re: #tAuburnBasketball Thread

quote:

---

I would just choose the to go earlier.

---

If you're behind, you should never, ever hold for a 'final shot'.

Put the pressure on the other team to score. We've seen plenty of evidence it's a good strategy in these last two games.

quote:

---

ust my preference to get a look earlier in the clock when you're losing. Miss the shot and/or put back but have 5-8 seconds remaining for the win or tie. Just how I see it. No knock on Bruce or anything.

---

This! 2 games in a row where we had virtually no chance to tie it at the end after their free throws. All because of poor clock management. That is squarely on bruce for not instilling a sense of urgency for the sitaution.

You are talking about a unique scenario in a one point game. No matter the result of the initial possession, you can foul and still be guaranteed a chance to tie/take lead in the end. Twice I have seen auburn in a situation where a desperation heave is the best case scenario at the end. This is unacceptable. Chuma takes his shot with 15 and we are attempting a 3 at the buzzer to tie. Jared goes with 15 against UK and we are doing the same. Instead we burned clock and forfeited our chance at one last possession.

2 possessions > 1 possession

No, not at all. I specifically stated that you can foul and still have a one possession game no matter what. 2 games with 1 good shot and a chance for an offensive putback ended in defeat. I prefer quantity of opportunities given that our team is not an efficient scoring offense (never above 50% fgm).

quote:

---

we had virtually no chance to tie it at the end after their free throws. All because of poor clock management.

---

wtf? What you are suggesting is stupid clock management. What if we made those shots with more time on the clock? Than UK or SC would have plenty of time to take their own last shot


You always want to be taking the last shot

quote:

---

that Brown and Bryce had good looks, but decided not to shoot it for some reason, even though we were only down 1.

---

that's what puzzled me about that possession. Brown made a horrible decision.

Harper was calling for the ball, wide open in the corner, earlier in the possession and Brown decided he wanted to be the one making the decision.

A,team that shoots 45% from the field should never rely on one shot. Has to be a negative EV

No pressure:

Jon Rothstein
Jon Rothstein
@JonRothstein
The loser of tonight's game in Starkville between Auburn and Mississippi State will be 2-4 in SEC play. No such thing as a "must win" in January, but this is as close as it gets for both teams.

We’ve only had 2 conf homes games... this isn’t a must win, but would be really nice to get a 2nd road win to offset the UK loss.

quote:

---

If you assume independency for simplicity, it is better to wait for the last shot probability wise

---

If you are talking about winning only, then maybe. If you add in the chance for a tie, then going early is best. I don't have the statistics to run the numbers.

All i know is in 2 consecutive 1 point games we managed to get 2 real shots, 1 flailing putback opportunity and an almost half court heave. We can do better. I doubt K/Wright employ the same strategy