LSU=Champions

Both are publicly available and regularly updated.

DSR is on D1Baseball dot com
KPI is on FaktorSports dot com

I will include those data points going forward but the historical values (before this year) are meaningless bc the Committee didn’t use them.

I’d hope they get weighted more heavily than RPI in time, but it sounds like the Committee for softball applied same strict RPI metrics and disregarded KPI and DSR, despite their supposed “inclusion” in the evaluation process this year. I have zero optimism in the Committee’s ability to reach objective conclusions.

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josh336

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This is quality work. Appreciate you putting the time into a legitimate analysis.

I didn’t think this season could get more depressing, but - against all odds - you’ve done it, Josh. :lol:

We’re about to find out what non-baseball fans do with their time during the last week of May and the early weeks of June.

Well I won’t pile on your take given you’ve never been to either, but I would honestly recommend you take the effort to plan a trip to Omaha for the opening weekend of CWS and commit to going regardless of whether LSU makes it or not.

Stay at one of the hotels downtown or in the Old Market, that way you’re walking distance to the stadium and all the festivities, bars/restaurants, etc. (most hotels also have shuttle service for the games too). I’d wager you’d come back with an extremely positive opinion of the park and the event as a whole. In this day and age of atrocious event planning / customer service (outside of luxury / exclusive events), it is a very, very well run event.

Despite what’s seemingly the public’s perception, Omaha is a clean, vibrant city. It’s refreshing to see the caliber of the downtown in such a large city (over 1 million metro) that is home to 4 Fortune 500 companies, and there’s a number of activities to do and things to see outside of going to watch a baseball game. Louisiana could never :lol:

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I was also at this game. I remember Skip bringing out a very large (maybe made out of some type of plastic) baseball. He got the whole stadium to yell at one time together and the idea was to trap the noise inside the baseball and release it into the new stadium. Haha

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And brought the “super fans” onto the field to do it. Twas absurdly corny.

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So your expectation is that every team should have a 5th option as an outfielder that is hitting .350 and is an elite defender?

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We’re talking about LSU here, right? This is the premiere college baseball program in the entire country. Who gives a shite about every other team. Expectations for LSU Baseball are higher than all other teams, and everyone around the program from the players to the coaches knows that.

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So your expectation is that every team should have a 5th option as an outfielder that is hitting .350 and is an elite defender?

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Who said anything about a backup hitting .350, much less also being an elite defender? The 3 players we’re discussing are hitting .118, .236, and .243. The guy they’re trying to replace is hitting .229. It’s hilarious you’d think expecting more is asking too much.

I wasn’t viewing run production in comparison to team total, but I do see where that was mentioned via a percentage.

If that’s what someone’s trying to accomplish, it’s still a little more complicated because, while some (if not most) runs are scored via an associated RBI, not all are. Things like runs scored on wild pitches, passed balls, errors, on a double play, etc., would only have a single run attributable without the associated RBI. Then you’d subtract out the HR as well to get the total.

If viewing as a percentage, one would have to have the understanding that whatever % attributable to one player is not mutually exclusive to other players. There will be some overlap of that percentage to various other players distributed amongst the team. Still a good way to look at it in terms of seeing how much an individual player had to do with creating a run for the team.

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Harden is the only one I trust in the field, but Yamin has a better bat.

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While I think Yamin has the best overall bat of the group, the results on the field really do not prove that any one of them is an appreciably better hitter than the other. Each of their major offensive stats are quite below average when taken as a whole:

Yamin .243/.370/.459, 15K-to-2BB in 37AB, 33% K rate.
Reaves .236/.400/.273, 13K-to-14BB in 55AB, 19% K rate.
Harden .118/.423/.294, 5K-to-4BB in 17AB, 17% K rate.

I do relate to your overall point. It is frustrating to see that someone hitting .235 and with a .833 fielding percentage is the best we can muster in a previously-backup, now-starting outfield role.

Here’s the way I think Jay sees it: I believe he probably prefers Reaves over the other 2 options because of the trust factor. He knows Reaves is going to give you patient ABs. Reaves has come on more here of late, and he’s actually getting some solid contact, but his primary objective all year at the plate has been getting walks - it’s been blatantly obvious as he’s routinely taking until he gets 2 strikes with defensive swings thereafter.

Jay does seem to be platooning Yamin vs LHH a bit but Yamin hasn’t exactly performed well of late or made the most out of these opportunities. He’s been sliding in opposite direction of Reaves. I do agree that he does likely provide the highest pop/upside of the 3. Harden also intrigues me but he’s the least experienced/known commodity of the bunch, which is likely why he finds himself at the bottom of the 3 in the hierarchy. It’s unfortunate all around.

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William Patrick and Jack ruckert are hitting their first collegiate home run tonight

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You’ve got to be trolling at this point.

As if there was any doubt, tonight’s game is a must win (more accurately stated, a must not lose) for RPI reasons alone.