re: SEC Baseball Standings/Resumes as of May 4th

32 games against Q1 and Q2. Damn.

Oh wait right thread

Lot of umps about to get exposed.

Mind you I don’t necessarily mind different umps having different zones as long as it’s applied evenly. OU last week was an example of uneven application. A&M game two the low strike was given but it was at least applied evenly throughout the game.

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As of now, I'd project:

National Seeds
- UGA
- Texas
- Auburn

Hosts
- Texas A&M
- Miss State

2 Seeds
- Alabama
- Arkansas
- Florida
- Ole Miss
- Oklahoma

3 Seeds/Bubble
- Tennessee
- Kentucky

Tennessee is likely going to need to a win a game or two in Hoover to try to reach the magic 15 win number in SEC play. Kentucky has a better shot at hitting it before Hoover but may also need to help themselves late

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If the ags win the next 2 series they deserve a national seed. They are right on the cusp as it is.

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everything is right here in front of them to have a shot at the tournament.

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Retaining the ABS challenge if correct is going to result in some 5 hour tournament games.

The ABS challenge takes a total of 15-20 seconds from receipt of the to-be-challenged pitch to the next AB. Sure, SEC umpires are terrible, but it will not significantly delay the game beyond the other severely delayed aspects of a college baseball game. It’ll also provide for a more fairly officiated game. I’m not sure why there’s so much push back here other than old man yelling at the clouds.

I remember when people were all pissed off about replay system being implemented in college football some 2 decades age. It was mostly the old hats that were upset for the same reasons.

Sure sports are inherently flawed but this is a fairly decent means to reducing the number of flaws. It’ll also air out how shitty the the balls and strikes calls are on a game by game basis and reduce a single individual’s fingerprint on the outcome of a game.

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If the ags win the next 2 series they deserve a national seed. They are right on the cusp as it is.

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With Sdao regressing a bit…. that’s looking like a really tall order right now. Hopefully he shakes it off and gets back to better form in order for this to be possible.

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A&M is out of NS contention. If they lose the next two series as predicted, they may not even host … no Friday pitching is a major Achilles heel.

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This idea isn’t original to me — the baseball guys on the Southeastern Sixteen podcast theorize the averaging out the RPI, DSR, and KPI is probably a sound predictor for hosting seeding decisions for the committee. If that’s close to accurate:

Natl seeds:

UTx - 3.67
AU - 4.3
aTm - 7.0
UAT - 7.67

Hosting:

MSU - 9.67
UF - 10
UGA - 11

2 seeds:

Arky - 22.7
OM - 23
UTn - 26.3
UK - 30

Bubble:

LSU - 45
Vandy - 55.7

Of course, it will not be this formulaic. Overall records, conf records, quad W/L analysis will also get consideration. But the metrics somewhat even out that which is inherently uneven. And while we have 2 weeks to go, some of these metrics are probably becoming close to set in concrete.

Discuss amongst yourselves.

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Natl seeds: UTx - 3.67 AU - 4.3 aTm - 7.0 UAT - 7.67 Hosting: MSU - 9.67 UF - 10 UGA - 11

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If UGA wins or even finishes second in the SEC, there’s no way we end up the 7th SEC team hosting. I think way too many college baseball people are getting hung up on RPI this season; whole reason DSR and KPI are being introduced is to allow the committee to get away from RPI as a useful but flawed metric.

For example, UGA’s victories at A&M and at MSU are weighed the same (25%) as West Georgia’s win over Queens College (opponents opponents winning percentage). Which is the entire reason why UNC cancelled their game with Queens last week, to avoid the RPI hit.

All RPI serves to do is provide a more contextual version of SOS. KPI by comparison ranks teams wins and losses on a positive negative scale. It tends to be a much better snapshot of actual performance versus RPI which basically measures to what degree a team tested itself during the season. DSR goes one step further and weighs games as they are played and doesn’t factor in what a team does after that game (like RPI or even KPI).

We won’t know for sure until after this years selection committee makes decisions but the sentiment seems like DSR and KPI will be valued more than RPI moving forward, though it’s all kind of just meant to allow the committee flexibility to make decisions

This happens toward the end of the regular season every year now.

Oh and good job on this thread sir! Thank you for the info.