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This Years Playoff is Only Going to Increase the Cost of Transfer Quarterbacks
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:31 am
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:31 am
All four teams left have transfer QBs.
Mendoza transferred from Cal in 2024.
Moore transferred from UCLA in 2023.
Chambliss transferred from Ferris State in 2024.
Beck transferred from Georgia in 2024.
We have already seen $1 million won’t get you much of a QB.
Beck received $4 million for this season. Mendoza received $2.6 million for this season. Dante Moore received $2.4 million for this season.
If Trinidad Chambliss is granted an extra year of eligibility, and that is a big if, the expected price tag to get him is $4 million according to media sources.
Going forward, it is going to cost at leat $2.5 million per season for a quality QB. That 4 year, $10 million Bryce Underwood deal caused a fury, but it looks pretty reasonable now. Arch is getting $5 million this season, so that threshold has been crossed. When will we see the first $10 million/season QB?
Mendoza transferred from Cal in 2024.
Moore transferred from UCLA in 2023.
Chambliss transferred from Ferris State in 2024.
Beck transferred from Georgia in 2024.
We have already seen $1 million won’t get you much of a QB.
Beck received $4 million for this season. Mendoza received $2.6 million for this season. Dante Moore received $2.4 million for this season.
If Trinidad Chambliss is granted an extra year of eligibility, and that is a big if, the expected price tag to get him is $4 million according to media sources.
Going forward, it is going to cost at leat $2.5 million per season for a quality QB. That 4 year, $10 million Bryce Underwood deal caused a fury, but it looks pretty reasonable now. Arch is getting $5 million this season, so that threshold has been crossed. When will we see the first $10 million/season QB?
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Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:32 am to captdalton
Recruit better....
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:36 am to captdalton
quote:
When will we see the first $10 million/season QB?
It would take some work to set up but I'm guessing these agents (or the good ones at least) have some sort of formulas set up to calculate the present value of these NFL contracts & adjust for injury risk, going lower in a more talented draft class, etc.
I think it'll take several years of NFL salary increases before college gets that high, if at all. It seems like CFB is in a bubble if anything though so I'd be surprised to see things get that ridiculous.
Your perfect storm would be a Lamar Jackson type guy who comes in a tears it up as a freshman. Now you sign him to a 2 year deal maybe 4-6 million per year. It's not quite the same but the young guys with more years of potential always seem to get the highest deals in baseball
Edit: I'm not saying that these guys will be the best winners, I'm saying they'll fetch the highest market value for the factors above. A 1 year super senior rental will probably not exceed a 2 year contract in TOTAL dollars even if the annual salary is higher.
This post was edited on 1/3/26 at 9:08 am
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:38 am to Pimphand
quote:
Recruit better....
From the portal. Like the four teams left playing for a championship.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:47 am to Pimphand
quote:
Recruit better....
Even if you bring in a great freshman you are going to have to renegotiate with them every year. Teams will be paying one way or another.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:50 am to captdalton
1st year qbs don't win titles. Neither do 2nd year guys for the most part.
The SEC needs to choose.
1- fight over 5 star players and continue to be a feeder for the NFL, and win a very occasional natty, OR
2- recruit the portal instead of high schools. I bet BAMA wishes it had let Ryan Williams walk and spent his $2m on an experienced qb from the portal. And if they don't, get ready for a long era of B1G dominance.
What's really dumb is that BAMA is about to kick Ty to the curb in favor of a qb who will be a 1st year starter and Ty will probably go somewhere and throw for 4000 yards. And BAMA fans will blame the coach for not being able to win with a 1st year qb wHo WoN tHe eLiTe 11 ThOuGh.
Ask OhioSt. They had an old throw away qb and won a natty.
Their 1st year starter who won the elite 11 got beat by two 23 year old qbs on the playoff teams he played.
The SEC needs to choose.
1- fight over 5 star players and continue to be a feeder for the NFL, and win a very occasional natty, OR
2- recruit the portal instead of high schools. I bet BAMA wishes it had let Ryan Williams walk and spent his $2m on an experienced qb from the portal. And if they don't, get ready for a long era of B1G dominance.
