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The two statistics that truly matter are points scored and points allowed.

Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:41 pm
Posted by tivey6301
Member since Jul 2011
2001 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:41 pm
To date (all games played so far this season), Bama and Auburn have the following averages.
Bama Scored – 38.8 Allowed – 10.2
Auburn Scored – 39 Allowed – 22

Against common opponents (LSU, Miss St, Ole Miss, A&M, Arky, Tenn).
Bama Scored – 38.1 Allowed – 12.7
Auburn Scored – 35 Allowed - 26.3

Against the same opponents, bama has allowed an average of 13.6 points less than Auburn (52% less) while scoring 3.1 points more (9%).

Posted by NYCAuburn
TD Platinum Membership/SECr Sheriff
Member since Feb 2011
57002 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:42 pm to
loser fan of a loser program
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46530 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Against common opponents (LSU, Miss St, Ole Miss, A&M, Arky, Tenn).
Bama Scored – 38.1 Allowed – 12.7
Auburn Scored – 35 Allowed - 26.3


Really, this is all that matters.

Points scored and points given up against teams that each other haven't played is moot.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86428 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

The two statistics that truly matter are


wins and losses
Posted by LittleRockHog501
Member since Nov 2011
2480 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:43 pm to
Someone sounds scared.
Posted by Beer Bryant
In a Hidden Bunker
Member since Jan 2012
8792 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:43 pm to
Gotta include fluke play points for barners.
Posted by Stingray
Shreveport
Member since Sep 2007
12420 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

The two statistics that truly matter are points scored and points allowed, during the game in question.
Posted by PrivatePublic
Member since Nov 2012
17848 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:44 pm to
Funny. Auburn could win 3-2 and it would barely change those numbers at all. Would they still be the only statistics that matter?
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79028 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:44 pm to
Sure are a lot of unsolicited arguments by bama fans regarding why they should win the game popping up all over the place.

You guys trying to convince us or yourselves?
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24815 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:52 pm to
I like looking at scoring offense and scoring defense against common opponents. I think it is one of the better predictors when there is enough of a sample size.

Other statistics besides scoring offense / defense do also have value as an assessment of strength and predictive value as well.

Alabama certainly looks like the better team by most statistical measurements. One thing stats don't necessarily account for are matchups. Some teams that look worse against other competition can have matchup advantages that can even the playing field somewhat. Not sure if there are particular matchup problems that Auburn creates for Alabama this year, but we'll see. Malzahn is a good coach at creating favorable matchups.
This post was edited on 11/21/13 at 2:55 pm
Posted by nc14
La Jolla
Member since Jan 2012
28193 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:53 pm to
Bull. It's all about the W.
Posted by tivey6301
Member since Jul 2011
2001 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:54 pm to
"You guys trying to convince us or yourselves?"

Not trying to convince anyone of anything. Just stating facts. Anything could happen. Who knows, Bama might not come out of the tunnel.. I might wake up in the morning and have a 46" vertical leap too...
Posted by Wallacewade04
Valhalla
Member since Dec 2011
2780 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:54 pm to
we're the favored team for a reason
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24815 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Sure are a lot of unsolicited arguments by bama fans regarding why they should win the game popping up all over the place.

You guys trying to convince us or yourselves?


Or possibly just discussing a big game. Used to be what sports forum were about, but that seems to be changing.
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
105362 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

Stat worshipping is for loser fans of loser programs

IAmReality- Bama Fan
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54132 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 2:59 pm to
Sounds like your scared, buddy.
This post was edited on 11/21/13 at 2:59 pm
Posted by nc14
La Jolla
Member since Jan 2012
28193 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 3:00 pm to
Hey now, that's my scared not his.
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79028 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

Or possibly just discussing a big game. Used to be what sports forum were about, but that seems to be changing.


There is no discussion going on. It's thesis after thesis about why Bama can't lose. Typically, the thorough analysis is reserved for tight matchups, not the blowout being predicted in everyone of these threads.
Posted by beHop
Landmass
Member since Jan 2012
14535 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

Points scored and points given up against teams that each other haven't played is moot.



You listening MIZZ fans??


Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24815 posts
Posted on 11/21/13 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

There is no discussion going on.


Sure there is. At least some people have tried, but it usually gets derailed by other people going with the "you scared"" "you're obsessed" cliches. Everyone has to determine for themselves which kind of poster they will be.

quote:

It's thesis after thesis about why Bama can't lose.


Nope, not even a prediction about the outcome of the game in the OP. Merely an observation about stats and stats against common opponents.

quote:

Typically, the thorough analysis is reserved for tight matchups, not the blowout being predicted in everyone of these threads.


Again, not even a prediction in the OP. I actually think the matchup will be tight and would like to discuss it. It's kind of a big game. I may just be scared our Aubsessed or something though.

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