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SEC NCAA Tournament Projections - Torvik (using specific splits)
Posted on 3/17/22 at 8:45 am
Posted on 3/17/22 at 8:45 am
Only using stats from games vs Top 150 opponents on the road/neutral
- #4 Arkansas by 3.7 over #13 Vermont (67-63)
- #2 Kentucky by 18.8 over #15 Saint Peter's (82-63)
- #3 Tennessee by 21.7 over #14 Longwood (83-61)
- #6 Alabama by 3.4 over #11 Notre Dame (83-80)
- #6 LSU by 0.8 over #11 Iowa State (65-64)
- #2 Auburn by 4.1 over #15 Jacksonville State (68-64)
- #4 Arkansas by 3.7 over #13 Vermont (67-63)
- #2 Kentucky by 18.8 over #15 Saint Peter's (82-63)
- #3 Tennessee by 21.7 over #14 Longwood (83-61)
- #6 Alabama by 3.4 over #11 Notre Dame (83-80)
- #6 LSU by 0.8 over #11 Iowa State (65-64)
- #2 Auburn by 4.1 over #15 Jacksonville State (68-64)
This post was edited on 3/17/22 at 8:52 am
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Posted on 3/17/22 at 8:47 am to SummerOfGeorge
Wow did not expect the LSU game to come out that close
Posted on 3/17/22 at 8:54 am to SummerOfGeorge
Others
- #4 Providence by 0.6 over #13 South Dakota St (77-76)
- #12 Indiana by 2.0 over #5 Saint Mary's (61-59)
- #11 Michigan by 1.6 over #6 Colorado State (70-68)
- #4 UCLA by 5.8 over #13 Akron (69-63)
- #11 Virginia Tech by 1.3 over #6 Texas (65-63)
- #5 Houston by 6.3 over #12 UAB (72-65)
- #4 Providence by 0.6 over #13 South Dakota St (77-76)
- #12 Indiana by 2.0 over #5 Saint Mary's (61-59)
- #11 Michigan by 1.6 over #6 Colorado State (70-68)
- #4 UCLA by 5.8 over #13 Akron (69-63)
- #11 Virginia Tech by 1.3 over #6 Texas (65-63)
- #5 Houston by 6.3 over #12 UAB (72-65)
This post was edited on 3/17/22 at 8:55 am
Posted on 3/17/22 at 8:56 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Longwood
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:01 am to SummerOfGeorge
Kentucky too high
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:16 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
vs Top 150 opponents
Jax St is the 150 (146 on KenPom)
Yale is 147 -- AU 86 Yale 64 (And Yale's Adj O and D numbers are multiples better than Jax)
Neb is 138 -- AU 99 Neb 68 (N site) (Neb's numbers are again much much better than Jax)
AU wins big and gets the shooting mojo back. Profit
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:29 am to AU6X
quote:
Jax St is the 150 (146 on KenPom)
Yale is 147 -- AU 86 Yale 64 (And Yale's Adj O and D numbers are multiples better than Jax)
Neb is 138 -- AU 99 Neb 68 (N site) (Neb's numbers are again much much better than Jax)
Yea, those games happened the same 2 days Alabama beat Gonzaga (12/4) and Houston (12/11).
It was a long time ago
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:36 am to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:37 am to diddlydawg7
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:37 am to diddlydawg7
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:38 am to WG_Dawg
diddly what the hell were you searching for
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:39 am to SummerOfGeorge
If this is AU playing Miami (KenPom 68), I think the analysis holds. Not so much at the fringes.
This post was edited on 3/17/22 at 9:40 am
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:39 am to WG_Dawg
Most people don’t realize George had such a dark past!
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:39 am to diddlydawg7
quote:
Most people don’t realize George had such a dark past!
Decatur is a helluva drug!
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:40 am to WG_Dawg
quote:
diddly what the hell were you searching for
answers
Posted on 3/17/22 at 9:42 am to AU6X
quote:
If this is AU playing Miami (KenPom 68), I think the analysis holds. Not so much at the fringes.
Agree - it's hard to do with low-majors because they just don't have a very big sample size once you start filtering down.
Vermont has played a grand total of 3 games vs Top 100 teams - all of them over 3 months ago. It's just nearly impossible to figure out how much of what they've done more recently against bad small majors with few athletes translates against a solid, athletic team like Arkansas.
This post was edited on 3/17/22 at 9:45 am
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