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SP+ and Sagarin Week 3 Saturday Predictions

Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:15 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:15 am
Arkansas State @ Georgia (-33)
SP+ : Georgia 49 - Ark St 19
Sagarin : Georgia by 6 (pretty clearly an error on this one)


Chattanooga @ Tennessee (N/A)
SP+ : Tennessee 40 - Mocs 11
Sagarin : Tennessee by 25


Kansas State @ Mississippi State (-7.5)
SP+ : MSU 44 - KSU 31
Sagarin : Kansas State by 2


Alabama (-25.5) @ South Carolina
SP+ : Alabama 43 - South Carolina 21
Sagarin : Alabama by 21


Colorado State @ Arkansas (-9.5)
SP+ : Arkansas 37 - Colorado State 24
Sagarin : Arkansas by 12


Southeastern LA @ Ole Miss (N/A)
SP+ : Ole Miss 41 - SELA 4
Sagarin : Ole Miss by 47


Florida (-8) @ Kentucky
SP+ : Florida 39 - Kentucky 28
Sagarin : Florida by 5


Kent State @ Auburn (-35)
SP+ : Auburn 46 - Kent St 6
Sagarin : Auburn by 34


Lamar @ Texas A&M (N/A)
SP+ : Texas A&M 53 - Lamar 3
Sagarin : Texas A&M by 52


SEMSU @ Missouri (N/A)
SP+ : Missouri 53 - SEMSU 14
Sagarin : Missouri by 31


Northwestern St @ LSU (N/A)
SP+ : LSU 69 (nice) - NWSU 1 (impressive)
Sagarin : LSU by 62

This post was edited on 9/13/19 at 8:19 am
Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
42557 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:16 am to
Riviting schedule this weekend.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73466 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:17 am to
quote:

NWSU 1


Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59598 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:29 am to
I'm gonna watch Florida kentucky. And bama south carolina
Posted by sand mountainDvalues
Member since Oct 2018
8718 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:33 am to
Might be the single worst week OAT. Not a single game that gets the blood flowin
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
94870 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:34 am to
quote:

NWSU 1



NWSU is going to be the first team ever to get a 1 point safety. LSU will bring in their back up kicker, which will end up in a blocked PAT where NWSU scoops it up and runs it back for an almost 2 point TD before fumbling at LSUs 2 yard line. LSUs kicker will then pick it up and scramble backwards into his own endzone and then get tackled for a 1 point safety.


Voila Batman, you have your answer
This post was edited on 9/13/19 at 8:35 am
Posted by dukee7
Louisiana
Member since May 2019
2270 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:34 am to
Arkansas at 37? Their offense is putrid
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
94870 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:35 am to
quote:

Arkansas at 37? Their offense is putrid

No shite. And they are 9 point favorites. Just how awful has Colorado St become?
Posted by MenloDawg
Member since Jan 2010
6719 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:58 am to
I’m not certain our Sagarin number is a mistake. I think he ranks us in the mid 40s.
Posted by CBandits82
Lurker since May 2008
Member since May 2012
54026 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 8:58 am to
quote:

SP+ : LSU 69 (nice) - NWSU 1 (impressive)


Posted by Gatorbait2008
Member since Aug 2015
22953 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:08 am to
That line is confusing as shite...unless they think Nick is about to make magic happen over there.

I took Colorado State and the points but I feel like Arkansas may just suddenly turn it on and Vegas somehow knows this
Posted by mizslu314
Dirty STL
Member since Sep 2013
15960 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:10 am to
quote:

SEMSU @ Missouri (N/A)
SP+ : Missouri 53 - SEMSU 14
Sagarin : Missouri by 31



considering how early we turned to our bench in the WVU game, not sure we go over 44.
Posted by playmakers in space
Member since Sep 2018
1247 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:20 am to
Sagarin has UGA ranked 47th or something.

It's bizarre.
Posted by beaverfever
Little Rock
Member since Jan 2008
32643 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:23 am to
quote:

No shite. And they are 9 point favorites. Just how awful has Colorado St become?
If we don’t score 35+ this week then things are even worse than I’ve been thinking. Early in the season on the road last year we moved the ball consistently against CSU. We didn’t move the ball consistently against anyone else. In both games this year the offense has looked radically different when Starkel has come in. Unfortunately we decided to wait until the second half of the second game to let the decidedly better qb take over. I think this will effectively be week 2 for the hogs as a result. Should see improvement in execution. Chad will be desperate to show some flash on offense and I think CSU presents the opportunity. I actually think the hogs cover this week. If we don’t then we’re in deep shite.
Posted by Woopigsooie20
Me Scusi
Member since Mar 2010
57350 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:25 am to
With Hicks yeah, not with Starkel
Posted by beaverfever
Little Rock
Member since Jan 2008
32643 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:27 am to
I’m not saying Starkel is the difference in Arkansas lighting up SEC defenses but I absolutely think he’s the difference in Arkansas lighting up shitty G5 defenses.
Posted by BulldogDX
Member since Mar 2011
902 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:30 am to
Sagarin's ratings are like RPI- truly shite early in the season.
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
7901 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:32 am to
quote:

LSU 69 (nice)


Posted by AU4real35
Member since Jan 2014
16065 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:40 am to
Most SEC teams have such a watered down schedule the first 5 weeks, just ridiculous.
Posted by beaverfever
Little Rock
Member since Jan 2008
32643 posts
Posted on 9/13/19 at 9:45 am to
Sagarin’s rankings are irrelevant in the post-BCS era. The SP+ ratings are where it’s at. You just have to keep in mind it has nothing to do with how good of a season a team has had and is purely predictive of how good a team actually is. So if you’re 10-3 Kentucky in 2018 you don’t want to get too worked up about the fact that you’re 30th.
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