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SEC Title w/ 4 Weekends Left
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:28 am
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:28 am
1. Kentucky 15-3
Remaining Schedule:
-@ South Carolina 9-9
-Arkansas 14-4
-@ Florida 8-10
-Vanderbilt 10-8
TOTAL: 41-31
2. Arkansas 14-4 (-1)
Remaining Schedule
-Florida 8-10
-@ Kentucky 15-3
-Mississippi St 10-8
-@ Texas A&M 13-5
TOTAL: 46-26
3. Texas A&M 13-5 (-2)
Remaining Schedule:
-Georgia 9-9
-@ Lsu 5-13
-@Ole Miss 6-12
-Arkansas 14-4
TOTAL: 34-38
4. Tennessee 12-6 (-3)
Remaining Schedule:
-Missouri 6-12
-@ Florida 8-10
-@ Vanderbilt 10-8
-South Carolina 9-9
TOTAL: 33-39
Remaining Schedule:
-@ South Carolina 9-9
-Arkansas 14-4
-@ Florida 8-10
-Vanderbilt 10-8
TOTAL: 41-31
2. Arkansas 14-4 (-1)
Remaining Schedule
-Florida 8-10
-@ Kentucky 15-3
-Mississippi St 10-8
-@ Texas A&M 13-5
TOTAL: 46-26
3. Texas A&M 13-5 (-2)
Remaining Schedule:
-Georgia 9-9
-@ Lsu 5-13
-@Ole Miss 6-12
-Arkansas 14-4
TOTAL: 34-38
4. Tennessee 12-6 (-3)
Remaining Schedule:
-Missouri 6-12
-@ Florida 8-10
-@ Vanderbilt 10-8
-South Carolina 9-9
TOTAL: 33-39
7
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:30 am to Farmer1906
A&M and UT's schedule are much more manageable.
Arkansas controls its destiny with series against both UK & A&M. If they step up the title is theirs.
Even with the series win vs UK, UT is still back 3 games with 12 to go & 3 teams to leapfrog.
Arkansas controls its destiny with series against both UK & A&M. If they step up the title is theirs.
Even with the series win vs UK, UT is still back 3 games with 12 to go & 3 teams to leapfrog.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:31 am to Farmer1906
Obviously the UK-Arkansas series is huge in two weeks. Three of Arkansas' final four series are against the 6 SEC teams with double digit conference wins. That's a brutal finish but Arkansas is really good.
Tennessee has a very favorable schedule to finish, but three games back might be too much.
A&M has a decent shot of playing their way into a home series for the SEC title with Arkansas if Kentucky slips up.
Tennessee has a very favorable schedule to finish, but three games back might be too much.
A&M has a decent shot of playing their way into a home series for the SEC title with Arkansas if Kentucky slips up.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 9:32 am
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:31 am to Farmer1906
quote:
4. Tennessee 12-6 (-3)
Remaining Schedule:
-Missouri 6-12
-@ Florida 8-10
-@ Vanderbilt 10-8
-South Carolina 9-9
TOTAL: 33-39
BaseVOLS taking a page from their gridiron brethren and closing the regular season with cupcakes. A real Rocky Top tradition.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:31 am to Farmer1906
Tennessee is looking at four series wins and possibly four sweeps. Kentucky still looks like the clubhouse favorite though. Their schedule down the stretch is extremely favorable. Arkansas has an outside shot but would have to take down both Kentucky and A&M on the road
A&M has no shot, especially with their Sunday pitching issues. Very few sweeps left on the schedule
A&M has no shot, especially with their Sunday pitching issues. Very few sweeps left on the schedule
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 9:51 am
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:35 am to Farmer1906
SEC Baseball Tournament Tiebreakers
The two division champions shall be automatically seeded number one and number two based on winning percentage in conference competition. The rest shall be seeded numbers three through 12 based on winning percentage without regard to division.
Ties will be broken in the following manner:
1. Two-Team Tie. The following procedure will be used in the following order until the tie is broken:
A. Won-lost results of head-to-head competition between the two tied teams.
B. If two-teams are divisional opponents:
(1) Won-lost percentage within their division (over the 18-game SEC division schedule).
(2) Won-lost percentage of the two teams versus the No. 1 team in their division (and proceeding through the No. 7 team, if necessary).
C. If two teams are not divisional opponents:
(1) Won-lost record of the two teams versus the No. 1 seed using common opponents only (and proceeding through the No. 12 seed, if necessary).
(2) Coin flip by the Commissioner
2. Three-Team Tie (or more). The following procedure will be used in the following order until the tie is broken: (Note: If the three tied teams have three different records against each other, they shall be seeded in best-percentage order.) Otherwise, once the tie has been reduced to two teams, the two-team tiebreaker procedure will be used.
A. If all three teams are common opponents: Total won-lost percentage of games played among the tied teams.
B. Won-lost percentage of the tied teams versus the No. 1 seed and proceeding through the No. 12 seed, if necessary, using common opponents only.
C. If three or more teams still are tied, the Commissioner will conduct a draw.
The two division champions shall be automatically seeded number one and number two based on winning percentage in conference competition. The rest shall be seeded numbers three through 12 based on winning percentage without regard to division.
