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re: Who is going to make the CFP?

Posted on 9/29/26 at 9:48 pm to
Posted by theCAW
Polk County
Member since Dec 2023
10314 posts
Posted on 9/29/26 at 9:48 pm to
Florida is far from a lock

We need to win @ Mizzou and @ Kentucky which are not guaranteed.

Then we could afford a loss to Texas/uga

With USCe, OU, and Vandy at home looking winnable (although OU has enough talent to make it interesting), and @FSU also looking pretty winnable
Posted by Uga Alum
Member since Jul 2022
7209 posts
Posted on 9/29/26 at 9:56 pm to
Dude, have some confidence. You will beat Mizzou and Kentucky.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
25206 posts
Posted on 9/29/26 at 9:57 pm to
UF:
UGA
@TX
@UK

UGA
@Bama
UF
@OM

BAMA
UGA
@TN
@LSU
AU

TX
UF
OM
MSU
@LSU

MSU
BAMA
@LSU
@TX
@OM

LSU (1 Loss)
@UK
MSU
BAMA
TX
@TN

OM (1 Loss)
@TX
UGA
MSU


Ranked most to least likely IMO:
UGA
UF
Bama
TX
LSU
MSU
OM
Posted by Chad4Bama
Member since Sep 2020
9604 posts
Posted on 9/29/26 at 10:02 pm to
You basically assume a SEC team
gets 2 mulligans and can still be a cfp lock at the end. 3 losses and there's a debate.

Miss St is suddenly a critical game.
You'd like to save your mulligans for the Georgia, Tennessee, LSU run. Lose to MSU and the run becomes much tougher...UT and LSU are on the road. Texas A&M...who knows what shows up. It's a tough road no doubt.

Posted by theCAW
Polk County
Member since Dec 2023
10314 posts
Posted on 9/29/26 at 10:02 pm to
quote:

You will beat Mizzou and Kentucky.
if at the swamp I’d say yes

But we’ve had issues against those programs especially on the road

Kentucky is rejuvenated under Stein, should be a good game.

I feel a bit more confident vs Mizzou because it does seem like drink is losing some steam/momentum there and we played them close there in 2021 and 23 despite having godawful teams that year
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