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re: On3 NCAA Tournament Projections
Posted on 5/12/25 at 4:02 pm to NFLSU
Posted on 5/12/25 at 4:02 pm to NFLSU
quote:
If they go 2-1 and finish 12-18, they’ll need to make a run in the SECT.
the committee has shown they really don't care about what happens in the SECT. If A&M finishes with 12 conference wins and an RPI hovering in the 50s, their only path to a bid is an auto-bid via winning the SECT. 13 wins is going to be borderline as well with their RPI. They have like 5 Q3/Q4 losses this year and are just 10-18 v Q1/Q2 teams. Their OOC SOS is 152 and they only went 17-6 against OOC teams. They are also just 21-13 at home. They just got swept by a winless Q4 team in mid May. Their resume is horrible. The only thing keeping them even in any sort of conversation is the strength of the SEC
This post was edited on 5/12/25 at 4:06 pm
2
Posted on 5/12/25 at 4:09 pm to lsufball19
quote:
the committee has shown they really don't care about what happens in the SECT. I
This. I have to repeat it every year.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 4:12 pm to lsufball19
While I don’t disagree, the committee has a propensity for recency bias and will do what they can to wiggle a big brand name into the field.
While the numbers you posted are definitely valid, a series win this weekend would give them series wins over LSU, Arkansas, Tennessee and UGA…with 3 of those 4 coming on the road.
Should be a wild ride to the finish line.
While the numbers you posted are definitely valid, a series win this weekend would give them series wins over LSU, Arkansas, Tennessee and UGA…with 3 of those 4 coming on the road.
Should be a wild ride to the finish line.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:44 pm to AUTiger789
Tennessee????
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:48 pm to anc
I would think State gets a 2 seed if we can sweep Mizzou and finish 15-15 in conference
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:49 pm to AUTiger789
We deserve nothing but contempt
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:57 pm to UFMatt
quote:
If the Gator win the series against the Tide this weekend, That could change.
Florida will likely win the series. I am just hoping to avoid the sweep. But…. Alabama is currently #8 in RPI. And it appears the seeding is going to strongly consider RPI.
If Alabama loses a road series 1-2 against the #13 rpi team how far will they fall? Surely not more than four or five spots.
It is possible both AL and FL host IF they lean on RPI when deciding host sites.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:59 pm to deltaland
quote:
I would think State gets a 2 seed if we can sweep Mizzou and finish 15-15 in conference
Possibly, if we also won our first SECT game
Posted on 5/12/25 at 9:42 pm to msudawg1200
SEC tournament games mean zero unless you win the whole thing.
Most years when they announce the bracket people are surprised that 12-18 X didn’t make it after winning two games in conference tourney. They also are surprised by the fact the number one seed went 0-1 in their conference tournament after letting their head groundskeeper’s step-daughter pitch game one.
Most years when they announce the bracket people are surprised that 12-18 X didn’t make it after winning two games in conference tourney. They also are surprised by the fact the number one seed went 0-1 in their conference tournament after letting their head groundskeeper’s step-daughter pitch game one.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 9:51 pm to Oilfieldbiology
quote:we had 5 last year and the SEC is stronger than ever this year. All 6 of those teams have RPIs #1-7. Committee still weights RPI heavily even though it’s an outdated metric. Even going off ELO though there’s 8 SEC teams in the top 10.
No way 6/8 are SEC sites.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 10:07 pm to AUTiger789
I don’t see how anyone can make projections in basketball anymore. We have an entirely new team next year and we’re not the only team.
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