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re: ESPN = Best Recruit Rankings

Posted on 8/7/18 at 6:20 pm to
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26005 posts
Posted on 8/7/18 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

That's not what they do, though. Here, let me give an example: Player X has official offers from Alabama, Georgia, Oregon, Florida and Auburn. The chances he's a dud are literally zero, because several teams that spend ungodly amounts of cash on analytics are all pointing in the same direction.

What's bad about 247 is they use their rankings to fill subscribers. That's what their whole model is, to make money and get people to go behind their paywalls.

All of their crystal balls, players mysteriously losing stars for no explicable reason etc. etc..

Again, 247 is the best for its aggregate, but ESPN (IN THEORY, NOT PRACTICALITY) is the best because they literally just follow what schools are saying.

Do you trust schools who make their money winning games, or a website that makes their money based on drama? I think the answer is easy.


If you don't think espn is in it to make money, then I can't help you.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26005 posts
Posted on 8/7/18 at 6:30 pm to
I don't really care about the order of the rankings.

Win in the trenches. Win at QB and RB.

Keep the class intact 3-4 years.
Rinse and repeat.

I'd be proud of the classes for Smart even if we were top3 in conference.
Posted by MOJO_ERASER
Tulsa Oklahoma
Member since Jun 2017
5839 posts
Posted on 8/7/18 at 6:36 pm to
farmer bill told me the best was 247 composite ....... now it’s espin.... like I said which ever ranking to boost your own team is your best ranking Farmer.
Posted by Prettyboy Floyd
Pensacola, Florida
Member since Dec 2013
16389 posts
Posted on 8/7/18 at 6:54 pm to
Homey when fishing and landed himself a few idiots. Solid
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
58126 posts
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:36 pm to
Clearly Aggie is the leader
Posted by DaronTexas
Screwston Tx . R.I.P DJ SCREW
Member since Apr 2016
1461 posts
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:43 pm to
I know UGA has always had great tailbacks. But kirby has kicked it up a notch recruiting that position. What is he selling these guys to commit? If this keeps up 4 star tailbacks in future may as well look somewhere else unless they are a 5 star.
This post was edited on 8/7/18 at 7:45 pm
Posted by StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Member since Sep 2013
21146 posts
Posted on 8/7/18 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

If you don't think espn is in it to make money, then I can't help you.



For recruiting? I can guarantee their staff is monumentally smaller than other recruiting services. ESPN tried to do it and it failed miserably. They rate because they're ESPN, but they're not banking on subscriptions and web traffic.

Because they're a multi-billion dollar company.
This post was edited on 8/7/18 at 9:05 pm
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
51790 posts
Posted on 8/8/18 at 12:18 pm to
I thought I made it as tongue in cheek as possible, but some people still got angry.
Posted by SAINTS0321
Member since Jan 2016
3963 posts
Posted on 8/8/18 at 2:15 pm to
Lugenbill is goat .class... family man .. articulate . humorous...
Posted by Warrior Poet
Living Rent-Free in Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2011
8012 posts
Posted on 8/8/18 at 9:41 pm to
quote:

If you don't think espn is in it to make money, then I can't help you.



they're in it to make money, they're just not very good at it.

Exhibit 1 - network ratings
Exhibit 1a - longhorn network
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
40983 posts
Posted on 8/9/18 at 12:11 pm to
How much weight does ESPN give to politics when recruiting?

THAT'S why they are not trusted.

Also, we've seen bumps in rankings when a prospect flips from one school to another ... and that's another reason why ESPN is not trusted.

ESPN attends very few of the camps.

I do agree that Rivals has nose dived in terms of credibility. They are almost a joke anymore given some of their recent stunts. With Rivals, if you commit early, you're gonna drop, it's as simple as that. If you suffer even the slightest injury, you're gonna drop.

IMHO the absolute best way to determine a recruit's potential is to:

Look at the programs that have given a commitable offer.

Look at what level of HS football, what classification, it is that the prospect is participating-in.

Size, weight, speed of course.

Camp numbers.

And even then there are going to be a lot of kids missed, underrated or overrated.

It's an inexact science but 247 probably bas the best approach at thr moment.
Posted by ATLdawg25
Atlanta, GA
Member since Oct 2014
4370 posts
Posted on 8/9/18 at 12:13 pm to
Your method of typing

Is hell to read

on mobile
Posted by Uncle Gunnysack
Member since Apr 2016
5541 posts
Posted on 8/9/18 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

With Rivals, if you commit early, you're gonna drop, it's as simple as that. If you suffer even the slightest injury, you're gonna drop.


grade risks as well, but yeah, its like they dont even try to hide their self-promotional bias
Posted by Pitch To Johnny
Houston
Member since Jun 2015
4224 posts
Posted on 8/9/18 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

It's an inexact science but 247 probably bas the best approach at thr moment.
Most would agree, and normally think ESPN sucks, but were certainly gunna ride the wave for as long as they'd like to keep us at #1
Posted by Hugh McElroy
Member since Sep 2013
18584 posts
Posted on 8/9/18 at 9:54 pm to
quote:

Rivals doesn’t have anyone in the state



Hard to blame them.
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
40983 posts
Posted on 8/10/18 at 7:25 am to
quote:

ESPN tried to be what Rivals and 247 are a few years ago with each team with a sub site, hiring a huge number of people to do recruiting for each team. It didn't work and they were all let go. Most of them working for RIvals or 247 now.

