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Any Statistics Professors or any mega math nerds out there?
Posted on 12/30/23 at 6:51 pm
Posted on 12/30/23 at 6:51 pm
# of years bowl games have been played – 121
# of bowl games – 1,700 (not exact number, but use this one)
# of colleges/universities to play in bowl games – 150 (not exct number but use this one)
QUESTION: What's the probability that the two biggest blowouts in bowl history would occur in the same calendar year and accomplished by the same program?
...My guess would be 1-in-787.423 million.
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Chat GPT notes
Adding these together gives us an estimated total of around 1,730 bowl games. This is a rough estimate and the actual number could be slightly higher or lower, depending on the exact count of bowl games in each era and any variations in the number of games per year. For the most accurate and up-to-date count, consulting detailed records from the NCAA or other authoritative sources on college football history would be necessary.
Given these categories, the number of different colleges and universities that have appeared in a bowl game is likely well over 100, possibly approaching or exceeding 200. This includes a wide range of schools from major football powerhouses to smaller programs that may have only made a few bowl appearances.
# of bowl games – 1,700 (not exact number, but use this one)
# of colleges/universities to play in bowl games – 150 (not exct number but use this one)
QUESTION: What's the probability that the two biggest blowouts in bowl history would occur in the same calendar year and accomplished by the same program?
...My guess would be 1-in-787.423 million.
-----------------------
Chat GPT notes
Adding these together gives us an estimated total of around 1,730 bowl games. This is a rough estimate and the actual number could be slightly higher or lower, depending on the exact count of bowl games in each era and any variations in the number of games per year. For the most accurate and up-to-date count, consulting detailed records from the NCAA or other authoritative sources on college football history would be necessary.
Given these categories, the number of different colleges and universities that have appeared in a bowl game is likely well over 100, possibly approaching or exceeding 200. This includes a wide range of schools from major football powerhouses to smaller programs that may have only made a few bowl appearances.
This post was edited on 12/30/23 at 6:52 pm
12
Posted on 12/30/23 at 6:53 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
math on a Saturday is against the Geneva Conventions. You risk prosecution for war crimes.
Posted on 12/30/23 at 6:53 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
quote:
Statistics Professors or any mega math nerds out there?
Oh yeah
Posted on 12/30/23 at 6:54 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
Well, they got a weekend at the beach out of it, so there is that.
Posted on 12/30/23 at 9:20 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
Whats the answer
Posted on 12/30/23 at 9:37 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
You normally assume that two fairly evenly matched teams meet. FSU skewed the odds with opt outs.
The odds that the CFP committee picks the best four teams is 12,756,872,389:1
The odds that the CFP committee picks the best four teams is 12,756,872,389:1
Posted on 12/30/23 at 9:38 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
quote:
Any Statistics Professors or any mega math nerds out there?
Give me a few more beers & I’ll get back with ya
Posted on 12/30/23 at 9:43 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
quote:
QUESTION: What's the probability that the two biggest blowouts in bowl history would occur in the same calendar year and accomplished by the same program?
Left as an exercise for the reader
Posted on 12/30/23 at 9:49 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
Not enough data to compute that specific probability. Need to place all of the margin of victory into bins and count the frequency in each bin, then we can compute the probability.
This post was edited on 12/30/23 at 9:50 pm
Posted on 12/30/23 at 9:50 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
Decent post Hip Swivel.
I thought WVU beat the sheep humping sister bangers by a lot one time not long ago?
Anyways, yeah, Kirby was out to make a statement both times. Congrats to UGA. I'm on a different shrimp and grits roll here in Charleston every night through New Years and tonight was at Coleman's Tap Room in Mt Pleasant where the Dag fans hang out and ... they were having a good time. They were all commenting on the same thing when the graphic showed at about the 4 min mark in the 4th .... when Muschamp's boy scrambled for the 1st down late.
Phuck Will Muschamp though - he's a POS.
I thought WVU beat the sheep humping sister bangers by a lot one time not long ago?
Anyways, yeah, Kirby was out to make a statement both times. Congrats to UGA. I'm on a different shrimp and grits roll here in Charleston every night through New Years and tonight was at Coleman's Tap Room in Mt Pleasant where the Dag fans hang out and ... they were having a good time. They were all commenting on the same thing when the graphic showed at about the 4 min mark in the 4th .... when Muschamp's boy scrambled for the 1st down late.
Phuck Will Muschamp though - he's a POS.
Posted on 12/30/23 at 10:15 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
I got this one fellers….
350-1
350-1
Posted on 12/30/23 at 10:21 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
1730x1729 or about 3 million to 1.
Posted on 12/30/23 at 10:36 pm to Violent Hip Swivel
FWIW
ChatGPT on CFP with what it considers blow outs
Season,Semifinal 1
Semifinal 2
Championship Game
2014-15
Oregon 59 - Florida State 20**
Ohio State 42 - Alabama 35
Ohio State 42 - Oregon 20
2015-16
Clemson 37 - Oklahoma 17
Alabama 38 - Michigan State 0**
Alabama 45 - Clemson 40
2016-17
Alabama 24 - Washington 7
Clemson 31 - Ohio State 0**
Clemson 35 - Alabama 31
2017-18
Georgia 54 - Oklahoma 48 (2 OT)
Alabama 24 - Clemson 6**
Alabama 26 - Georgia 23 (OT)
2018-19
Clemson 30 - Notre Dame 3**
Alabama 45 - Oklahoma 34
Clemson 44 - Alabama 16**
2019-20
LSU 63 - Oklahoma 28**
Clemson 29 - Ohio State 23
LSU 42 - Clemson 25
2020-21
Alabama 31 - Notre Dame 14
Ohio State 49 - Clemson 28
Alabama 52 - Ohio State 24**
2021-22
Alabama 27 - Cincinnati 6**
Georgia 34 - Michigan 11**
Georgia 33 - Alabama 18
2022-23
TCU 51 - Michigan 45
Georgia 42 - Ohio State 41
Georgia 65 - TCU 7**
ChatGPT on CFP with what it considers blow outs
Season,Semifinal 1
Semifinal 2
Championship Game
2014-15
Oregon 59 - Florida State 20**
Ohio State 42 - Alabama 35
Ohio State 42 - Oregon 20
2015-16
Clemson 37 - Oklahoma 17
Alabama 38 - Michigan State 0**
Alabama 45 - Clemson 40
2016-17
Alabama 24 - Washington 7
Clemson 31 - Ohio State 0**
Clemson 35 - Alabama 31
2017-18
Georgia 54 - Oklahoma 48 (2 OT)
Alabama 24 - Clemson 6**
Alabama 26 - Georgia 23 (OT)
2018-19
Clemson 30 - Notre Dame 3**
Alabama 45 - Oklahoma 34
Clemson 44 - Alabama 16**
2019-20
LSU 63 - Oklahoma 28**
Clemson 29 - Ohio State 23
LSU 42 - Clemson 25
2020-21
Alabama 31 - Notre Dame 14
Ohio State 49 - Clemson 28
Alabama 52 - Ohio State 24**
2021-22
Alabama 27 - Cincinnati 6**
Georgia 34 - Michigan 11**
Georgia 33 - Alabama 18
2022-23
TCU 51 - Michigan 45
Georgia 42 - Ohio State 41
Georgia 65 - TCU 7**
This post was edited on 12/30/23 at 10:38 pm
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