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Who does Auburn think they are? 8-4 isn't good enough?

Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:25 am
Posted by Smalls
Southern California
Member since Jul 2009
10245 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:25 am
Look what happened to Tennessee. 8, 9 wins wasn't good enough, so they make a change and have been a 6-6 program ever since, at best.

8 wins wasn't good enough for Aggy, so they make a change and are still a 7, 8 win program, only more expensive.

It is what it is Aubie. Just enjoy the game of football, tailgating, and fall weather. Win 7, 8, 9 games and compete with the big dogs every couple of years. Enjoy some Florida bowl games and the occassional Sugar Bowl appearance. You'll be much happier in life.
Posted by SidewalkDawg
Chair
Member since Nov 2012
9820 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:27 am to
They already kicked one National Championship winning coach to the curb because they thought Gus was going to deliver them to the promised land.

Maybe they could convince Chizik to come back and demote Gus to OC. That seemed to be the winning combo.
Posted by Leto II
Arrakis
Member since Dec 2018
21236 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:36 am to
8-4 isn't the issue. It's the record vs. Alabama, UGA and LSU that's the problem.
Posted by Leto II
Arrakis
Member since Dec 2018
21236 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:37 am to
quote:

They already kicked one National Championship winning coach to the curb because they thought Gus was going to deliver them to the promised land.

Yeah, and Gus was 13 seconds from the promised land the very next year.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37438 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:37 am to
quote:

Maybe they could convince Chizik to come back and demote Gus to OC. That seemed to be the winning combo.


God damn it stop it. Don’t give them any ideas.

Posted by SidewalkDawg
Chair
Member since Nov 2012
9820 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:39 am to
quote:

Yeah, and Gus was 13 seconds from the promised land the very next year.


If Richt doesn't get credit for 2012 SECCG vs. Bama. Then this shite surely isn't gonna fly.
Posted by Leto II
Arrakis
Member since Dec 2018
21236 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:40 am to
quote:

If Richt doesn't get credit for 2012 SECCG vs. Bama. Then this shite surely isn't gonna fly.


You lost the SEC Championship. Gus lost the NC... the year after firing Chizik.

The talent is there for the right coach.
Posted by Windy City
Member since Jun 2019
1708 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:45 am to
quote:

8 wins wasn't good enough for Aggy, so they make a change and are still a 7, 8 win program, only more expensive.


The Good Ship Sumlin was steering towards the rocks. We all knew it. Jimbo and his contract was a crazy response though.
Posted by Smalls
Southern California
Member since Jul 2009
10245 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Gus lost the NC... the year after firing Chizik.

The talent is there for the right coach.


This is my point. Everything lined up perfectly that season. Every once in a while, that can happen. For Auburn, normal years are 7, 8, 9 wins. Auburn shouldn't fire a guy for 7, 8, 9 wins. Auburn should fire a guy for consistently winning 6 games or less.
This post was edited on 11/18/19 at 8:49 am
Posted by lucki98
Thibodaux, la
Member since Aug 2014
808 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:51 am to
So why did LSU fire Les Miles? He avg 8 or 9 wins!
This post was edited on 11/18/19 at 8:59 am
Posted by Smalls
Southern California
Member since Jul 2009
10245 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 8:55 am to
quote:

So why did LSU fire Les Mikes? He avg 8 or 9 wins!


Two reasons: One, at the end, he was consistently getting beat by the likes of Ole Miss and Arkansas.

Two, LSU's consistent winning floor is around 10, not 7-9.
Posted by lucki98
Thibodaux, la
Member since Aug 2014
808 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 9:02 am to
Ok but Auburn’s is the same! Don’t try and act like LSU has been winning 10 and 11 games every year.
Posted by Tigerman97
Member since Jun 2014
10354 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Look what happened to Tennessee. 8, 9 wins wasn't good enough, so they make a change and have been a 6-6 program ever since, at best.

It's not the same. In the same window of time the landscape of college football changed. UTk doesn't benefit from selling the exposure of TSIO anymore...every game is on TV. It makes it harder to cherry pick kids from WV, UV, Southern Ohio, UK, Western NC, Western SC, etc...

8 wins wasn't good enough for Aggy, so they make a change and are still a 7, 8 win program, only more expensive.

Auburn has a richer football history than A&M...we have certainly been in the national conversation over the last 40 years signficantly more.

It is what it is Aubie. Just enjoy the game of football, tailgating, and fall weather. Win 7, 8, 9 games and compete with the big dogs every couple of years. Enjoy some Florida bowl games and the occassional Sugar Bowl appearance. You'll be much happier in life.

