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The reason Arkansas will never be successful in the SEC

Posted on 11/12/18 at 1:50 pm
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33333 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 1:50 pm
We're about to sign a top 10 class, which would be the best class in Arkansas history.

That's good for 4th in our division.
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 1:59 pm to
It is never happening, why can't you just let it go?
Posted by pioneerbasketball
Team Bunchie
Member since Oct 2005
132353 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:03 pm to
Have hope
Posted by HogX
Madison, WI
Member since Dec 2012
5048 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:06 pm to
Everything is cyclical. Once Saban retires, the arms race in the SEC will slow down and the power will be redistributed a bit more evenly throughout the other conferences.

It'll be fine.
Posted by ArHog
Muss is a coward
Member since Jan 2008
33065 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:07 pm to
Saying the same thing over and over again doesn't make it come true.

Posted by VagueMessage
Fayetteville, AR
Member since Jun 2013
3907 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:25 pm to
Our ranking should actually slide down a bit when the big names below us start adding more players. We might still finish around #15, though. That's exciting.

The last time we finished #16 in Rivals, we followed that to a 10–3 and 11–2 season with a coach who runs a similar offense to Chad Morris. That 11–2 season may have only been good for third in our division, but we finished #5 in the nation. If that's unsuccessful, I'll take being a failure.
Posted by pioneerbasketball
Team Bunchie
Member since Oct 2005
132353 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:29 pm to
That coach is now unemployed
Posted by Porcine Human
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
11220 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

Everything is cyclical. Once Saban retires, the arms race in the SEC will slow down and the power will be redistributed a bit more evenly throughout the other conferences.

It'll be fine.


We'll still never be able to consistently match or come close to matching the talent of the top half of our conference
Posted by VagueMessage
Fayetteville, AR
Member since Jun 2013
3907 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:31 pm to
That wasn't the point I was trying to make. This was about recruiting.
Posted by VagueMessage
Fayetteville, AR
Member since Jun 2013
3907 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

Everything is cyclical. Once Saban retires, the arms race in the SEC will slow down and the power will be redistributed a bit more evenly throughout the other conferences. It'll be fine.


I want to believe this, but it's too logical that Dabo Swinney ends up at Alabama and they don't miss a beat.
Posted by Porcine Human
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
11220 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

I want to believe this, but it's too logical that Dabo Swinney ends up at Alabama and they don't miss a beat.



Don't think he'll leave, but it's hard to know.

Regardless, Bama is going to "miss a beat" no matter who they hire. No one is going to match Saban's run, even if it's Dabo.
Posted by VagueMessage
Fayetteville, AR
Member since Jun 2013
3907 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:39 pm to
I guess what I really mean is the guy has taken Clemson to going on four consecutive playoff appearances, now. Looking at his coaching record, it's just a hair away from Saban's, even if he isn't winning the big game at the end. He'd keep them in the conversation every year or nearly every year.

In terms of how that applies to us, I don't think our chances of beating Alabama are going to get any better if Swinney takes over. I really hope you're right about him staying at Clemson, but I'm afraid being an Alabama grad and playing on their '92 championship team is going to have an effect.
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

I don't think our chances of beating Alabama are going to get any better if Swinney takes over.


How? You think Swinney is just as good as Saban? Clemson still will goof up and lose to teams they shouldn't at a way higher rate than has happened to Saban at Bama.
Posted by VagueMessage
Fayetteville, AR
Member since Jun 2013
3907 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

How? You think Swinney is just as good as Saban? Clemson still will goof up and lose to teams they shouldn't at a way higher rate than has happened to Saban at Bama.


Since 2012, Clemson has lost two games to teams that haven't finished with 10 wins. Alabama has lost one. That's hardly a real discrepancy. They've also lost eight games in general to Alabama's 11. Two of those 11 are to Nick Saban, himself.

I'm just trying to remain realistic about our chances going into the future. The whole "things will get better for us when Saban retires" narrative isn't as ironclad as some seem to think. Clemson is performing at a level dangerously close to Alabama's, with theoretically less resources and a fraction of the history of success. I don't particularly want to be right about this, but most of the numbers seem to add up.


