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So, why was Oregon favored by 9.5 tonight?
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:12 am
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:12 am
I get it. Lines are wrong all the time.
What I don’t get is why conventional and betting wisdom was so convinced that this game would be dramatically different than the first one.
Sure, venue helps, but expecting that to swing things by 12+ points from the regular season result?
I just don’t get why so much money went the way of the Ducks.
What I don’t get is why conventional and betting wisdom was so convinced that this game would be dramatically different than the first one.
Sure, venue helps, but expecting that to swing things by 12+ points from the regular season result?
I just don’t get why so much money went the way of the Ducks.
9
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:15 am to Ag Zwin
The sharps got it wrong. They boned it. I haven't seen the money on each side yet but, sometimes they miss.
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:16 am to Ag Zwin
quote:
I just don’t get why so much money went the way of the Ducks
Nope. I got nothing…
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:17 am to Ag Zwin
Washington has been scraping by - pretty much all year, but especially over the last few weeks, while Oregon has been blowing teams out.
That’s my only guess.
That’s my only guess.
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:18 am to Ag Zwin
quote:
just don’t get why so much money went the way of the Ducks
They all listened to the playoff committee...
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:18 am to Ag Zwin
Oregon lost the first one by 3 in a true road game against a team with a meaningful home field advantage, and did so while making very dubious decisions in the red zone that cost them 6 points.
In the month and a half that followed, Oregon was demolishing an admittedly pretty mid schedule, while Washington struggle bussed its way through an equally mid schedule.
Washington balling out and beating Oregon a second time isn’t a wild and crazy upset, but the trajectory of both teams sure didn’t look like it was setting up for Washington to square up and outplay Oregon. At least IMO
That all said, they did it
In the month and a half that followed, Oregon was demolishing an admittedly pretty mid schedule, while Washington struggle bussed its way through an equally mid schedule.
Washington balling out and beating Oregon a second time isn’t a wild and crazy upset, but the trajectory of both teams sure didn’t look like it was setting up for Washington to square up and outplay Oregon. At least IMO
That all said, they did it
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:18 am to Ag Zwin
Line was 9.5 but what were the odds?
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:20 am to roguetiger15
Oregon -362, Washington +281.
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:20 am to Ag Zwin
Yeah there was zero value on taking Oregon in this game and laying the points. It should've been Washington or nothing. No way you should've had a 12 point differential in the point spread from the same game 6 weeks ago.
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:23 am to Ag Zwin
quote:
So, why was Oregon favored by 9.5 tonight?
Because more people were betting on Oregon that Washington. Don't overthink it. Where did the line open?
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:24 am to Eldodroptop
That were they moneyline odds. What were the line to cover?
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:25 am to Ag Zwin
The teasers for this game weren’t even an option. It was Oregon -1/2.
Washington +280 was a steal.
Washington +280 was a steal.
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:39 am to tigerinthebayou
Everybody and their mom took Washington spread tonight.
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:39 am to EarlyCuyler3
It opened the same
Posted on 12/2/23 at 12:41 am to EarlyCuyler3
I don’t know why I’m such a nice guy but here you go.
Opened at +7.5 went to +9.5
+237 -> +300
Pretty big shift actually (I didn’t think it had moved) but obviously the opening line was way off too
Opened at +7.5 went to +9.5
+237 -> +300
Pretty big shift actually (I didn’t think it had moved) but obviously the opening line was way off too
Posted on 12/2/23 at 1:13 am to justaniceguy
Wtf happened?
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