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Theory - CFP Committee just copies the Simulated BCS rankings
Posted on 12/6/24 at 10:56 am
Posted on 12/6/24 at 10:56 am
It explains why there has only been 1 swap of teams in the last 10 years of the playoffs that hasn't matched the Simulated BCS, including this year (2023 - BCS had FSU in and Texas out, CFPC had Texas in and FSU out).
It also explains why they have no idea how to rationally explain the rankings and just spout random data points week to week. They are copying whatever the BCS says, but they can't say that out loud, so they try to just say buzz words each week and it ends up contradicting itself over and over.
BCSKnowHow - Simulated BCS (twitter)
It also explains why they have no idea how to rationally explain the rankings and just spout random data points week to week. They are copying whatever the BCS says, but they can't say that out loud, so they try to just say buzz words each week and it ends up contradicting itself over and over.
BCSKnowHow - Simulated BCS (twitter)
This post was edited on 12/6/24 at 10:57 am
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Posted on 12/6/24 at 10:57 am to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 12/6/24 at 10:58 am to SummerOfGeorge
Interesting if true. And ironic because I heard some talk from sports commentators so the old BCS calculations should be used as an objective means of selecting playoff teams.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 10:59 am to SummerOfGeorge
I think it's just a simple matter of it being damn near impossible to frick up most years when it was only 4 teams.
I've never once watched a selection show because it's always been obvious who was going.
I've never once watched a selection show because it's always been obvious who was going.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:03 am to SummerOfGeorge
12 teams with a committee is too much drama and bias.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:04 am to 3down10
quote:
I've never once watched a selection show because it's always been obvious who was going.
What about last year, with the FSU/Texas/Alabama debate?
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:05 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Theory - CFP Committee just copies the Simulated BCS rankings
100% agree.. with one small tweak
They use the BCS to get the teams into buckets/groups.. and then they tweak the teams within that group..
ie this week
1-4 same teams, same seeds
5-6 same teams, different order
7-12 same teams, same seeds
Last week was the same method, just a little bit different.
1-5 same teams, same seeds
6-7 same teams, different order
8-10 same teams, different order
11-13 same teams, same seeds
eta: They also use this to adjust for H2H wins.. ie. Alabama, Ole Miss, South Carolina.. but only if teams are in the same bucket..
last year, my guess is
1-2 kept the same
3-5 same teams, different order based on H2H between Bama and Texas
This post was edited on 12/6/24 at 11:08 am
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:05 am to momentoftruth87
quote:
12 teams with a committee is too much drama and bias.
Nonetheless I prefer it over 4 teams. There was plenty of teeth-gnashing last season too with Georgia and FSU being left out.
This is an improvement. (Not so) Baby steps first.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:07 am to gaius julius bevo
Everyone knew FSU would get wrecked without their qb.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:07 am to FootballFrenzy
quote:
What about last year, with the FSU/Texas/Alabama debate?
FSU didn't belong even with their starting QB if people are being honest.
They weren't even a top10 team in power metrics.
This post was edited on 12/6/24 at 11:09 am
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:08 am to 3down10
quote:. I do not remember this much dispute in the four-team era. The Big 12 thinks it is on an even footing with the P2, which may quicken the breakaway.
I think it's just a simple matter of it being damn near impossible to frick up most years when it was only 4 teams.
I've never once watched a selection show because it's always been obvious who was going to
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:10 am to BigBro
quote:
They use the BCS to get the teams into buckets/groups.. and then they tweak the teams within that group..
Agree - good point. Think you are very right about that.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:11 am to 3down10
I agree, but they did everything right, theoretically: creamed LSU, won out.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:11 am to 3down10
quote:Dude, you are such a little bitch.
I've never once watched a selection show because it's always been obvious who was going.
Today you sit here with conceit like you know what’s going to happen.
When just y’day you were asserting the exact opposite:
“It's hard to know what path anyone will have because the teams may remain mostly the same, but the rankings will likely shuffle after this weekend.”
…before you cowardly backed out of a bet and threat-bombed a thread before logging off tRant
Y’day you were a coward.
Today you’re a coward a bitch.
This post was edited on 12/6/24 at 11:12 am
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:12 am to BuckI
quote:
I do not remember this much dispute in the four-team era. The Big 12 thinks it is on an even footing with the P2, which may quicken the breakaway.
The CFB playoff rankings being released for weeks before the end of the regular season gives fans and media plenty to debate about. I think this is an intentional feature of it and do not take it seriously at all. Only the final rankings matter just like in previous years with only 4 participants and they are still subjectively based like before.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:13 am to Demosthenian
Now it's getting thick...
This post was edited on 12/6/24 at 11:17 am
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:13 am to gaius julius bevo
quote:
The CFB playoff rankings being released for weeks before the end of the regular season gives fans and media plenty to debate about. I think this is an intentional feature of it and do not take it seriously at all. Only the final rankings matter just like in previous years with only 4 participants and they are still subjectively based like before.
100% correct. Frankly, if they are going to do it that way, they should not have the committee chair talk on any of them except the last one.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:14 am to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:16 am to Demosthenian
quote:
Dude, you are such a little bitch.
Today you sit here with the conceit like you know what’s going to happen.
When just y’day you were asserting the exact opposite:
“It's hard to know what path anyone will have because the teams may remain mostly the same, but the rankings will likely shuffle after this weekend.”
…before you cowardly backed out of a bet and threat-bombed a thread before logging off tRant
Y’day you were a coward.
Today you’re a coward a bitch.
All the games haven't been played yet dumbass. Unless you know the results of this weekends game, you do not know what order the final rankings will be. Thus you will not know what the matchups will be until after this weekends games.
PS: Everyone knows you upvote your own posts.
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:20 am to 3down10
We stand on our records. Yours isn’t much.
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