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re: Gene Chestnik-“Indiana is going to roll Alabama. They’re a better team
Posted on 12/24/25 at 9:14 am to bamatide07
Posted on 12/24/25 at 9:14 am to bamatide07
Yeah it’s actually pretty interesting when you look at the contenders from a talent standpoint.
Indiana had faced just 3 teams in the top 25 of the talent composite (Oregon, Penn St and OSU). All were close games considering Indiana was <50% chance to win mid 4th quarter in each of these games, with Penn St blowing a 92.9% chance to win at just the 2:00 min mark.
Ohio State actually has only faced 3 teams in the top 25 of the talent composite as well (Texas, Penn St, Michigan). Ohio State fared a bit better in terms of outcomes in these games with more convincing wins against Penn State and Michigan.
Miami has faced 4 (SMU, ND, Florida, FSU), Oregon has faced 2 (Penn St & USC), and Texas Tech hasn’t faced a team in the top 30.
Meanwhile…
Ole Miss has faced 5 going 4-1.
Georgia has faced 8 (Bama twice), going 7-1.
Texas A&M faced 10 (including Miami), going 8-2.
And Bama has faced 10 (Georgia twice, Oklahoma twice), going 7-3.
So when people say Bama is “more battle tested,” from a talent standpoint you could say they’re the most battle tested of any team still in the field.
When comparing opponents, here is the closest team from a talent perspective each team has played:
Miami: OSU (973.69) -> A&M (917.29) or ND (912.11)
Ohio State: Miami (874.57) -> Michigan (907.22)
Oregon: Texas Tech (757.49) -> Wisconsin (763.17)
Texas Tech: Oregon (941.22) -> Arizona State (738.52)
Georgia: Ole Miss (played already)
Ole Miss: Georgia (played already)
Indiana: Bama (993.55) -> OSU (973.69)
Bama: Indiana (645.34) -> Vandy (685.42)
Interesting of note is that Indiana would be the 2nd “least talented” FBS team Bama has played all season. I’m not saying in any way this guarantees a win, however as others have said, if both teams play to their potential, we should be in good shape given what we’ve already seen along the way compared to them
Indiana had faced just 3 teams in the top 25 of the talent composite (Oregon, Penn St and OSU). All were close games considering Indiana was <50% chance to win mid 4th quarter in each of these games, with Penn St blowing a 92.9% chance to win at just the 2:00 min mark.
Ohio State actually has only faced 3 teams in the top 25 of the talent composite as well (Texas, Penn St, Michigan). Ohio State fared a bit better in terms of outcomes in these games with more convincing wins against Penn State and Michigan.
Miami has faced 4 (SMU, ND, Florida, FSU), Oregon has faced 2 (Penn St & USC), and Texas Tech hasn’t faced a team in the top 30.
Meanwhile…
Ole Miss has faced 5 going 4-1.
Georgia has faced 8 (Bama twice), going 7-1.
Texas A&M faced 10 (including Miami), going 8-2.
And Bama has faced 10 (Georgia twice, Oklahoma twice), going 7-3.
So when people say Bama is “more battle tested,” from a talent standpoint you could say they’re the most battle tested of any team still in the field.
When comparing opponents, here is the closest team from a talent perspective each team has played:
Miami: OSU (973.69) -> A&M (917.29) or ND (912.11)
Ohio State: Miami (874.57) -> Michigan (907.22)
Oregon: Texas Tech (757.49) -> Wisconsin (763.17)
Texas Tech: Oregon (941.22) -> Arizona State (738.52)
Georgia: Ole Miss (played already)
Ole Miss: Georgia (played already)
Indiana: Bama (993.55) -> OSU (973.69)
Bama: Indiana (645.34) -> Vandy (685.42)
Interesting of note is that Indiana would be the 2nd “least talented” FBS team Bama has played all season. I’m not saying in any way this guarantees a win, however as others have said, if both teams play to their potential, we should be in good shape given what we’ve already seen along the way compared to them
This post was edited on 12/24/25 at 9:15 am
3
Posted on 12/24/25 at 9:17 am to HighTide_ATL
Good post
Posted on 12/24/25 at 9:23 am to HighTide_ATL
Good info. Thank you.
