re: SEC Sunday Baseball

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Wasn’t Ole Miss’s season after they won the championship pretty bad?

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Yes, so was the season they won the title. They were #1 starting SEC play then were the last team in the NCAAT.

A&M 1-8 and still have these series left..

@ 8-1 Tennessee
@ 8-1 Arkansas
@ 8-1 Texas
@ 8-1 Georgia
vs 7-2 LSU

So I came up with a rankings system.. not sure if I like it or not.. thoughts? changes?

Each team starts with a baseline.
2-1 in all home series
1-2 in all road series
and then each team gets graded on the results as wins over expectation

During a home series:
0-3 = -2
1-2 = -1
2-1 = 0 (expectation)
3-0 = 1

During a road series:
0-3 = -1
1-2 = 0 (expectation)
2-1 = +1
3-0 = +2

Rankings
+4 Arkansas (8-1) sb (4-5)
+4 Tennessee (8-1) sb (4-5)
+4 Texas (8-1) sb (4-5)
+3 Georgia (8-1) sb (5-4)
+2 LSU (7-2) sb (5-4)
+1 Alabama (6-3) sb (5-4)
+1 Ole Miss (6-3) sb (5-4)
+1 Oklahoma (5-4) sb (4-5)
0 Auburn (4-5) sb (4-5)
0 Kentucky (4-5) sb (4-5)
-1 Vanderbilt (4-5) sb (5-4)
-3 Florida (1-8) sb (4-5)
-3 Miss State (1-8) sb (4-5)
-4 So Carolina (1-8) sb (5-4)
-4 Texas A&M (1-8) sb (5-4)
-5 Missouri (0-9) sb (5-4)

So as an example, Tennessee has played 2 road series and 1 home series, so they have 3 road series left (1-2) and 4 home series left (2-1)

8-1 + 3-6 + 8-4 = 19-11 (+4 wins over 15)

Clearly we all expect them to finish better than that.. but if they just hold serve, they’ll get to 19 wins.

It’s basically a rankings of what you need to make the playoffs because 15-15 and you are definitely in.. and so your goal is anything 0 or better. If you think 13-17 gets you in, then you are aiming for a goal of -2 or better.

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Easy to do - honest mistake.

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They do play Missouri last after all those teams and I just posted too fast..

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He thought he was being cute by editing the post. I had a very clear caveat that the game wasn’t over in my original post, and that we could choke.

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No, despite your little caveat, you were counting it as a series win. That is arrogant and stupid. The baseball gods hate arrogant and stupid. If any team’s fans should refrain from chest beating it is Alabama.

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No, despite your little caveat, you were counting it as a series win. That is arrogant and stupid.

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You do know what caveat means and how it would apply in this situation, right? You can’t have a caveat and be “arrogantly and stupidly” counting it as a series win.

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The baseball gods

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To quote Captain America, “There’s only one God ma’am, and I’m pretty sure he doesn’t…” care about baseball.

The “baseball gods” aren’t real and if they were, they’d understand what a caveat means.

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So I came up with a rankings system.

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Tend to agree that the expectation is, you win all home series (if you are competing for the league crown), so at first blush I think this is a pretty good system as every team in the SEC is decent (ex mizzou).

You could complicate it by throwing team records, but that would change by where you are in the season.

Ok, I like it, nice contribution - and it very accurately shows the top SEC teams (currently).

And very happy my hawgs swept Vandy at Vandy today. First time Vandy gave up a home sweep since #1 Tennessee did it in April 2022.

LSU swept Vandy @ Vandy in 2022 also

The Schloss impact to both Texas and A&M was underestimated. To me that is the big story.

I never expected Texas to contend at this level in Schloss' first season. Now again, we still have lots of ball to play, so things could level out. But I'm impressed either way at this point.

And nobody expected A&M to go into immediate and complete free-fall, with wheels and cart imploding in mid-air after already driving off a cliff.