UPDATED 2018: Stats on WG's annual predictions thread - fanbase expectations

Because I have way too much time on my hands, I went through and logged every fanbase's season predictions from WG_Dawg's annual thread, compared it to that team's actual result to see how realistic or unrealistic all the fans on this site are.

In short: We (almost) all overestimate our teams going in.

Here's how it shakes out (fan predictions listed first, actual result in parentheses)(correctly predicted seasons in italics, overestimated seasons in bold):

Alabama:
2011: 11-1 (11-1) correct
2012: 11-1 (11-1) correct
2013: 12-0 (11-1) overestimated
2014: 11-1 (11-1) correct
2015: 11-1 (11-1) correct
2016: 11-1 (12-0) underestimated
2017: 11-1 (11-1) correct
2018: 11.5-0.5 ()

Predicted wins match actual wins. 1 overestimation, 1 underestimation, 5 correct predictions.

Arkansas:
2011: 10-2 (10-2) correct
2012: 9.5-2.5 (4-8) overestimated
2013: 6-6 (3-9) overestimated
2014: 6-6 (6-6) correct
2015: 9-3 (7-5) overestimated
2016: 8-4 (7-5) overestimated
2017: 4-8 (8-4) overestimated
2018: 6-6 ()

Predicted wins 15.5 more than actual wins. 5 overestimations, 0 underestimations, 2 correct predictions.

Auburn:
2011: 8-4 (7-5) overestimated
2012: 8.5-3.5 (3-9) overestimated
2013: 8-4 (11-1) underestimated
2014: 10.5-1.5 (8-4) overestimated
2015: 10.5-1.5 (6-6) overestimated
2016: 7-5 (8-4) underestimated
2017: 10-2 (10-2) correct
2018: 9.5-2.5 ()

Predicted wins 9.5 more than actual wins. 4 overestimations, 2 underestimations, 1 correct prediction.

Florida:
2011: 8-4 (6-6) overestimated
2012: 8-4 (11-1) underestimated
2013: 9.5-2.5 (4-8) overestimated
2014: 9.5-2.5 (6-5) overestimated
2015: 7.5-4.5 (10-2) underestimated
2016: 9-3 (9-3) correct
2017: 9-3 (4-7) overestimated
2018: 7.5-4.5 ()

Predicted wins 9.5 more than actual wins (giving Gators slack here on the cancelled 2017 N. Colorado game). 4 overestimations, 2 underestimations, 1 correct prediction.

Georgia:
2011: 9.5-2.5 (10-2) underestimated
2012: 11-1 (11-1) correct
2013: 11-1 (8-4) overestimated
2014: 10-2 (9-3) overestimated
2015: 10-2 (9-3) overestimated
2016: 9-3 (7-5) overestimated
2017: 9-3 (11-1) underestimated
2018: 11-1 ()

Predicted wins 4.5 more than actual wins. 4 overestimations, 2 underestimations, 1 correct prediction.

Kentucky:
2011: 6.5-5.5 (5-7) overestimated
2012: no predictions made :/
2013: 4.5-7.5 (2-10) overestimated
2014: 5-7 (5-7) correct
2015: 7-5 (5-7) overestimated
2016: 6-6 (7-5) underestimated
2017: 8-4 (7-5) overestimated
2018: 7.5-4.5 ()

Predicted wins 6 more than actual wins. 4 overestimations, 1 underestimation, 1 correct prediction.

LSU:
2011: 10.5-1.5 (12-0) underestimated
2012: 12-0 (10-2) overestimated
2013: 10-2 (9-3) overestimated
2014: 10-2 (8-4) overestimated
2015: 10-2 (9-3) overestimated
2016: 11-1 (8-4) overestimated
2017: 10-2 (9-3) overestimated
2018: 9-3 ()

Predicted wins 8.5 more than actual wins. 6 overestiations, 1 underestimation, 0 correct predictions.