That's not exactly what happened.

First of all, individual site owners on Rivals, Scout (when they were very good), and 247 have never had any say-so about prospect ratings. Jim Heckman, et al, with Rivals put a committee system in place and it was done on a points system that included Jamie Newberg, Bobby Burton, Scott Kennedy (waste of a committee seat), and others not the least of which was Bernie Kosar.

That system transitioned over into Scout when Shannon Terry bought out Rivals from the banks (before he sold to Yahoo) and Heckman launched Scout which took a major dive when he sold out to Fox Sports and became the CEO of My Space.

Shannon, once he sold to Yahoo and allowed his non-compete to expire, launched 247 with Burton and he hired a lot of ... some of us who had been around, to watch tape and scout games. He also took the Heckman by committee model and incorprated the composite aggregate model as a viable alternative to the single committee/network model in an effort to thwart over-ranking commits based upon individual site subscription numbers which he felt were counter productive and catering to bigger sites while neglecting smaller sites and alienating their subscriber bases.

Rivals was particularly bad about doing that.

When Heckman sold Scout and it began to nose dive ... a lot of publishers bailed and were lured in by ESPN because they made some promises about money and autonomy which they didn't keep.

So while some publishers were still involved in suits brought against Heckman/Scout/Fox, they got entangled into a similar mess with ESPN but were screwed by the ESPN fine print and litigation advantages had by Disney/ABC/ESPN.

That the ESPN publisher model fell apart was not because of bad publishers, it was because they refused to generate enough free content to make the model viable and, via their offices in Connecticut and Charlotte they hamstrung publishers and definitely exhibited some bias in their recruiting rankings.

There is no exact science. It's impossible. But the best metric at the moment is the 247 composite provided they never allow tweaking by individuals claiming to be experts ... which is why they keep their network rankings separate from their composite rankings.
Posted by StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Member since Sep 2013
21146 posts
Posted on 8/10/18 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

Look at the programs that have given a commitable offer.



That is literally all ESPN does. That's why recruits get ratings boosts when they flip. An offer from UGA/Alabama (who both spend millions in analytics) holds sufficiently ore weight than, say, USCe.
Posted by Long Dawg
Acworth, GA
Member since Dec 2017
2054 posts
Posted on 8/10/18 at 3:43 pm to
yessir. check out this stat from 247. UGA is ranked #2 behind Bama but has, count'em FIVE 5* committments.

The other top 5 teams Bama(#1-one), ATM(#3-one), Oklahoma(#4-two) and Oregon(#5-zero)only have a COMBINED Four 5*'s.

Another amazing stat from Kirby and his allstar coaching/recruiting staff.
Posted by DaronTexas
Screwston Tx . R.I.P DJ SCREW
Member since Apr 2016
1461 posts
Posted on 8/10/18 at 8:46 pm to
Uga is killing it. Only a hater would deny.
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
40983 posts
Posted on 8/12/18 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

That is literally all ESPN does. That's why recruits get ratings boosts when they flip. An offer from UGA/Alabama (who both spend millions in analytics) holds sufficiently ore weight than, say, USCe.

Only problem with your contention is that once Boom finds an unknown prospect and offers, others come rushing-in eith offers including UGA and Bama. Luginbill was just talking about that the other night on the ESPN Recruiting Show.

So, it's not so much about what school offers as it it what coach offers. That's clear to see.

With that understood let's rephrase your claim.

An offer from Saban (including his staff), or Kirby (including his staff), or Dabo (including his staff), or Boom (including his staff), or Jimbo (including his staff), or Taggert (including his staff), or Richt (including staff), (who all have a good eye and are well known evaluators of talent) holds sufficiently more weight than, say, other coaches (and their staffs) who regularly field competitive teams but fail to put tons of players in the draft.

And expounding on that reality vs the long misheld belief that it's all about the schools or the tradition of the programs is thr fact that, in down decades, (like Tennessee and Texas are experiencing at thr moment), offers from a program being led by incompetent recruiters with no eyes for talent mean little to nothing in thr overall scheme of things.

Even further we might agree that, far too often, some programs offer lists are overrated simply because of the shallow vision some networks place upon exactly what you claimed ... that all potentially great players choose to play for past reputations (of the programs) rather than the staffs which will be instructing them in their craft.
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