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SoG NCAA Men's Bracketology - Feb 19th Edition (9 SEC teams still holding on)
Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:18 am
Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:18 am
SOG Bracketology - 2/8 Version
SOG Bracketology - 2/1 Version
- Resume skews towards rewarding big wins and punishing bad losses. Teams that beat a bunch of solid, but not many Q1 teams, won't fare as well in Resume.
- T-Rank is just basically the same as KenPom - efficiency rankings. Nothing to do with wins and losses.
- WAB is Wins Above Bubble. Similar to Strength of Record, you get points for/against for every game you play, so a lot of wins over solid (but non Q1A) teams will add up.
#2 - Tennessee (down 1)
#3 - Alabama (no change)
#5 - Auburn (down 2)
#5 - Florida (up 6)
#8 - South Carolina (down 4)
#8 - Kentucky (up 1)
#9 - Texas A&M (up 2)
#11 - Mississippi State (down 1) (last 4 byes)
#11 - Ole Miss (play-in game) (last 4 in)
This post was edited on 2/19/24 at 10:19 am
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Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:19 am to SummerOfGeorge
Anyone that gets Kentucky that low has to be hating their chances.
Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:20 am to SummerOfGeorge
lsu gonna make a run
Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:21 am to SummerOfGeorge
That first teams out list could have been a Sweet 16 group not too long ago.
Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:21 am to geauxnavybeatbama
quote:
lsu gonna make a run
Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:35 am to SCgamecock2988
quote:
Anyone that gets Kentucky that low has to be hating their chances.
If Kentucky keeps playing defense like they did last week they won't be that low for very long.
Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:35 am to SCgamecock2988
Alabama and Kentucky are both 18-7 and are five seed lines apart? Kentucky beat Auburn and North Carolina away from home. Alabama is better and should have a higher seed than Kentucky, but by five seed lines seems a bit much, IMO. Florida being three seed lines higher than Kentucky is not accurate. Kentucky should be around a five.
Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:39 am to SCgamecock2988
quote:
Anyone that gets Kentucky that low has to be hating their chances.
Not saying it happens this time, but we made the NC game as an 8 seed in 13-14. And that bracket was gnarly as hell too.
Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:39 am to littleavery1948
quote:
Alabama and Kentucky are both 18-7 and are five seed lines apart?
Alabama
Q1 : 2-6
Q2 : 7-1
Q3 : 6-0
Q4 : 3-0
Q1/2 : 9-7
Q3/4 losses : 0
Kentucky
Q1 : 3-6
Q2 : 2-0
Q3 : 7-1
Q4 : 6-0
Q1/2 : 5-6
Q3/4 losses : 1
Alabama
NET : #5
KenPom : #6
KPI : #8
ESPN SOR : #11
Kentucky
NET : #22
KenPom : #21
KPI : #21
ESPN SOR : #28
Florida
NET : #28
KenPom : #27
KPI : #19
ESPN SOR : #17
Doesn't really matter, if Kentucky plays like they did last week for the next 2 months they can win a national title no matter where their seed line starts.
I agree in general, though. If I was just doing it myself without an automatic formula, I'd probably have Florida as a #7 and Kentucky as a #6 or so.
This post was edited on 2/19/24 at 10:43 am
Posted on 2/19/24 at 10:46 am to SummerOfGeorge
It’s our penance for that UNCW game. It is what it is. But as you said, if we can play with a defensive intensity like we have the past two games we can make up some ground in seeding.
Posted on 2/19/24 at 11:12 am to SummerOfGeorge
Miss State to low.
Alot of good wi
Alot of good wi
Posted on 2/19/24 at 11:19 am to littleavery1948
quote:
Kentucky should be around a five.
It's always a good idea to just look for what exactly is bringing down the Kenpom type metric rankings.
For Kentucky, that seems mainly the 4 home court losses including UNCW. I sure wouldn't want to see Kentucky as an 8 in my bracket and my guess is the committee right now would bump both Kentucky and South Carolina up to around 6 seeds.
But, it's very clear to see the reasons why the metrics have them lower than some people expect to see.
(For South Carolina, that's a bunch of very close games with pretty bad teams OOC)
Posted on 2/19/24 at 11:45 am to SummerOfGeorge
Damn, based on your current bracketology, by the end of the regular season Alabama will have played two # 1 seeds, a #2 seed twice, a #3 seed, two different #5 seeds twice, and a #6 seed. Ten games against top 24 teams is rough.
Posted on 2/19/24 at 6:51 pm to wm72
quote:
It's always a good idea to just look for what exactly is bringing down the Kenpom type metric rankings.
For Kentucky, that seems mainly the 4 home court losses including UNCW. I sure wouldn't want to see Kentucky as an 8 in my bracket and my guess is the committee right now would bump both Kentucky and South Carolina up to around 6 seeds.
But, it's very clear to see the reasons why the metrics have them lower than some people expect to see.
(For South Carolina, that's a bunch of very close games with pretty bad teams OOC)
Meh, I don't really care. I suppose Kentucky did play a lot of terrible teams OOC.
This post was edited on 2/19/24 at 6:55 pm
Posted on 2/19/24 at 8:26 pm to SummerOfGeorge
How do you drop MSU when we have won 3 straight?
Posted on 2/19/24 at 8:54 pm to geauxnavybeatbama
quote:For an NIT bid......
lsu gonna make a run
Posted on 2/19/24 at 8:57 pm to SCgamecock2988
Kentucky is a lock and should be up around the 5-6 line.
Miss St is moving up, Ole Miss and A&M seem lately to be on the verge of falling off the bubble. A&M losing to VANDERBILT!? Seriously?
Miss St is moving up, Ole Miss and A&M seem lately to be on the verge of falling off the bubble. A&M losing to VANDERBILT!? Seriously?
Posted on 2/19/24 at 9:00 pm to semjase
quote:
a NIT bid
Maybe. I'm not too confident LSU can win their next two games, both at home, but we'll see.
Posted on 2/20/24 at 6:33 am to SummerOfGeorge
Kentucky too high
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