote:
who the frick knows
Yeah, I mean as much as I'd love to wax poetic about what could happen week-to-week, I really don't know much about what type of offensive or defensive schemes to expect, who the starters will be, what the coaching tendencies are, etc.
We sort of have a good idea on some of the above, but really even that is mostly speculation at this point in terms of how it all comes together at the current program.
So yeah, liking everything in theory, but just kind of along for the ride until we actually get some games behind us, because there's really nothing to do a deep-dive on or comparison to yet.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:43 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
Alabama was a train wreck when Saban arrived. Alabama was in great shape when Deboer arrived. A better comparison would be to see how the last coach to follow Saban did.
The last coach to take over tor Nick Saban before now was Les Miles. Before getting to Baton Rouge, Miles had never won more than 9 games in a season. He went 11-2 his first year at LSU.
Alabama will arguably have as much talent as any team in the country. They will most likely finish the regular season 11-1 or 10-2. I’d take the over.
The last coach to take over tor Nick Saban before now was Les Miles. Before getting to Baton Rouge, Miles had never won more than 9 games in a season. He went 11-2 his first year at LSU.
Alabama will arguably have as much talent as any team in the country. They will most likely finish the regular season 11-1 or 10-2. I’d take the over.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:44 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
You can get better odds they lose 3 or more than 2 or less. DeBust has only been the coach a few months and you can see what Vegas thinks
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:50 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
They got a kicker, so bet the trailer on 12-0.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:53 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
I’d say under.
The schedule is pretty tough with a lot of difficult away games. First year coach.
I’m all on the DeBoer train but I have to give him time to get settled and implement his system. If we’re 8-4 in year 3-4, I’m worried.
I’m thinking more like 8-4 for 2024. I’ll be disappointed but not jumping from the rooftop.
@ Wisconsin ( who knows. They’ll be fired up)
Georgia @ home. ( UGA)
SC @ home
@ Tn (better than last year)
@Mizzou ( they’ll be good)
@ LSU ( they’ll be good)
@ Oklahoma ( who knows)
AU Iron Bowl @ home to finish.
The schedule is pretty tough with a lot of difficult away games. First year coach.
I’m all on the DeBoer train but I have to give him time to get settled and implement his system. If we’re 8-4 in year 3-4, I’m worried.
I’m thinking more like 8-4 for 2024. I’ll be disappointed but not jumping from the rooftop.
@ Wisconsin ( who knows. They’ll be fired up)
Georgia @ home. ( UGA)
SC @ home
@ Tn (better than last year)
@Mizzou ( they’ll be good)
@ LSU ( they’ll be good)
@ Oklahoma ( who knows)
AU Iron Bowl @ home to finish.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:11 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
quote:washington was 107th in scoring offense the year before, they went up to 7th year 1. The offense is going to be good from the get go. we have too much talent and the scheme is great. really stresses defenses on every play. We were the most predictable offense in the country the last 3 years, thats over.
Also, Washington had a losing record the year before Deboer got there and he went 11-2 in his first season.
Defense is going to be a work in progress just from turnover.
Like you said, its not a typical situation for a first year coach to step into what is at least top 3 in roster talent, especially when the coach has shown he can take roster talent out of the top 25 to the championship game.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 3:12 pm
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:22 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
under bigtime
I say 7-5
I say 7-5
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:44 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
If Ty is the starter, the team has massive potential. Could easily win 10 games. If Deboer tries playing both QBs, thats going to be a bad idea.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 3:46 pm
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:50 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
quote:
Bet the over, and Alabama has to go at least 10-2.
I want to see Alabama shore up corner - particularly field corner - in the portal window. The defense is taking a step back but a better solidified corner situation should allow it to be adequate albeit not elite.
Offensively, there is a chance this is a really good rushing football team but the passing attack is going depend on freshmen and a sophomore fully recovering from a knee cap injury before the Fall. Not entirely for production, I think Bernard, Prentice, and Law are fine receivers but they're all sorta slot types. Alabama needs performance from X/SE and Z/FL and that is where the ambiguity exists.
I suspect they drop a game they shouldn't and win a game they shouldn't, just like all year 1 programs. The question is about the consistency...if it is a consistent product then, yes, 10-2 is attainable. If not 9-3 or worse is possible too against their schedule.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 4:13 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
quote:
How often has a 1st-year SEC coach won 10 regular season games?
The last coach to follow Saban in the SEC went 11-2.
That guy was someone who only had 4 years of experience as a headcoach, had a .500 record in the Big12. Best season was 9 wins, the season before LSU hired him he went 7-5 finishing 5th in the Big12 south.
Meanwhile, we hired a guy who took a 4-8 team to the championship game with no talent, and not only is he following the same guy, that guy was even more refined in what he built and spent even longer doing so.
So I mean, I kind of like our circumstances.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 6:40 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
I'm going with the over. The players really respect Deboer. No one has entered the portal after spring practice, so far.
Saban hanging around sounds like a good thing.
Saban hanging around sounds like a good thing.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 7:48 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
Post the schedule.
I’d be surprised if they lost 3
I’d be surprised if they lost 3
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