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re: Probability of winning the SEC

Posted on 11/11/24 at 8:05 pm to
Posted by MtVernon
Member since Jul 2024
6818 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

It’s funny that the one team Texas has played with a pulse dragged their nuts


Well hopefully you can get that chance.
Posted by MtVernon
Member since Jul 2024
6818 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

LSU has a legit shot. It really comes down to the Arkansas vs Mizzou game. If Uga beats Tennesse and Ark beats Mizzou, then LSU goes. If Mizzou wins, Bama goes. That's assuming Bama and LSU win out.


Damn, the drama is going to get pretty intense the next few weeks. Lots of "ifs" to work through.
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
2561 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 8:14 pm to
Yep in reality Ole Miss is in bad shape to even make the SECCG.
Posted by MtVernon
Member since Jul 2024
6818 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

Ole Miss is in bad shape to even make the SECCG.


That's good cuz I don't want no part of them right now.
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
2561 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 8:31 pm to
I think that only matters when you beat all the teams up for the spot at that point in the tiebreaker progression.
Posted by Dalosaqy
I can't quite re
Member since Dec 2007
12749 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 12:23 am to
quote:

Enjoy the extra game.

The SECCG became pointless when they dissolved divisions.
Posted by PrideOfTheSouthland
Gateway to the South
Member since Nov 2010
1778 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 12:28 am to
You guys know these are all made up numbers, right?
Posted by Basura Blanco
Member since Dec 2011
10693 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 1:34 am to
quote:

Based on what?


SEC scenarios

quote:

Bama would have head to head wins over both LSU and UGA in that scenario.



Yes they would. In the scenario he presented, the SEC game would be LSU vs Bama.

quote:

What would Arkansas and Mizzou even have to do with it?


Arkansas winning helps LSU's conference opponents record and Missouri losing eliminates them and hurts teams they have played.
Posted by jonnyanony
Member since Nov 2020
13165 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 6:25 am to
quote:

Playing for a ... nice little prize


Texas football, 1970-present with one lonely exception
Posted by The Sultan of Swine
Member since Nov 2010
8271 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 7:22 am to
quote:


Texas 46.3%
Ole Miss 16.5%
Tennessee 13.7%
Texas A&M 6.9%
Georgia 5.6%
Alabama 4.5%


Nice odds you have there. Would be a shame if something were to happen to them this weekend in Fayettnam
Posted by FootsFanatic
Member since Aug 2021
1520 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 7:26 am to
Keep falling in love with bogus arse statistics. Just like a gold ole sip...drinking the coolaid when your team has only played one decent team all season. On full hype train this is for sure. I cannot wait to see the tears.
Posted by LaMigra
Member since Nov 2022
2442 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 7:58 am to
quote:

It's actually not that simple. LSU has a legit shot. It really comes down to the Arkansas vs Mizzou game. If Uga beats Tennesse and Ark beats Mizzou, then LSU goes. If Mizzou wins, Bama goes. That's assuming Bama and LSU win out.


It is that simple!
It will come down to A&M vs TransU
(Assuming neither team loses between now and then)
Posted by RollingwiththeTide62
Member since Aug 2024
3051 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 8:42 am to
Im rolling with the tide to make it then init2winit
Posted by Insurancerebel
Madison
Member since Aug 2021
2310 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 8:45 am to
quote:

LSU is saying if everyone wins out they go over Bama. None of this makes sense.


I am pretty sure all these 2 loss teams would gladly let LSU go get butt thumped "no diddy" in Atl.

Really a win for all. Their fans would call a trip to ATL a success, let Texas maul them and lock up the #1 seed. Let the other four 2 loss teams raise hell for the remaining 3 spots for playoffs.
Posted by REBEL5 AC
Member since Sep 2012
15810 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 8:45 am to
Probably because if we do make it, we are guaranteed to win it.
Posted by DBird
Member since Nov 2023
722 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 8:50 am to
All of them have a better chance than Quinn getting nudes from Aubrey.
Posted by PeleofAnalytics
Member since Jun 2021
4057 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 8:52 am to
CFN College Football Meter... A name we all know and trust for accurate and precise predictions?
Posted by SEC Doctor
Member since Aug 2024
6548 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 9:02 am to
quote:

LSU is saying if everyone wins out they go over Bama. None of this makes sense.


I think that is accurate, but I don't expect LSU to win out anyway.
Posted by MtVernon
Member since Jul 2024
6818 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 9:25 am to
quote:

your team has only played one decent team all season


We lost by 2 scores to top-half SEC.

You lost by 4 scores to bottom-half SEC.

Why are you talking?
Posted by WaydownSouth
Stratton Oakmont
Member since Nov 2018
9648 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 9:50 am to
quote:

LSU is saying if everyone wins out they go over Bama. None of this makes sense.


Yes but with the caveat that Missouri loses to USCe and Arkansas.

The tie breaker with multiple teams that have not all played each other is conference opponent winning percentage.

If Missouri drops two games LSUs conference opponent winning percentage would be 51% while Alabama's is 50%.

If Missouri wins one of the two, its reversed, Alabama 51%, LSU 50%.

Everyone else in contention that would have 2 losses would be under 50%
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