What's really dumb is that BAMA is about to kick Ty to the curb in favor of a qb who will be a 1st year starter and Ty will probably go somewhere and throw for 4000 yards. And BAMA fans will blame the coach for not being able to win with a 1st year qb wHo WoN tHe eLiTe 11 ThOuGh.
Ask OhioSt. They had an old throw away qb and won a natty.
Their 1st year starter who won the elite 11 got beat by two 23 year old qbs on the playoff teams he played.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:51 am to Bigdawgb
quote:
I think it'll take several years of NFL salary increases before college gets that high, if at all. It seems like CFB is in a bubble if anything though so I'd be surprised to see things get that ridiculous.
Current NFL quarterbacks making at least $50 million per season.
Dak Prescott: (Dallas Cowboys): $60 million/year
Joe Burrow: (Cincinnati Bengals): ~$55 million/year
Josh Allen: (Buffalo Bills): ~$55 million/year
Trevor Lawrence: (Jacksonville Jaguars): ~$55 million/year
Jordan Love: (Green Bay Packers): ~$55 million/year
Tua Tagovailoa: (Miami Dolphins): ~ $53 million/year
Brock Purdy: (SF 49ers): ~ $53 million/year
Jared Goff: (Detroit Lions): ~ $53 million/year
Justin Herbert: (LA Chargers): ~ $52.5 million/year
Lamar Jackson: (Baltimore Ravens): ~ $52 million/year
Jalen Hurts: (Philadelphia Eagles): ~ $51 million/year
Eleven NFL quarterbacks made over $50 million this season. Nineteen made over $30 million this season. The going rate for an established quality NFL QB is $30 million plus.
How much higher do you think NFL salaries need to rise before a wealthy booster says “screw it, I want that guy even if it costs $10 million”?
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:54 am to nes2010
You do realize who you are talking to right?
If Dia Bell hints at transfer or actually transfers then bookmark this thread and show the receipts.
If Dia Bell hints at transfer or actually transfers then bookmark this thread and show the receipts.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:55 am to Bigdawgb
quote:
Your perfect storm would be a Lamar Jackson type guy
Won zero titles.
Lamar Jackson types are the ones you have to avoid at all cost.
He is going to play 1-3 years and be in the NFL by the time he's 21 years old and lose playoff games. He is still losing playoff games in the NFL actually.
Teams that are winning playoff games have experienced qbs with little to no eligibility left.
Uga
Bama
Aggie
OhioSt
Texas
What do these teams all have in common?
Stacked rosters with 5 stars. 1st and 2nd year qbs.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:57 am to captdalton
Burrow and Lawerence are the only qbs who won natties on that list.
All of them couldve if they had been able to transfer and would've played college until they were 23.
All of them couldve if they had been able to transfer and would've played college until they were 23.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:01 am to Gideon Swashbuckler
quote:
1st year qbs don't win titles. Neither do 2nd year guys for the most part.
They will this season, that is all that is left playing - 3 1st year quarterbacks and 1 2nd year quarterback.
quote:
What's really dumb is that BAMA is about to kick Ty to the curb in favor of a qb who will be a 1st year starter
Ty is projected as the 3rd quarterback to be taken in the draft. At worst a high to mid second rounder. He will not be back, but not for the reason you say.
quote:
Ask OhioSt. They had an old throw away qb and won a natty.
Will Howard is on the Pittsburgh Steelers 53 man roster. There are around 100 quarterbacks in the world on active NFL rosters, he is one of them.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:02 am to captdalton
quote:
We have already seen $1 million won’t get you much of a QB.
quote:
Chambliss transferred from Ferris State in 2024
Granted he was not brought in as the starter at the time. We’ve bumped his NIL during the season but getting him for under $500k initially was highway robbery.
