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re: College Football Nerds on BAMA
Posted on 12/2/25 at 9:20 am to NWLA_Bama
Posted on 12/2/25 at 9:20 am to NWLA_Bama
quote:
If a 3 loss Bama team got in over BYU the world would burn
I mean BYU is going to have 2 losses in that scenario, so not really.
If BYU ends up with 1 loss then they won the Big XII and are automatically in.
1
Posted on 12/2/25 at 9:26 am to crimsoncoded94
quote:ND has been playing nobodies you mean.
ND has been playing lights out for weeks.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 9:28 am to SummerOfGeorge
The latter part is the nightmare scenario. Hopefully TTU will take care of business. And hopefully we can beat Georgia. Tall order, but it’s possible.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 9:52 am to RollTide33
quote:
Easy to say this but they kept Bama out in favor of SMU last year. How much money did they lose by having a first round matchup of SMU vs Penn State instead of Bama vs Penn State? That decision probably cost them millions in viewership for that game.
From a single game ratings standpoint you're correct.
I'd argue that they might've sacrificed that game to avoid potentially blowing the lid off the antiquated championship game format and endangering all of the contracts moving forward.
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 9:53 am
Posted on 12/2/25 at 10:18 am to bamatide07
quote:we already beat them, so if course it's not impossible.
beat Georgia. Tall order, but it’s possible.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 10:35 am to bamatide07
quote:
The latter part is the nightmare scenario. Hopefully TTU will take care of business. And hopefully we can beat Georgia. Tall order, but it’s possible.
I'm confident in TTU because last time BYU struggled mightily with their defense. TTU has as good of a defensive front as any in the nation. I think they're simply too much for the Big 12. They lost one game with their backup QB against Arizona State when ASU still had their QB...and even then TTU made a great comeback to take the lead late but Levitt had a clutch GWing drive for ASU. TTU is probably undefeated if Morton played all their games.
Texas Tech is my dark horse for the tournament too. I think people assume they will get exposed when they play a Big Ten or SEC team but I'm not so sure. They've got a veteran QB who has played a lot of snaps in college. Two productive backs and a very balanced spread of targets amongst 3 WRs, 1 TE, and aforementioned 2 RBs. The defense is really good at creating pressure and negative plays.
If we need TTU to win to secure our position in the field regardless of SECCG outcome then we ought to feel pretty damn good.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 12:47 pm to Diego Ricardo
TT is a damn good team. They absolutely skull Dragged WV this week. It was bad.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 12:50 pm to 1BamaRTR
quote:
I don’t think it’s the strongest argument either given how they’re ranked things thus far, but this committee ranks first and comes up with explanations after
Glad someone else notices this.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 1:19 pm to CrimsonBoz
quote:
TT is a damn good team. They absolutely skull Dragged WV this week. It was bad.
Agreed.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 1:20 pm to CrimsonBoz
quote:
They absolutely skull Dragged WV this week
I can hardly remember the last time they didn’t skull drag someone
Posted on 12/2/25 at 1:27 pm to crimsoncoded94
quote:Since November 1 Notre Dame has faced defenses ranked:
ND has been playing lights out for weeks.
- #127 BC
- #92 Navy
- #40 Pitt
- #125 Syracuse
- #104 Stanford
In that same stretch Bama has faced:
- #25 LSU
- #9 Oklahoma
- #N/A Eastern Illinois
- #31 Auburn
The current narrative is that Notre Dame is on fire while Alabama is sputtering offensively. Well, no shite.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 1:56 pm to TideCPA
quote:
The current narrative is that Notre Dame is on fire while Alabama is sputtering offensively. Well, no shite.
Yea, utter nonsense. They played 3 of the 5 worst P4 teams in the country in BC, Syracuse and Stanford. Played Navy without their starting QB.
#10 Miami (L by 3)
#11 Texas A&M (L by 1)
#12 USC (W by 10)
#33 Pittsburgh (W by 22)
#47 Arkansas (W by 43)
#48 NC State (W by 29)
#61 Boise State (W by 21)
#65 Navy (W by 39) (Navy without starting QB)
#78 Purdue (W by 26)
#85 Stanford (W by 29)
#86 Boston College (W by 15)
#94 Syracuse (W by 63)
Alabama Schedule
#6 Georgia (W by 3)
#8 Vanderbilt (W by 16)
#13 Oklahoma (L by 2)
#19 Tennessee (W by 17)
#22 Missouri (W by 3)
#24 Auburn (W by 7)
#27 South Carolina (W by 7)
#28 LSU (W by 11)
#31 Florida State (L by 14)
#59 Wisconsin (W by 24)
#134 UL Monroe (W by 73)
FCS EIU (W by 56)
The 6 Top 25 teams we played we averaged a margin of +7 and went 5-1.