Ties will be broken in the following manner:
1. Two-Team Tie. The following procedure will be used in the following order until the tie is broken:
A. Won-lost results of head-to-head competition between the two tied teams.
B. If two-teams are divisional opponents:
(1) Won-lost percentage within their division (over the 18-game SEC division schedule).
(2) Won-lost percentage of the two teams versus the No. 1 team in their division (and proceeding through the No. 7 team, if necessary).
C. If two teams are not divisional opponents:
(1) Won-lost record of the two teams versus the No. 1 seed using common opponents only (and proceeding through the No. 12 seed, if necessary).
(2) Coin flip by the Commissioner
2. Three-Team Tie (or more). The following procedure will be used in the following order until the tie is broken: (Note: If the three tied teams have three different records against each other, they shall be seeded in best-percentage order.) Otherwise, once the tie has been reduced to two teams, the two-team tiebreaker procedure will be used.
A. If all three teams are common opponents: Total won-lost percentage of games played among the tied teams.
B. Won-lost percentage of the tied teams versus the No. 1 seed and proceeding through the No. 12 seed, if necessary, using common opponents only.
C. If three or more teams still are tied, the Commissioner will conduct a draw.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:36 am to Farmer1906
quote:
Arkansas controls its destiny with series against both UK & A&M. If they step up the title is theirs.
Just hoping we can go 3-3 in those UK/A&M series. Those are going to be some tough series. And as of right now, I just don't see our offense being able to keep up to win the regular season championship.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:37 am to bigDgator
If there is a tie for #1 any team that is tied is considered co-champion. Tie breakers are only for tournament seeding.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 9:38 am
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:37 am to bigDgator
quote:
If there is a tie for #1 any team that is tied is considered co-champion.
Which is how it should be since schedules aren't the same.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:38 am to ColoradoAg
Vanderbilt is 23-4 in Nashville this year, there is no way Tennessee sweeps them there.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:38 am to bigDgator
I would say a tie is considered extremely likely at this point.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:40 am to ColoradoAg
quote:
I would say a tie is considered extremely likely at this point.
I wouldn’t be surprised if it did either. Hopefully Cats can finish well and stay in it.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:41 am to Farmer1906
quote:
Which is how it should be since schedules aren't the same.
Well the first tie breaker would alleviate that, no?
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:42 am to ColoradoAg
quote:
A&M has no shot,, especially with their Sunday pitching issues. Very few sweeps left on the schedule
You gotta give it a rest already.
Have you looked around the conference and seen who starts on Sundays?
Georgia - bullpen day
Ole Miss - Gunnar Dennis 7.32 ERA
Lsu - Nate Ackenhausen 6.14 ERA
Arkasnas - Brady Tygart 2.64 ERA
We all know Arkansas is the exception to the rule when it comes to pitching this year.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:43 am to Mars United
Vanderbilt doesn't have the hitting to keep up with Tennessee, but might be able to pull out a win at home. I highly expect that Kentucky and Tennessee tie for SEC Crown. Both are more complete teams than both A&M and Arkansas at this point. That will all be seen in a couple of weeks.
Now, several things could happen. Arkansas might find their hitting stroke, and A&M might find a decent Sunday rotation. Still, time is running out and most of these teams will probably be tinkering with the lineups in preparation for regional play.
Now, several things could happen. Arkansas might find their hitting stroke, and A&M might find a decent Sunday rotation. Still, time is running out and most of these teams will probably be tinkering with the lineups in preparation for regional play.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:43 am to Farmer1906
quote:
Arkansas controls its destiny with series against both UK & A&M. If they step up the title is theirs
Step up? Arkansas is 14-4 through 18 SEC games. Not sure how much more "stepping up" a team could do.
In 2023 Arkansas finished the season with #6 South Carolina and @ #12 Vanderbilt and won the SEC title.
In 2021 Arkansas finished the season @ #4 Tennessee and with #9 Florida and won the SEC title.
Seems this is a position the program is used to being in lately.
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:44 am to Mars United
Like we swept them in 2022?
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:46 am to bigDgator
quote:
Well the first tie breaker would alleviate that, no?
Hypothetical
Arkansas & A&M play the west and then get the following East schools (2024 teams).
Arkansas - Mizzou, Florida, South Carolina, Georgia
A&M - Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Georgia
They finished with the same record and Arky won H2H. Who do you think the more deserving team is?
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:47 am to Farmer1906
Farmer - sweeps require a good Sunday starter. A&M is streaky - they have a chance to sweep both Ole Miss and LSU but both are on the road. How sweet would it be to sweep LSU in their own stadium and end their chance at post-season play? However, it isn't likely.
A&M has had a chance to sweep several teams on the road and just couldn't get it done. They could win all four series, but odds favor each of those being 2-1 wins. I'm expecting A&M to finish with around nine or ten losses. Unless this team implodes down the stretch they will get a T8 seed, which is the goal
A&M has had a chance to sweep several teams on the road and just couldn't get it done. They could win all four series, but odds favor each of those being 2-1 wins. I'm expecting A&M to finish with around nine or ten losses. Unless this team implodes down the stretch they will get a T8 seed, which is the goal
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 9:52 am
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:56 am to Serraneaux
Is this 2022?
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