re: So, how are we feeling about the Big Game tonight?

Same as Teague

(A) I think we're the worst overall matchup for this Georgia team. Elite run defense and elite pass offense. Those are facts that have kind of been ignored in the whole "what will Georgia change round 2" discussion.

(B) How much of the SECCG was us taking advantage of specific schemes and how much was the fact that Georgia's defensive personel just don't match up well with what we do? The fact that they don't have guys up front who can pass rush on their own is certainly a negative for them, and that hasn't changed in a month. The fact that their corners aren't great hasn't changed. The fact that their safeties aren box safeties and not great in coverage hasn't changed.

However, I'd guess they'll pressure differently and we don't have Metchie. That is a change. And they definitely had some major busts in the SECCG, and that could change.


So, all in all, I really just don't know. They haven't faced another offense that is anything close to ours in terms of the ability to exploit them, so there is no other comparative out there other than the SECCG. I'm not convinced they have some major blitzes that will all of a sudden wreck our offense (could be wrong). I do think they can play more sound and force us into more punt/FG situations.

50/50 game but excited and not nervous. Ever since Brooks caught that TD against Auburn, anything positive for this team is just icing on the cake. Far from our best team under Saban but LORD they are gritty



Prediction wise, I started a thread the other day showing my opinion. We're gonna stop the run well enough and bring out "Bad Stetson Bennett." Bama by 3

Is it too early in the day to drink bourbon? That's how I feel.

Keeping UGA's D line from rotating was absolutely genius.

Following stats are "EPA", expected points added. There is an established average for every situation at every point on the field. EPA measures how much or worse you performed than the college football wide average. It's basically taking a stat like 3rd down and looking at more specifically (is it 3rd and 10 from the opponents 37 or is it 3rd and 4 from your own 8? Those are different, and the outcomes carry different weight in how much they effect the game).




Alabama and Georgia are the inverse of each other on both side of the ball.

Georgia, on defense, is at it's best on 1st and 2nd downs. It becomes merely "good" on 3rd downs. Georgia, on offense, has elite success on 1st down. It's good but not as good on 2nd down, and if it gets into 3rd down it is a very average unit.

Alabama is the opposite. Alabama, on defense, is good on 1st and 2nd downs, but is elite on 3rd down when it rush the passer and dictate what the offense is doing. Alabama, on offense, is downright average on 1st down, but becomes more elite on 2nd and one of the best in the country on 3rd down.

All in all, it leads to 2 things to watch for to see how the game will play out

(1) Is Georgia getting 1st downs early in down and distance, or at the very least making their 3rd downs 4 or less? If so, they avoid the 3rd down situations in which they have proven to be average this season and stay in down and distance where they are elite.

(2) Is Alabama getting any sort of 1st down success that makes their 3rd downs a situation where Georgia has to respect both quick short throws and the over the top throw?

Two great teams, two great coaching staffs. Georgia is more efficient on both sides of the ball, Alabama is more explosive on both sides of the ball. Georgia requires staying on schedule a little bit more, Alabama is a little more high wire.

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like they planned to do on 12/4/21?

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come on man...you didn't get the memo? georgia didn't care about that game because they already knew that they had a spot in the playoffs.

SOG, this game feel like Clemson- Bama where Clemson had a modern offense and our defense was little outdated. I think they whup our arse good that night.

I really think Saban is going to try and stress the Georgia defense to the maximum and there is good chance we could try and run lot of plays to wear them down.

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I really think Saban is going to try and stress the Georgia defense to the maximum and there is good chance we could try and run lot of plays to wear them down.

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I think so too - and to confuse.

It also severely limits their ability to "dial up" whatever pressure packages they've been planning both from a timing perspective and from a personnel perspective. If you are trying to call complex blitzes as we go no-huddle then you are putting yourself at serious risks for more busts (as we all know too well from our previous struggles with it).

Who knows - hope we are sharp. None of it will matter if we're getting procedure penalties and other bonehead things shooting ourselves in the foot.

What's interesting is for all the talk about exploiting Georgia in their secondary where they are supposedly weak, they lead the country in pass efficiency defense. How much of that is a function of playing rush-heavy teams who got out of their comfort zone early and how much is a product of having a great passing defense?

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What's interesting is for all the talk about exploiting Georgia in their secondary where they are supposedly weak, they lead the country in pass efficiency defense. How much of that is a function of playing rush-heavy teams who got out of their comfort zone early and how much is a product of having a great passing defense?

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I think that stat is entirely due to competition played. They've basically played 2 offenses that can throw without needing to establish the run - Alabama and Tennessee. That's it. We torched them and Tennessee moved the ball against them.

The question becomes is it a fatal flaw for them or just something they aren't great at but are still good at. I doubt they are as bad as they were in the SECCG, but they most definitely aren't as good as their stats vs Georgia Tech, Vanderbilt, South Carolina, Auburn, Kentucky, Missouri, UAB, Charleston Southern and Clemson suggest.