Posted on 12/24/25 at 9:28 am to HighTide_ATL
Good post and info. I have to admit, though, that if I was told we had to play a team in the playoff that we already beat earlier this year, Vandy would probably be the team I'd least like to see again, and that includes UGA. The talent differential may be large but they operate like a well-oiled machine. I think that probably makes them an even more valid comparison here.
Posted on 12/24/25 at 9:33 am to 1BamaRTR
quote:
They were not. Bama was a big favorite. Like 10pts.
Yeah, pretty much everyone knew Alabama was gonna beat the shite out of Notre Dame, including Notre Dame.
Posted on 12/24/25 at 10:09 am to harmonics
Indiana is nothing. We win big.
Posted on 12/24/25 at 11:01 am to crimsoncoded94
quote:
Indiana is nothing. We win big.
No offence to you but that's the arrogance I don't want teenagers and young 20s reading and taking in. That energy impacts practice habits, motivation and focus to having an amazing week of detail and prep.. to ensure that positive result New Years afternoon.
That superBamer sunshine pump is the rat poison Saban hated so much
I hope KDB is just showing them every clip during the week of how everyone says we have no shot and letting that be what greets the players before and after film and practice.
Posted on 12/24/25 at 11:17 am to TheTideMustRoll
Yeah Vandy shares similarity with Indiana given they are a much less talented team consistently punching well above their weight. The differences though are favorable for us though I think.
Vandy is good though because they have an athletic QB who can create something out of nothing due to his athleticism and improvisation. This allows him to get the ball to the decently talented weapons they’ve acquired in the last 2 years. This approach traditionally gives defenses problems, and is not even all that new. Stetson Bennett, Manziel, Mayfield…older DT QBs that went under the radar to Heisman winners or contenders has been going on for over a decade. I’m sure there’s more too, I’m just not remembering back very far lol
Indiana is good, imo, because of their average age and experience across several positions. That being said, while Mendoza is a good QB, I am happy to say he does not present the same dual threat concerns of a Pavia, Mateer, Castellanos, Sellers or even a Stockton really. These style players typically stress our defense much more than the style of play he prefers.
Having LT back is great because we’ll need pressure to try and force the type of game Oregon and Penn St were able to get from the Heisman winner.
Vandy is good though because they have an athletic QB who can create something out of nothing due to his athleticism and improvisation. This allows him to get the ball to the decently talented weapons they’ve acquired in the last 2 years. This approach traditionally gives defenses problems, and is not even all that new. Stetson Bennett, Manziel, Mayfield…older DT QBs that went under the radar to Heisman winners or contenders has been going on for over a decade. I’m sure there’s more too, I’m just not remembering back very far lol
Indiana is good, imo, because of their average age and experience across several positions. That being said, while Mendoza is a good QB, I am happy to say he does not present the same dual threat concerns of a Pavia, Mateer, Castellanos, Sellers or even a Stockton really. These style players typically stress our defense much more than the style of play he prefers.
Having LT back is great because we’ll need pressure to try and force the type of game Oregon and Penn St were able to get from the Heisman winner.
Posted on 12/24/25 at 11:37 am to HighTide_ATL
It seems like every quarterback that we faced this season was dual threat. Ironically, the Wisconsin quarterback may have been the only pocket passer that we faced. I guess that you could throw Nussmeier in there. Everyone else was athletic.
Posted on 12/24/25 at 2:02 pm to bamatide07
Y’all are comparing this to the wrong game. To me, it feels a lot like the ‘93 Sugar Bowl For a month, Alabama was told they didn’t belong in New Orleans and Miami was going to put belt to arse and wear us out and it would be ugly. I’ve heard Alabama be in games several during my years where they didn’t have a chance and might as well not show up. And more often than not, Alabama has made people eat those words. Miami sure got a big helping of crow in New Orleans that night. We may get beat; Indiana is a good, gritty football team. But we’re going to make them earn it and I won’t be surprised if we find a way to win. That’s part of the Alabama mystique: don’t count Bama out because we’re coming and hell’s coming with us!
Posted on 12/24/25 at 2:06 pm to Amarillo Tide
Gene Chestnik = Larry Coker...fell azz backwards into a NC and never did anything else. Caught (bought) lightening in a bottle.
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