And I don't think Swinney is as good as Saban because Saban is probably the best that's ever been. However, a lot has yet to be seen. Swinney does have a NC and another NC appearance at a far inferior football program, and Swinney has been a head coach for 11 years. Nick Saban had an NC and no additional appearances at 11 years CFB HC experience. Nick Saban has been a CFB HC for 23 years, twice as long. Do you really think Swinney won't close that gap significantly if he gets to be the HC at Alabama and doesn't ever have to play Nick Saban? The guy is exceptionally good and I don't particularly look forward to playing him every year as Saban's replacement, so I'm hoping like hell that I'm wrong and he just stays put.
This post was edited on 11/12/18 at 3:03 pm
Posted by Arkapigdiesel
Arkansas
Member since Jun 2009
13242 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

Everything is cyclical. Once Saban retires, the arms race in the SEC will slow down and the power will be redistributed a bit more evenly throughout the other conferences.

It'll be fine.

Saban needs to retire. He's fricking up football. No one has a chance to win the SEC with him coaching.
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 3:15 pm to
quote:



Since 2012, Clemson has lost two games to teams that haven't finished with 10 wins. Alabama has lost one. That's hardly a real discrepancy. They've also lost eight games in general to Alabama's 11. Two of those 11 are to Nick Saban, himself.


Fair enough but I think you would even agree that it would be a little different if they were playing the same schedule.


quote:

I'm just trying to remain realistic about our chances going into the future. The whole "things will get better for us when Saban retires" narrative isn't as ironclad as some seem to think.


I'm not trying to say that Bama is going to fall apart. I just know it can't get any worse than what it is right now.

Having said all of that, I use to be in the camp that thought he would come to Bama after Saban but I'm not so sure anymore. I believe his son just joined him at Clemson so I doubt he leaves in the next 4 years. Might not matter though if Saban is around another 5 I guess. I think he enjoys being the "King" of Clemson. He could join Bama, win 3 NCs and 3rd be their 3rd best coach ever.

But when momma calls.....
This post was edited on 11/12/18 at 3:22 pm
Posted by VagueMessage
Fayetteville, AR
Member since Jun 2013
3907 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

Fair enough but I think you would even agree that it would be a little different if they were playing the same schedule.


Agreed. But the fact that he's done what he's done at Clemson is kind of amazing. Dabo's turnaround (and solid maintenance) of that program is a small miracle.

quote:

I'm not trying to say that Bama is going to fall apart. I just know it can't get any worse than what it is right now.


It definitely can't get any worse than losing every year. We're at, what, 11 straight with no end in sight? But I think it needs to get more than slightly better. If Chad Morris' recruiting doesn't fall significantly off, and he ends up being the real deal when his own players get here, maybe Bama's slight fall off and Arkansas' significant come-up can be enough to close the gap.

quote:

I believe his son just joined him at Clemson so I doubt he leaves in the next 4 years. Might not matter though if Saban is around another 5 I guess. I think he enjoys being the "King" of Clemson. He could join Bama, win 3 NCs and 3rd be their 3rd best coach ever.


I'm looking for any concrete reason to make me think he stays in the ACC and leaves Bama alone. Keep 'em coming


Edit: Keep in mind this pessimistic attitude only involves getting whipped by Alabama every year. My first post in the topic shows that I feel optimistic about the possibilities of doing well overall, ala 2010/2011. I don't have the "Championship or Bust" attitude that a lot of Bama fans probably have, and I don't look back on those two years as wasted potential just because we lost to a couple of really good teams. Those were still fun football seasons in which we were fierce competition and were in it for something special right to the very end.
This post was edited on 11/12/18 at 3:27 pm
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

We're at, what, 11 straight with no end in sight?


11 or 12, I stop counting
Posted by Litigator
Hog Jaw, Arkansas
Member since Oct 2013
7536 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 4:51 pm to
Ain’t done nuffin; ain’t never gonna do nuffin.

We should worry about Bama and what they do later on. I’d like for us to start being competitive with the teams who are less than Bama.

Maybe someday we work our way into having competitive games with Bama again.
Posted by Hawgnsincebirth55
Gods country
Member since Sep 2016
16049 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 5:34 pm to
The senior class at Clemson the year they won it all was ranked 13th or 14th I believe coming out of of high school. Yes recruiting matters and you want to be at the top but if your top 15 nationally you will compete with just about everyone in the country. So even if were 4th in the division if the difference is only a few spots nationally it means we still have the talent to compete with anyone.
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