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re: SEC Tourney Round 1: Miss St

Posted on 3/11/26 at 7:31 pm to
Posted by borotiger
Murfreesboro Tennessee
Member since Jan 2004
14581 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

Think it’s happening, folks


Oh, it's happening, and it's wonderful.
Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
19268 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 7:33 pm to
IU pulling the starters and conceding the season.
Posted by Fearless_and_True
Steel City
Member since Oct 2017
2444 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

NU up 9 at the under 12. Here’s to hoping.


+15.. I think this will be good for us
Posted by CorchJay
Member since Nov 2018
21999 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 7:38 pm to
Just stay close tomorrow don’t lose by double digits and we are probably in. Win and we are for sure in.
Posted by awestruck
Member since Jan 2015
14560 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

IU pulling the starters and conceding the season.
Indiana Hoosiers
61 — 74
Northwestern Wildcats
Posted by borotiger
Murfreesboro Tennessee
Member since Jan 2004
14581 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 7:51 pm to
quote:

Just stay close tomorrow


Is Ament expected to play? It may be unpopular but I hope so. I want to beat them without excuses but I also think he's a good kid.
Posted by CorchJay
Member since Nov 2018
21999 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 8:02 pm to
I have no idea
Posted by borotiger
Murfreesboro Tennessee
Member since Jan 2004
14581 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 8:05 pm to
The today's availability report has Ament as questionable.
Posted by Fearless_and_True
Steel City
Member since Oct 2017
2444 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

Just stay close tomorrow don’t lose by double digits


So who do we need to outright win their conference so a lower team doesn’t get an auto bid?
Posted by makersmark1
earth
Member since Oct 2011
21181 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 8:52 pm to
Miami Ohio
St Louis

And I think we need to beat Tennessee
Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
19268 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 8:57 pm to
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Lunardi thinks we just have to dodge bid stealers apparently.
Posted by CorchJay
Member since Nov 2018
21999 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:10 pm to
Yep just let the favorites win their conferences and I think we are in. Can’t let 3 or 4 teams ranked above 150 in the NET stealing bids in conference tournaments.
Posted by auyushu
Surprise, AZ
Member since Jan 2011
9963 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

Lunardi thinks we just have to dodge bid stealers apparently.


It's amazing how nobody on the bubble wants to make the tournament this year .

Hopefully we can win tomorrow and make it somewhat legit and not just totally back into the tournament.
Posted by CorchJay
Member since Nov 2018
21999 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 10:12 pm to
We won how would we be backing into the tournament? We were on the outside. We won. We would have played ourselves in not back door in.

Every team we will play going forward for however long we play will be a tournament team.
Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
19268 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 10:18 pm to
quote:

We won how would we be backing into the tournament? We were on the outside. We won. We would have played ourselves in not back door in.


I get the argument because we have done what we needed to do so far but other teams…didn’t.
This post was edited on 3/11/26 at 10:19 pm
Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
19268 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 10:20 pm to
Mind you a lot is up in the air. A win against the Vols tomorrow would have rendered everything moot.
Posted by auyushu
Surprise, AZ
Member since Jan 2011
9963 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 11:02 pm to
quote:

We won how would we be backing into the tournament


Because we would be 17-16, one game above .500, and would have went 3-8 down the stretch, losing to all of the worst teams in the conference outside of LSU while doing that.

Not sure why you are being obtuse about this, I would consider any team that did that to have backed into the tournament, and that will be the general response by the media and our fellow fanbases on the Rant.

I mean, has there ever been a 17-16 team make tournament without winning their conference tournament? That's a genuine question.

I 100% want to see us in March madness don't get me wrong, but it is what it is.
This post was edited on 3/11/26 at 11:05 pm
Posted by CorchJay
Member since Nov 2018
21999 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 11:45 pm to
I have no idea if a team has finished 1 game over .500 and made it to the tournament.

What I do know is the committee now uses metrics like NET ranking. It’s similar to the BCS rankings of old in football but more than 2 teams get in. So regardless of record which is factored heavily in the metrics, our metrics put us right in the tournament with a low seed for at large bids. If we didn’t play the 3rd hardest schedule in the nation and played the 30th hardest schedule in the nation and was 6 games over .500 instead of 1 are we really a better team? Or the same team with an easier schedule? Granted we have lost some tough game we all thought we should have won but when you look at the metrics we really only have 1 bad loss. A Q3 loss.

There are 37 at large bids and 31 auto bids for the ncaa tournament. Many of the teams ranked above us will win a portion of those auto bids by winning conference tournaments. Putting most of the teams ranked in the Top 40 in the NET in the tournament. We are in the top 40. It’s a numbers game. Auburn Alabama Houston Purdue Kentucky and a couple other teams have all scheduled incredibly difficult schedules over the past 4 seasons to put themselves in positions like Auburn is right now and rightfully should get the benefit of the doubt. Not for what they did in previous seasons but what we have done this season with the schedule.
Posted by auyushu
Surprise, AZ
Member since Jan 2011
9963 posts
Posted on 3/12/26 at 1:55 am to
quote:

What I do know is the committee now uses metrics like NET ranking. It’s


I'm fully aware of the entirety of the metrics and how they work my man. The reason we are still on the bubble has less to do with what we have done and more to do with how bad the other bubble teams have tanked down the stretch, that's all I'm saying.

Last year (and almost any year since they've gone to 68 teams) this record against the same lineup of teams wouldn't still have us on the bubble. Last season we wouldn't have sniffed the tourney for example. This year we have Texas comfortably in with their current team when their resume would typically have them in our spot on the bubble.

If teams like Cal, Indiana, etc had won we wouldn't be looking good for the tournament without upsetting Tenn at the very least if even then.
Posted by makersmark1
earth
Member since Oct 2011
21181 posts
Posted on 3/12/26 at 4:53 am to
quote:

Not for what they did in previous seasons but what we have done this season with the schedule


I agree that a tough schedule should be a factor, BUT I don’t think losing more quad 1 games should be the main criteria.

Who have we beaten since in the last 11 games? MSU, LSU, and Kentucky. 8 losses makes me think we are not a team that can advance in the tournament to the next weekend, BUT I guess none of these 12 teams(last 4 byes/last 4 IN/first 4 out) are juggernauts. VCU/UCLA made it IN to Dayton and made final 4. So I guess it happens rarely.
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