Also might point to the benefits of dipping down a division for a d2 or fcs starter to be the backup so your season doesn’t tank if the starting qb goes down.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:05 am to Gideon Swashbuckler
quote:
1st year qbs don't win titles. Neither do 2nd year guys for the most part. The SEC needs to choose. 1- fight over 5 star players and continue to be a feeder for the NFL, and win a very occasional natty, OR 2- recruit the portal instead of high schools. I bet BAMA wishes it had let Ryan Williams walk and spent his $2m on an experienced qb from the portal. And if they don't, get ready for a long era of B1G dominance. What's really dumb is that BAMA is about to kick Ty to the curb in favor of a qb who will be a 1st year starter and Ty will probably go somewhere and throw for 4000 yards. And BAMA fans will blame the coach for not being able to win with a 1st year qb wHo WoN tHe eLiTe 11 ThOuGh. Ask OhioSt. They had an old throw away qb and won a natty. Their 1st year starter who won the elite 11 got beat by two 23 year old qbs on the playoff teams he played.
Agree with this. It’s pretty clear that the majority of your roster being recruiting from the portal is the way of the future. The Hugh Freeze way of largely signing a bunch of overpriced, spoiled, highly ranked high school players that aren’t ready to contribute and haven’t done shite on the field is going to be a thing of the past.
I’m glad Auburn is bringing in a proven guy like Brown from USF to play QB next season instead of rolling the dice on Deuce Knight who may or may not be a good QB.
This post was edited on 1/3/26 at 9:06 am
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:05 am to Gideon Swashbuckler
quote:
Burrow and Lawerence are the only qbs who won natties on that list.
Tua Tavovailoa didn’t win a national title? Jalen Hurts didn’t win a national title? I vividly remember Jalen Hurts being benched in the second half of a national championship game and being replaced by Tua. They both won national championships that night.
It is so weird that an Alabama fan would not remember that. When did you start following Alabama football?
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:05 am to Gideon Swashbuckler
Just grabbing a QB out of the portal is not a silver bullet either. It has to be the right guy.
This post was edited on 1/3/26 at 9:08 am
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:07 am to captdalton
Carson Beck is 23 years old and is in his 6th year and 3rd as a starter.
Fernando Mendoza is 22 and playing his 3rd year as a starter in college.
Trinidad Chambliss is 23 years old and is playing his 4th year as qb in college.
So is Mason Rudolph.
The frick are you talking about?
Fernando Mendoza is 22 and playing his 3rd year as a starter in college.
Trinidad Chambliss is 23 years old and is playing his 4th year as qb in college.
quote:
Will Howard is on the Pittsburgh Steelers 53 man roster. There are around 100 quarterbacks in the world on active NFL rosters, he is one of them.
So is Mason Rudolph.
The frick are you talking about?
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:08 am to captdalton
quote:
Tua Tavovailoa didn’t win a national title? Jalen Hurts didn’t win a national title
Neither won them as starters.
quote:
It is so weird that an Alabama fan would not remember that. When did you start following Alabama football?
This post was edited on 1/3/26 at 9:13 am
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:09 am to captdalton
quote:
Just grabbing a QB out of the portal is not a silver bullet either. It has to be the right guy.
Ole Miss grabbed a 23 year old from Ferris State.
Pretty sure that is the definition of just grabbing a guy out of the portal.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:14 am to Gideon Swashbuckler
quote:
The frick are you talking about?
I think I was clear. That all the quarterbacks left playing are in their 1st or 2nd year at their school. You said 1st and 2nd year players don’t win championships. This year it is inevitable.
My second point was that I do think Ty Simpson will leave Alabama. But not for the reason you imply. And I disagree with you that he will throw for 4,000 yards - that is very rare for a NFL rookie only 5 have ever done it.
My third point was that throw away quarterbacks, as you called last year’s Ohio State starter, don’t end up on NFL rosters.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:14 am to Shunface
quote:
Also might point to the benefits of dipping down a division for a d2 or fcs starter to be the backup so your season doesn’t tank if the starting qb goes down
Couldn't agree more. Would much rather have a 23 year old 4th year starter and pay him $500k rather than an elite 11 winning freshman that I have to pay $3m before he takes a snap in a real game.
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