Ole Miss:
2011: 6-6 (3-9) overestimated
2012: 4.5-7.5 (6-6) underestimated
2013: 8-4 (8-4) correct
2014: 9-3 (9-3) correct
2015: 9-3 (9-3) correct
2016: 9-3 (5-7) overestimated
2017: 6.5-5.5 (6-6) overestimated
2018: 6.5-5.5 ()

Predicted wins 6 more than actual wins. 3 overestimations, 1 underestimation, 3 correct predictions.

Mississippi State:
2011: 9-3 (6-6) overestimated
2012: 8.5-3.5 (8-4) overestimated
2013: 6.5-5.5 (6-6) overestimated
2014: 9-3 (10-2) underestimated
2015: 10-2 (8-4) overestimated
2016: 7-5 (5-7) overestimated
2017: 8-4 (8-4) correct
2018: 9.5-2.5 ()

Predicted wins 7 more than actual wins. 5 overestimations, 1 underestimation, 1 correct prediction.

Missouri:
2012: 7.5-4.5 (5-7) overestimated
2013: 7.5-4.5 (11-1) underestimated
2014: 10-2 (10-2) correct
2015: 9-3 (7-5) overestimated
2016: 7-5 (4-8) overestimated
2017: 8-4 (7-5) overestimated
2018: 8-4 ()

Predicted wins 5 more than actual wins. 4 overestimations, 1 underestimation, 1 correct prediction.

South Carolina:
2011: 10.5-1.5 (10-2) overestimated
2012: 11-1 (10-2) overestimated
2013: 11-1 (10-2) overestimated
2014: 10.5-1.5 (6-6) overestimated
2015: 8.5-3.5 (3-9) overestimated
2016: 6-6(6-6) correct
2017: 7.5-4.5 (8-4) underestimated
2018: 8.5-3.5 ()

Predicted wins 12. more than actual wins. 5 overestimations, 1 underestimation, 1 correct prediction.

Tennessee:
2011: 7.5-4.5 (5-7) overestimated
2012: 8.5-3.5 (5-7) overestimated
2013: 7-5 (5-7) overestimated
2014: 6.5-5.5 (6-6) overestimated
2015: 9-3 (8-4) overestimated
2016: 10.5-1.5 (8-4) overestimated
2017: 9-3 (4-8) overestimated
2018: 6-6 ()

Predicted wins 17 more than actual wins. Every season overestimated.

Texas A&M:
2012: 8-4 (10-2) underestimated
2013: 10-2 (8-4) overestimated
2014: 8.5-3.5 (7-5) overestimated
2015: 10-2 (8-4) overestimated
2016: 9-3 (8-4) overestimated
2017: 7-5 (7-5) correct
2018: 7.5-4.5 ()

Predicted wins 4.5 more than actual wins. 4 overestimations, 1 underestimation, 1 correct prediction.

Vanderbilt:
2011: 5-7 (6-6) underestimated
2012: 7-5 (8-4) underestimated
2013: 7.5-4.5 (8-4) underestimated
2014: 8-4 (3-9) overestimated
2015: 5-7 (4-8) overestimated
2016: 5-7 (6-6) underestimated
2017: 7-5 (5-7) overestimated
2018: 6.5-5.5 ()

Predicted wins 4.5 more than actual wins. 3 overestimations, 4 underestimations, 0 correct predictions.


Most predicted wins more actual wins overall:
1. Tennessee - 17
2. Arkansas - 15.5
3. South Carolina - 12
t4. Auburn - 9.5
t4. Florida - 9.5
6. LSU - 8.5
7. Mississippi State - 7
t8. Kentucky - 6
t8. Ole Miss - 6
10. Missouri - 5
t11. Georgia - 4.5
t11. Texas A&M - 4.5
t11. Vanderbilt - 4.5
14. Alabama - 0

*Per year numbers and worst predictions ever can be found on my Page 3 post.

These numbers updated as of 8/7/18

LINK to 2018 predictions thread