In all honestly the argument that Gus is an 8 win coach at a school that is historically an 8 win program is an argument to try someone new. IMO anyone could do what Gus is doing at Auburn. Auburn is looking for their version of Steve Spurrier. As I stated already the idea that a coach is going to routinely lose more than 4 games at Auburn based on historical trends and current college football trends is naive.




Posted by allin2010
Auburn
Member since Aug 2011
18150 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 9:21 am to
2-5 vs. LSU, 2-5 vs UGA Regular Season, 2-4 vs Alabama

6-14 against our three biggest rivals.

Time for a change..

UGA fired a 10 win coach, Kirby brought new life. LSU fired a NC coach mid-season, Coach O brought new life. We will see what Coach Kevin Steele can do.
Posted by Capo Losi
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2016
2193 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 9:25 am to
Ranters not around/lurking during the final year of Les's tenure don't get the point of this post...
Posted by FearlessFreep
Baja Alabama
Member since Nov 2009
17275 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 9:25 am to
quote:

Two, LSU's consistent winning floor is around 10, not 7-9.
LSU's historic record: 807-415-47
LSU's historic winning percentage: .65445
LSU's historic average regular season wins: 12 * .65445 = 7.9

You fired a HC who was winning more than 2 games over your historical average
Posted by ghusbhus
Your wife’s vag
Member since Mar 2015
772 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 9:26 am to
So you are against the firing of les miles and the hiring of yaw yaw, and you regret how LSU’s situation has turned out?
Posted by Revelator
Member since Nov 2008
57835 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 9:32 am to
quote:

Look what happened to Tennessee. 8, 9 wins wasn't good enough, so they make a change and have been a 6-6 program ever since, at best


In all fairness, Tennessee as a state doesn’t produce anything close to the type recruits that Alabama does and they have to rely greatly on out of state prospects. It is unfair to compare the two situations.
This post was edited on 11/18/19 at 10:14 am
Posted by Niner
Member since Apr 2019
2026 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 9:52 am to
quote:

Two, LSU's consistent winning floor is around 10, not 7-9.


Wrong.

Since 1st Season:

807 wins / 115 seasons = ~7 wins per season

Since Start of BCS:

194 wins / 21 seasons= ~9 wins per season

Since Start of AP Ranking:

601 wins / 83 seasons= ~7 wins per season





LSU's winning floor is around 7-9.


EDIT: backwards equations
This post was edited on 11/18/19 at 9:55 am
Posted by Gaspergou202
Metairie, LA
Member since Jun 2016
13494 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 10:02 am to
quote:

The Good Ship Sumlin was steering towards the rocks. We all knew it. Jimbo and his contract was a crazy response though.

I like busting aTm chops as much as the next guy. Ok, more, I’m an a-hole.

But seriously, Sumlin was clueless. Jimbo is better. But Jimbo has a problem in the SEC West. Actually 2 and 3/4 problems. Problem 1, they are 1 in 8 to Nick and Alabama. Problem 2, they are soon to be 1 in 9 to LSU. Problem 1/2, Auburn. Problem 1/4, the occasional Georgia and Florida East matchups. Throw in a potential loss to their annual non conference P5 match up, and there’s potential for 3-5 losses per season.

They will probably go 7-5 (4-4) this year, and that makes recruiting from heavily divided Texas talent tough. Jimbo is an improvement from Sumlin. But he is not enough of a recruiter to shut out Texas, Oklahoma, and LSU from Texas talent, and he will lose enough to the other Texas schools, Oklahoma State, Arkansas, and high powered poachers like Alabama to be a significant problem.

LSU had a similar problem of not locking down Louisiana talent until Satan came here. Jimbo is not in Nick’s league, and fortunately for LSU he holds O’s hat too.

Auburn has a similar problem. They live in a talent target rich environment, but it’s fractured, and Bama is dominant. They will always be potential contenders, but can only be consistent champions when Bama is in a low cycle. Bama will not be in a low cycle while Satan is there.

I think both AU and aTm would be making mistakes changing horses at this time.

Yes, aTm paid too much for Jimbo. After peaking in 2013, he created a highly flammable dumpster in Tallahassee, and LSU really struck the match when they screwed him (and themselves) when they reneged on his hire. He had to jump. His best coaching option was LSU, but he was rightfully butt-hurt. He combined LSU’s renewed interest with their $6.8 million offer the previous year to get aTm to make a ridiculous offer. TAMU could have gotten him for 6 + or -. He was making 5.5 at FSU and had to leave the mess he was in. Even if aTm thought that he was seriously considering LSU, who had previously screwed him, and was targeting Herman, who signed for 5 at Texas, 6.8 was the high end going rate.
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