The 3 Top 25 teams they played they averaged a margin of +2 and went 1-2.
The 9 Top 40 teams we played we averaged a margin of +5.3 and went 7-2 (avg opp #19.8).
The 6 Top 40 teams they played they averaged a margin of +16.7 and went 4-2 (avg opp #26.8).
The 3 teams we played that were below #40 we averaged a margin of +51 pts.
The 6 teams they played that were below #40 they averaged a margin of +32 pts.
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 2:05 pm
Posted on 12/2/25 at 2:03 pm to SummerOfGeorge
And yet this committee has them ahead of us.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 2:07 pm to crimsoncoded94
Basically, with the regular season completed, we now have full resume's for all teams sans conference championship games which should be viewed almost separately
Comparing Bama's full resume to that of Notre Dame's after a settled field of results, Bama's is better.
Full stop.
For this reason, Bama will jump Notre Dame as somewhat of a "course correction" from the previous mistake of keeping ND ahead of Bama. Vegas knows this, which is why they are placing significantly better odds for Bama than ND
Comparing Bama's full resume to that of Notre Dame's after a settled field of results, Bama's is better.
Full stop.
For this reason, Bama will jump Notre Dame as somewhat of a "course correction" from the previous mistake of keeping ND ahead of Bama. Vegas knows this, which is why they are placing significantly better odds for Bama than ND
Posted on 12/2/25 at 2:12 pm to TideCPA
quote:
Since November 1 Notre Dame has faced defenses ranked:
- #127 BC
- #92 Navy
- #40 Pitt
- #125 Syracuse
- #104 Stanford
In that same stretch Bama has faced:
- #25 LSU
- #9 Oklahoma
- #N/A Eastern Illinois
- #31 Auburn
And in opponent adjusted terms
Notre Dame Opponent Defenses
#109 Boston College (25 pts)
#102 Navy (49 pts)
#22 Pitt (28 pts)
#61 Syracuse (49 pts)
#57 Stanford (49 pts)
Alabama Opponent Defenses
#8 LSU (20 pts)
#4 Oklahoma (21 pts)
FCS EIU (56 pts)
#12 Auburn (27 pts)
We haven't played a defense ranked below #50 since ULM other than EIU. We are averaging 41 ppg in the 6 games against Defenses ranked below #20.
#4 Oklahoma (21 pts)
#8 LSU (20 pts)
#12 Auburn (27 pts)
#14 South Carolina (29 pts)
#15 Missouri (27 pts)
#20 Georgia (24 pts)
#23 Wisconsin (38 pts)
#35 Tennessee (30 pts)
#48 Vanderbilt (30 pts)
#54 Florida State (17 pts)
#118 UL Monroe (73 pts)
FCS EIU (56 pts)
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 2:16 pm
Posted on 12/2/25 at 2:21 pm to bamatide07
Maybe not for long ;)
Posted on 12/2/25 at 2:26 pm to CrimsonBoz
quote:
The playoff predictor just moved us to 9 with a loss to UGA.
I think it’s happening. Holy shite.
Pretty sure Sankey put out the word that the conference was not going to put up with a repeat of last year.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 2:53 pm to LovetheLord
quote:
Pretty sure Sankey put out the word that the conference was not going to put up with a repeat of last year.
No different than the things the ACC was back channeling that got a weak arse SMU team that schedule merchant'd their way into the ACCCG.
Honestly, I think whenever it finally happens (a CCG participant in a major conference getting left out) that it will be a net positive for the sport in the long run. The CCG week can be cleared out for the 1st round of a 16 team playoff. The semis are over by the Saturday before Christmas. Championship game is played by Jan 1 or 2.
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 2:53 pm
Posted on 12/2/25 at 3:09 pm to crimsoncoded94
quote:
ND has been playing lights out for weeks. I dont believe it
ND will be behind Bama tonight. I think they'll be behind Miami as well.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 3:24 pm to Diego Ricardo
Or they have room to add another round.
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