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Potential scenarios for SEC next year

Posted on 1/3/24 at 1:57 pm
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
31069 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 1:57 pm
Here are the top 7 teams based on final conference record this year, going into next year:

Alabama - 8-0
Georgia - 8-0
Texas - 8-1
Oklahoma - 7-2
LSU, Missouri, Ole Miss - 6-2

Here's how they break down vs each other:

Alabama plays Georgia, LSU, Missouri, Oklahoma (no Texas, no Ole Miss)

Georgia plays Alabama, Texas, Ole Miss (no Oklahoma, no Missouri, no Ole Miss)

Texas plays Georgia, Oklahoma (no Ole Miss, no Missouri, no Alabama, no LSU)

Oklahoma plays Texas, Ole Miss, Missouri, Alabama, LSU (no Georgia)

LSU - Alabama, Oklahoma, Ole Miss

Missouri - Oklahoma, Alabama

Ole Miss - Georgia, Oklahoma, LSU

So, a few observations:

1. I don't know which voodoo witch or eldritch horror Oklahoma offended, but probably not a bad idea to make a few visits to a confessional or hire an exorcist.

2. There are a few scenarios that allow for a 3-way tie of undefeated teams. The most likely one is probably Alabama / Texas / Ole Miss, but Missouri and Texas each only play 2 of the teams that finished with 2 losses or fewer (and not each other). Any of the 4 teams that neither play could also end up undefeated (LSU or Ole Miss). While a 4-way tie is impossible, there's a couple of scenarios for 3-way ties among these teams. Of course, there's even more scenarios for 1-loss ties with a "A lost to B who lost to C who lost to A".


While these scenarios usually self-correct by the end of the season, it'll be interesting to see if we end up with a large number of ties. IIRC, the last 3-way tie in the SEC was 1989 (Alabama, Auburn, and Tennessee).
Posted by terd ferguson
Darren Wilson Fan Club President
Member since Aug 2007
108846 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 1:58 pm to
Bama loses 2... maybe 3
Posted by Smokeyone
Maryville Tn
Member since Jul 2016
16367 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 1:58 pm to
Delusional at best
Posted by Jake81
Member since Jul 2021
238 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 2:00 pm to
new guys have to play 9 games?
Posted by Jake81
Member since Jul 2021
238 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Oklahoma plays Texas, Ole Miss, Missouri, Alabama, LSU (no Georgia)


1. I don't know which voodoo witch or eldritch horror Oklahoma offended, but probably not a bad idea to make a few visits to a confessional or hire an exorcist.


out of the 5 tough opponents only 1 at home, 1 neutral and 3 road,


plus the mystery 9th opponent...
This post was edited on 1/3/24 at 2:03 pm
Posted by Smokeys Howl
Member since Oct 2022
1985 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Here are the top 7 teams based on final conference record this year, going into next year:


Here are the top 7 teams based on oddsmakers at Betonline, going into next year:

Georgia
Alabama
Texas
LSU
Ole Miss
Tennessee
Texas AM

Probably best to use those.

Posted by ukraine_rebel
North Mississippi
Member since Oct 2012
2278 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 2:07 pm to
In a 3 way tie, it would go to whoever beat the highest ranked (in the standings not CFP) opponent.

Say BAMA Texas Ole Miss, then if LSU finishes next in the standings, then Texas is out and Ole Miss and BAMA play for title and so on and so forth.
Posted by Dallaswho
Texas
Member since Dec 2023
1182 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 2:07 pm to
OU is better than Tennessee now? Have y’all been paying any attention to bowl/transfer season?
Posted by Stew2581
Covington
Member since Oct 2021
897 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 2:16 pm to
It’s funny how you think a team that barely beat a very bad Auburn team and USF team, then racked up under 300 yards of total offense in the semifinal with barely 100 yards passing is going undefeated next year
Posted by olemissfan26
MS
Member since Apr 2012
6262 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 2:38 pm to
I don’t see ole miss going undefeated next year. I think UGA gets us at home for sure and we have at best coin flip game at LSU. Then you have Oklahoma to deal with.

Basically win all the games you “should” win. Get hyped up for LSU and Oklahoma and then you get a free shot against UGA. Win 2/3 of those games preferably with one being UGA and you’re in. 2 losses and you’re at the mercy of everyone else.
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
64968 posts
Posted on 1/3/24 at 2:51 pm to
Rebs don't go undefeated next season. We'll probably drop 2 out of UGA, OU, and LSU.

Good news is we still likely get into the playoffs with 2 losses.
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