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Why do basketball commitments rarely flip while football commitments constantly do flip?
Posted on 10/22/25 at 9:11 pm
Posted on 10/22/25 at 9:11 pm
It's not like basketball recruiting is squeaky clean. It's famously sleazy and shameless. But you almost never see anyone flip, or really even hear about guys getting recruited after they commit somewhere.
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Posted on 10/23/25 at 8:26 am to CCTider
I think there’s a gentleman’s agreement that once a kid commits, other schools back off. They won’t make another run at a player who is committed until he opens his recruitment back up.
Posted on 10/23/25 at 8:29 am to CCTider
I think it’s the psychological differences between a team in basketball and in football. Football is so large, it’s more of an institution. At its best, it’s a brotherhood. But it’s easier to walk away from an institution.
Committing to a basketball team is committing to a smaller group of guys, more like (at its best) a family.
Committing to a basketball team is committing to a smaller group of guys, more like (at its best) a family.
Posted on 10/24/25 at 8:01 am to CCTider
Basketball recruiting for decades has been about relationships with AAU coaches and handlers. Even with NIL, I would imagine it still requires greasing the wheels with these relationships, and as long as the schools keep the wheels properly greased, the handlers keep encouraging the kids to remain committed.
Football has always been more about relationships with high school coaches and directly with players and their families. NIL changed this drastically.
I don't thinkbasketball players themselves are any more committed to the college, as the transfer portal is still very active.
Football has always been more about relationships with high school coaches and directly with players and their families. NIL changed this drastically.
I don't thinkbasketball players themselves are any more committed to the college, as the transfer portal is still very active.
This post was edited on 10/24/25 at 8:02 am
Posted on 10/31/25 at 1:45 pm to CCTider
But basketball players seem to transfer in High numbers after their freshman year.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 9:28 am to CCTider
We need data to decide if its really different. Whats the roster size of football and basketball teams. And then how many transfers for each as a percentage.
It may not be so different but perception can distort reality.
It may not be so different but perception can distort reality.
Posted on 11/8/25 at 12:48 am to CCTider
theres not as many basketball commits
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:40 am to CCTider
The easy answer is shoe companies. They have rigged the game.
Major recruits depend solely on two national networks that killed the traditional AAU process. If you are not featured in one of the Nike EYBL or Adidas 3SSB national events, you are not going to get in from of the major college coaches. Most recruiting is really done through a kids early junior year, and NIL has flowed into places like Link Academy and Montverde and elsewhere.
Unlike football, major prospect don't plan on being in college long. They go to Duke for a year or two at the most and the get rich in the NBA, the G League, or overseas,
These shoe companies are also in bed with the university athletic departments and coaches.
so everything gets done and dusted behind the scenes and the money have little incentive to let the various programs try to outbid each other. The colleges like it as well.
Major recruits depend solely on two national networks that killed the traditional AAU process. If you are not featured in one of the Nike EYBL or Adidas 3SSB national events, you are not going to get in from of the major college coaches. Most recruiting is really done through a kids early junior year, and NIL has flowed into places like Link Academy and Montverde and elsewhere.
Unlike football, major prospect don't plan on being in college long. They go to Duke for a year or two at the most and the get rich in the NBA, the G League, or overseas,
These shoe companies are also in bed with the university athletic departments and coaches.
so everything gets done and dusted behind the scenes and the money have little incentive to let the various programs try to outbid each other. The colleges like it as well.
Posted on 12/1/25 at 2:21 pm to CCTider
Only so many spots on the floor, once a team fills those spots its pretty set in stone I feel like
Posted on 12/1/25 at 2:56 pm to Hubbhogg
That and there’s only like 12 guys on a bball roster. If you’re decent you’ll probably at least get some PT. Football you may be great but if a good returning starter is ahead of you getting real significant PT is harder.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 7:20 am to Hugh McElroy
I agree with this. Fewer players means you have a better chance of being a star.
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