Favorite team:LSU 
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Registered on:6/3/2022
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Kentucky won't make it with another loss, and I do think they take another.

Ole Miss is probably dead but they should win out and be at 9-3 with a head to head win over LSU

Texas with their wins doesn't have to win in BR, committee will give them credit for beating OSU with Sayin healthy

Tennessee even with an LSU loss has wins over Bama and UK

ratings do matter but the committee put SMU in over Bama in '24. LSU needs chaos or it aint happening
think a lot of it has to do with the impending breakoff of the P2. lot of these ACC schools who think they have a shot at being included don't want to miss the bus for fear of missing out. if they hit on their hires and get success then they have a shot, if they miss then they weren't going to catch the bus anyway and they'll be right back here in 3-4 years.

but yea it doesn't help when the worst P4 program in the history of the sport wins a natty within 2 years of hiring their guy. I think Cignetti is generational but people see that and they start to dream
it makes more sense for GOP to impeach than Dems.

if you're the Dems, why ruin your chances. let trump stay unpopular and you'll probably beat the GOP's arse in 28. don't waste your majority you just got by doing something that's pointless anyway. people want gvmt to work not for them to go after Trump. whole election was a rebuke of him, people are done with him don't drag him into the public conscious again

GOP is probably done for in 28 regardless but if Trump gets tossed it might give them favor? who knows
NC is close.

D wins Senate State House and all judicial spots on the ballot. R currently needs to win all 3 remaining State Senate seats to keep that but is currently winning in all 3. NC GOP went from having a veto-proof majority in senate to nearly losing it and got wiped out everywhere else
only guesses especially with House but

Senate will go 56-44 assuming every R but the safe seats (ID, MT, SD, AR, LA, MS, TN, AL) lose
-- you could tack on NE or ME maybe but that's optimistic, at best 46. 56-44 D is most likely

House is tough, races take much longer to call. absolute bloodbath though, D should be anywhere from 240-260 and R 175-195.

re: SC Called. Graham loses

Posted by Carolina_Tiger on 11/3/26 at 9:02 pm to
state as a whole trends 24 points from 24 presidential race. in governor race Joe Wilson is going to win by 5ish. 9 point drop-off from Wilson to Graham. Trump ruined it end of story

re: SC Called. Graham loses

Posted by Carolina_Tiger on 11/3/26 at 8:59 pm to
honestly amazed she got to 47% of vote, might have been a worse pick than Paxton

Candidate Quality Matters

Posted by Carolina_Tiger on 11/3/26 at 7:56 pm
NC - former governor who has never lost a race vs a relative political outsider who has never held elected office

SC - political outsider running affordability campaign with backing of party vs political outsider who only got it because of Trump and isn't equipped for office

GA - mike collins

FL - incumbent who only kissed up to trump vs a dem socialist and still only won by 2-3 points

Paxton, Marshall, etc. the good candidates (Hinson, Rogers, Collins) are going to be swept away by that tide). GOP screwed themselves and they deserve it
agree. wanted norman bad. darline was an awful candidate
York County (suburban Charlotte) --> 40 point swing toward D
Greenville County (Greenville city) --> 45 point swing toward D
Colleton County (rural Lowcountry) --> 29 point swing toward D
Spartanburg County (Spartanburg city) --> 46 point swing toward D

Goodness gracious

re: NC called for Cooper

Posted by Carolina_Tiger on 11/3/26 at 7:29 pm to
I mean these spreads are insane. deep red suburban counties in Charlotte area going Cooper +5 or more, 30 point swings from '24. Absolutely crazy

NC called for Cooper

Posted by Carolina_Tiger on 11/3/26 at 7:27 pm
10 minutes after results started to come out. South Carolina spiking blue on all prediction markets. Trump's hold on the GOP is very likely over after tonight
South Carolina is spiking towards D Andrews on Kalshi, now favored to win. GOP is cooked
Syracuse +9.5, get Angeli back and UNC's offense is not good. under could be better
prediction markets show Acton spiking in the past week.

Vivek made a huge unforced error with that commercial and he already was facing headwinds.

husted has more of a chance

re: Clancy Jury Is At 11 - 1?

Posted by Carolina_Tiger on 9/4/26 at 9:21 am to
defense attorney should face consequences for jury intimidation. don't exactly know grounds for that in Mass law but outing to the world that you've got 11-1 and trying to get him removed is unprecedented. unbelievable amount of pressure for 1 man to face, hope he holds out
quote:

I can see this case being used in Congress to advance the current legislation.


oh it will be. I think this is probably the moment where everyone looks around and agrees that college sports has gone too far and opts for legislation. current bill as proposed I don't think helps change all that much unless they are serious about giving NCAA antitrust exemption
NCAA is dead. Either it gets resurrected with an antitrust exemption or we get a breakaway league. I personally don't see a ton of long-term value with a breakaway league, unsure of what rules and reforms they would put into place, but could be interesting

curious to see where the money goes, people are spending wild levels of cash to chase championships yet there's a huge demographics cliff colleges are going to face and many are already circling in piles of debt. at some point the money train will come to a screeching halt I would think
quote:

I see no possible way this man is eligible. This would be unprecedented and not in a good way.


I personally agree, just unsure of whether that happens.

The NCAA will rule him ineligible and Luis will file a lawsuit in a Louisiana court with a judge who graduated from LSU looking for an injunction to play while the courts work on a full case. the injunction may or may not get approved but I do think the court's final decision will be ineligible after the full lawsuit is heard
correct

he signed a two-way deal and entered the draft which means he gives up his NCAA eligibility. in this day and age of college sports I dont know if that means anything anymore, not the same scenario as Bediako or Nnaji considering he never played a g-league game but was used as part of an NBA trade
LSU didn't announce technically. His deal probably has to go through a clearinghouse before the school can push it out there, and he has almost no chance of getting cleared by the NCAA. LSU's betting on a judge being friendly with them and getting Luis cleared which has a decent chance of happening