2016 Recruiting Classes: % of 4/5 Stars

Here are all the classes with at least 12 commitments, ranked by percentage of 4 & 5 stars in the class (according to Rivals):

1) Ohio State- 76.5%
2) Georgia- 71.4%
3) Clemson- 64.3%
4) Alabama- 58.8%
4) Florida St.- 58.8%
6) USC- 57.1%
7) Michigan St.- 55.6%
8) Tennessee- 53.3%
9) Auburn- 52.9%
9) LSU- 52.9%
11) Notre Dame- 50.0%
11) UCLA- 50.0%
13) Texas A&M- 47.4%
14) Stanford- 45.0%
15) Penn State- 44.4%
16) Michigan- 42.9%
17) Oklahoma- 38.5%
17) Washington- 38.5%
19) Ole Miss- 36.8%
20) Baylor- 36.8%
21) Oregon- 36.8%
22) Miami- 33.3%
22) Texas- 33.3%
24) Florida- 32.0%
25) N. Carolina- 30.4%

Sometimes when its this far out before signing day, this is a better projection of how strong the recruiting classes really are.

Florida's class is currently rated #7 by Rivals. But that high ranking is in large part due to the fact they have 25 commitments. They are actually rated ahead of Alabama (who sits at #9), but that's because Alabama only has 17 commitments.

Anyone who follows recruiting knows Bama will have no trouble filling out their class with mostly 4 and 5 star kids, so its inevitable that Alabama and many other teams will pass Florida in the rankings.

My question is this: How is Florida's recruiting class so mediocre? They already have 25 commitments, yet that includes zero 5-stars and just eight 4-stars. Florida has commitments from 17 kids who are 3-stars or lower.

Another way to look at it is # of kids in the Rivals 250:

1) LSU- 9
1) Clemson- 9
3) Ohio St.- 8
3) Florida St.- 8
3) Stanford- 8
6) Georgia- 7
6) Alabama- 7
6) Michigan- 7
6) Michigan St.- 7
10) USC- 6
10) UCLA- 6
12) Auburn- 5
12) Ole Miss- 5
12) Texas A&M- 5
12) Miami- 5
12) Baylor- 5
12) Penn St.- 5
18) Florida- 4
18) Oklahoma- 4
18) Oregon- 4

So Florida is in a 3-way tie for 18th in terms of # of Rivals 250 kids committed.

Tennessee only has 2 commitments from the Rivals 250.

It's looking very likely the SEC's recruiting classes will end up looking about like this:

1) Alabama/LSU/Georgia
2) Alabama/LSU/Georgia
3) Alabama/LSU/Georgia
4) Ole Miss/Auburn/Texas A&M
5) Ole Miss/Auburn/Texas A&M
6) Ole Miss/Auburn/Texas A&M
7) Florida/Tennessee
8) Florida/Tennessee

Everyone else at the bottom.

Once again, its the SEC West and Georgia who get the bulk of the talent... and then everyone else.

McElwain's first class at UF finished #23 last year. I had thought that with a full year to recruit, he'd do better this year. But when its all said and done, it appears Florida will not finish in the Top 15.

Say what you want about Muschamp, but the man could recruit. He landed the #3 class in 2012, the #4 class in 2013, and the #8 class in 2013.

How will McElwain look at Florida once all that talent begins to leave?